Birchcliff Energy Ltd. (“
Birchcliff” or the
“
Corporation”) (TSX: BIR) is pleased to announce
its Q1 2024 financial and operational results and updated guidance
for 2024.
“We remain focused on strengthening our business
and our capital efficiencies by continuously improving our well
results and reducing our costs. We successfully executed our Q1
2024 capital program, drilling 11 wells and bringing five wells on
production utilizing our latest completions design. The five wells
brought on production in the quarter have exceeded our internal
projections, with strong initial production rates that contributed
to our solid quarterly average production of 75,402 boe/d. In Q1
2024, we also completed the drilling of a 4-well and 2-well pad in
Gordondale, which targeted light oil and liquids-rich natural gas
to benefit from strong liquids pricing. As a result of the
outperformance of the wells brought on production year-to-date, we
are adjusting our capital program for the balance of 2024 to remove
two natural gas wells from our remaining 13-well program, while
maintaining our previous 2024 production guidance of 74,000 to
77,000 boe/d. Some capital was allocated towards various strategic
exploration-related investments in Q1 2024. In addition, we have
reallocated capital to Q4 2024 in order to prepare us for the
efficient execution of our 2025 capital program. As a result, we
are maintaining our previous 2024 F&D capital expenditures
guidance of $240 million to $260 million,” commented Chris Carlsen,
President and Chief Executive Officer of Birchcliff.
“Although natural gas prices are forecasted to
remain challenged through the middle part of 2024, we remain
bullish on the long-term outlook for natural gas and we expect
prices to improve due to the anticipated increased demand from the
start-up of various LNG projects in North America and gas-fired
power generation. In the current commodity price environment, we
are committed to maintaining a strong balance sheet, the
development of our world-class Montney asset base and shareholder
returns. In alignment with our commitment to maintain a strong
balance sheet, we are continuing to target a total debt to forward
annual adjusted funds flow ratio of less than 1.0 times in the
long-term. We will continue to closely monitor commodity prices and
will adjust our business and activities as required.”
Q1 2024 FINANCIAL AND OPERATIONAL
HIGHLIGHTS
-
Achieved average production of 75,402 boe/d (82% natural gas, 6%
condensate, 10% NGLs and 2% light oil).
-
Generated adjusted funds flow(1) of $66.1 million, or $0.25 per
basic common share(2), and cash flow from operating activities of
$65.3 million.
-
Reported a net loss to common shareholders of $15.0 million, or
$0.06 per basic common share.
-
Total debt(3) at March 31, 2024 was $443.4 million.
- Birchcliff’s market diversification
contributed to an average realized natural gas sales price of
$2.61/Mcf, which represented a 26% premium to the average benchmark
AECO 7A Monthly Index price in Q1 2024.
-
Birchcliff drilled 11 (11.0 net) wells and brought 5 (5.0 net)
wells on production. F&D capital expenditures were $102.8
million in the quarter, which included unbudgeted strategic
exploration-related investments.
-
The wells brought on production at the Corporation’s 5-well 04-30
pad in Pouce Coupe have shown strong initial production rates, with
an average per well IP 30 rate of 1,615 boe/d (9,586 Mcf/d of raw
natural gas and 18 bbls/d of condensate).(4)
Birchcliff’s unaudited interim condensed financial statements
for the three months ended March 31, 2024 and related management’s
discussion and analysis will be available on its website at
www.birchcliffenergy.com and on SEDAR+ at www.sedarplus.ca.
_____________________________________
(1) Non-GAAP financial measure. See “Non-GAAP
and Other Financial Measures”.(2) Non-GAAP ratio. See “Non-GAAP and
Other Financial Measures”.(3) Capital management measure. See
“Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures”.(4) See “Advisories –
Initial Production Rates”.
DECLARATION OF Q2 2024 QUARTERLY
DIVIDEND
-
Birchcliff’s board of directors (the “Board”) has
declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.10 per common share for
the quarter ending June 30, 2024.
-
The dividend will be payable on June 28, 2024 to shareholders of
record at the close of business on June 14, 2024. The ex-dividend
date is June 13, 2024. The dividend has been designated as an
eligible dividend for the purposes of the Income Tax Act
(Canada).
EXTENSION OF CREDIT FACILITIES
-
Subsequent to the end of Q1 2024, Birchcliff’s syndicate of lenders
completed its regular semi-annual review of the borrowing base
limit under the Corporation’s extendible revolving credit
facilities (the “Credit Facilities”).
-
In connection therewith, the agreement governing the Credit
Facilities was amended effective May 6, 2024 to extend the maturity
dates of each of the syndicated extendible revolving term credit
facility and the extendible revolving working capital facility from
May 11, 2025 to May 11, 2027. In addition, the lenders confirmed
the borrowing base limit at $850 million. The Credit Facilities do
not contain any financial maintenance covenants.
ANNUAL MEETING OF SHAREHOLDERS
-
Birchcliff’s annual meeting of shareholders is scheduled to take
place tomorrow, Thursday, May 16, 2024, at 3:00 p.m. (Mountain
Daylight Time) in the McMurray Room at the Calgary Petroleum Club,
319 – 5th Avenue S.W., Calgary, Alberta.
This press release contains forward-looking
statements and forward-looking information within the meaning of
applicable securities laws. For further information regarding the
forward-looking statements and forward-looking information
contained herein, see “Advisories – Forward-Looking Statements”.
With respect to the disclosure of Birchcliff’s production contained
in this press release, see “Advisories – Production”. In addition,
this press release uses various “non-GAAP financial measures”,
“non-GAAP ratios” and “capital management measures” as such terms
are defined in National Instrument 52-112 – Non-GAAP and Other
Financial Measures Disclosure (“NI 52-112”).
Non-GAAP financial measures and non-GAAP ratios are not
standardized financial measures under GAAP and might not be
comparable to similar financial measures disclosed by other
issuers. For further information regarding the non-GAAP and other
financial measures used in this press release, see “Non-GAAP and
Other Financial Measures”.
Q1 2024 UNAUDITED FINANCIAL AND
OPERATIONAL SUMMARY
|
Three months ended |
|
Three months ended |
|
|
March 31, 2024 |
|
March 31, 2023 |
|
OPERATING |
|
|
Average production |
|
|
Light oil (bbls/d) |
1,525 |
|
2,088 |
|
Condensate (bbls/d) |
4,765 |
|
5,358 |
|
NGLs (bbls/d) |
7,397 |
|
3,288 |
|
Natural gas (Mcf/d) |
370,288 |
|
383,145 |
|
Total (boe/d) |
75,402 |
|
74,592 |
|
Average realized sales prices (CDN$)(1) |
|
|
Light oil (per bbl) |
95.24 |
|
105.69 |
|
Condensate (per bbl) |
100.26 |
|
105.88 |
|
NGLs (per bbl) |
27.59 |
|
36.69 |
|
Natural gas (per Mcf) |
2.61 |
|
3.68 |
|
Total (per boe) |
23.80 |
|
31.07 |
|
|
|
|
NETBACK AND
COST ($/boe) |
|
|
Petroleum and natural gas revenue(1) |
23.80 |
|
31.08 |
|
Royalty expense |
(2.11 |
) |
(4.37 |
) |
Operating expense |
(3.85 |
) |
(3.95 |
) |
Transportation and other expense(2) |
(4.99 |
) |
(5.31 |
) |
Operating netback(2) |
12.85 |
|
17.45 |
|
G&A expense, net |
(1.28 |
) |
(1.41 |
) |
Interest expense |
(1.13 |
) |
(0.47 |
) |
Realized loss on financial instruments |
(0.82 |
) |
(2.36 |
) |
Other cash income |
0.01 |
|
0.01 |
|
Adjusted funds flow(2) |
9.63 |
|
13.22 |
|
Depletion and depreciation expense |
(8.56 |
) |
(8.26 |
) |
Unrealized loss on financial instruments |
(3.28 |
) |
(12.43 |
) |
Other expenses(3) |
(0.52 |
) |
(0.56 |
) |
Deferred income tax recovery |
0.54 |
|
1.69 |
|
Net loss to common shareholders |
(2.19 |
) |
(6.34 |
) |
|
|
|
FINANCIAL |
|
|
Petroleum and natural gas revenue ($000s)(1) |
163,304 |
|
208,647 |
|
Cash flow from operating activities ($000s) |
65,255 |
|
111,330 |
|
Adjusted funds flow
($000s)(4) |
66,081 |
|
88,737 |
|
Per basic common share ($)(2) |
0.25 |
|
0.33 |
|
Free funds flow
($000s)(4) |
(36,692 |
) |
(26,302 |
) |
Per basic common share ($)(2) |
(0.14 |
) |
(0.10 |
) |
Net loss to common
shareholders ($000s) |
(15,035 |
) |
(42,548 |
) |
Per basic common share ($) |
(0.06 |
) |
(0.16 |
) |
End of period basic common shares (000s) |
268,578 |
|
266,987 |
|
Weighted average basic common
shares (000s) |
267,905 |
|
266,447 |
|
Dividends on common shares ($000s) |
26,857 |
|
53,392 |
|
F&D capital expenditures ($000s)(5) |
102,773 |
|
115,039 |
|
Total capital expenditures
($000s)(4) |
103,484 |
|
115,659 |
|
Revolving term credit
facilities ($000s) |
428,566 |
|
191,426 |
|
Total
debt ($000s)(6) |
443,380 |
|
217,927 |
|
(1) Excludes the effects of financial
instruments but includes the effects of any physical delivery
contracts.(2) Non-GAAP ratio. See “Non-GAAP and Other Financial
Measures”.(3) Includes non-cash items such as compensation,
accretion, amortization of deferred financing fees and other gains
and losses.(4) Non-GAAP financial measure. See “Non-GAAP and Other
Financial Measures”.(5) See “Advisories – F&D Capital
Expenditures”.(6) Capital management measure. See “Non-GAAP and
Other Financial Measures”.
OUTLOOK AND GUIDANCE
Updated 2024 Capital Program
-
Birchcliff made the strategic decision earlier in the year to delay
the drilling of 13 (13.0 net) wells until late Q2 and into Q3 2024
in order to provide it with the flexibility to further adjust its
2024 capital program. Following a comprehensive review of its
program, Birchcliff has made the following adjustments:
-
Removed 2 (2.0 net) natural gas wells from its drilling program
that were originally scheduled to be drilled in Q2 2024 and brought
on production in Q4 2024. Birchcliff now plans to bring on
production a total of 27 (27.0 net) wells in 2024 (previously 29
(29.0 net) wells). See “Operational Update”.
-
Notwithstanding the removal of these two wells, Birchcliff is
maintaining its previous production guidance for 2024 at 74,000 to
77,000 boe/d as a result of the outperformance of the 10 wells
brought on production year-to-date.
-
In order to prepare for the efficient execution of its 2025 capital
program, Birchcliff plans to complete the drilling of 2 (2.0 net)
wells in Q4 2024. These wells are planned to be brought on
production in Q1 2025, when natural gas prices are forecast to be
higher. Capital will also be allocated towards the drilling of
various surface holes, pad-site construction and other activities
in preparation for the 2025 capital program. Birchcliff expects to
invest approximately $10.0 million in Q4 2024 in connection with
such activities. In Q1 2024, the Corporation also allocated capital
towards various strategic exploration-related investments. As a
result, the Corporation is maintaining its previous 2024 F&D
capital expenditures guidance of $240 million to $260 million.
- Birchcliff is continuing to monitor
potential drought conditions in Alberta. The Corporation has the
necessary water storage and infrastructure in place to allow it to
execute on the remainder of its 2024 capital program.
-
In the second half of the year, Birchcliff will continue to
evaluate further investment in Elmworth that is not currently
contemplated in its 2024 capital program in order to protect,
optimize and further its long-term development strategy of this
asset.
Updated 2024 Guidance
-
As noted above, Birchcliff is maintaining its 2024 annual average
production guidance of 74,000 to 77,000 boe/d and its 2024 F&D
capital expenditures guidance of $240 million to $260 million.
-
The Corporation is lowering its 2024 guidance for adjusted funds
flow and free funds flow to reflect a lower commodity price
forecast for natural gas in 2024, as well as its Q1 2024
results.
-
Lower anticipated adjusted funds flow in 2024 is expected to result
in higher total debt at year-end 2024 than previously
forecast.
-
The Corporation is lowering its 2024 guidance for transportation
and other expense per boe as a result of marketing gains recorded
in Q1 2024.
The following tables set forth Birchcliff’s
updated and previous guidance and commodity price assumptions for
2024, as well as its free funds flow sensitivity:
|
Updated 2024 guidance and assumptions – May 15,
2024(1) |
Previous 2024 guidance and assumptions – January 17,
2024 |
Production |
|
|
Annual average production (boe/d) |
74,000 – 77,000 |
74,000 – 77,000 |
% Light oil |
3% |
3% |
% Condensate |
6% |
6% |
% NGLs |
10% |
10% |
% Natural gas |
81% |
81% |
|
|
|
Average Expenses ($/boe) |
|
|
Royalty |
2.30 – 2.50 |
2.30 – 2.50 |
Operating |
3.85 – 4.05 |
3.85 – 4.05 |
Transportation and other(2) |
5.30 – 5.50 |
5.50 – 5.70 |
|
|
|
Adjusted Funds Flow (millions)(3) |
$270 |
$340 |
|
|
|
F&D Capital Expenditures (millions) |
$240 – $260 |
$240 – $260 |
|
|
|
Free Funds Flow (millions)(3) |
$10 – $30 |
$80 – $100 |
|
|
|
Annual Base Dividend (millions) |
$107(4) |
$107 |
|
|
|
Total Debt at Year End (millions)(5) |
$465 – $485 |
$405 – $425 |
|
|
|
Natural Gas Market Exposure |
|
|
AECO exposure as a % of total natural gas production |
17%(6) |
17% |
Dawn exposure as a % of total natural gas production |
44%(6) |
44% |
NYMEX HH exposure as a % of total natural gas production |
37%(6) |
37% |
Alliance exposure as a % of total natural gas production |
2%(6) |
2% |
|
|
|
Commodity Prices |
|
|
Average WTI price (US$/bbl) |
82.50(7) |
75.00 |
Average WTI-MSW differential (CDN$/bbl) |
6.00(7) |
5.45 |
Average AECO price (CDN$/GJ) |
2.05(7) |
2.50 |
Average Dawn price (US$/MMBtu) |
2.15(7) |
2.80 |
Average NYMEX HH price (US$/MMBtu) |
2.40(7) |
3.00 |
Exchange rate (CDN$ to US$1) |
1.36(7) |
1.33 |
Forward eight months’ free funds flow
sensitivity(7)(8) |
Estimated change to 2024 free funds
flow (millions) |
Change in WTI US$1.00/bbl |
$2.4 |
Change in NYMEX HH US$0.10/MMBtu |
$4.4 |
Change in Dawn US$0.10/MMBtu |
$5.4 |
Change in AECO CDN$0.10/GJ |
$1.2 |
Change in CDN/US exchange rate CDN$0.01 |
$2.8 |
(1) Birchcliff’s guidance for its production
commodity mix, adjusted funds flow, free funds flow, total debt and
natural gas market exposure in 2024 is based on an annual average
production rate of 75,500 boe/d in 2024, which is the mid-point of
Birchcliff’s annual average production guidance range for 2024. For
further information regarding the risks and assumptions relating to
the Corporation’s guidance, see “Advisories – Forward-Looking
Statements”.(2) Non-GAAP ratio. See “Non-GAAP and Other Financial
Measures”.(3) Non-GAAP financial measure. See “Non-GAAP and Other
Financial Measures”.(4) Assumes that an annual base dividend of
$0.40 per common share is paid and that there are approximately 269
million common shares outstanding, with no special dividends paid.
The declaration of future dividends is subject to the approval of
the Board and is subject to change.(5) Capital management measure.
See “Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures”.(6) Birchcliff’s
natural gas market exposure for 2024 takes into account its
outstanding financial basis swap contracts.(7) Birchcliff’s updated
commodity price and exchange rate assumptions and free funds flow
sensitivity for 2024 are based on anticipated full-year averages,
which include settled benchmark commodity prices and the CDN/US
exchange rate for the period from January 1, 2024 to April 30,
2024.(8) Illustrates the expected impact of changes in commodity
prices and the CDN/US exchange rate on the Corporation’s updated
forecast of free funds flow for 2024, holding all other variables
constant. The sensitivity is based on the updated commodity price
and exchange rate assumptions set forth in the table above. The
calculated impact on free funds flow is only applicable within the
limited range of change indicated. Calculations are performed
independently and may not be indicative of actual results. Actual
results may vary materially when multiple variables change at the
same time and/or when the magnitude of the change increases.
Changes in assumed commodity prices and
variances in production forecasts can have an impact on the
Corporation’s forecasts of adjusted funds flow and free funds flow
and the Corporation’s other guidance, which impact could be
material. In addition, any acquisitions or dispositions completed
over the course of 2024 could have an impact on Birchcliff’s 2024
guidance and assumptions set forth herein, which impact could be
material. For further information, see “Advisories –
Forward-Looking Statements”.
Q1 2024 FINANCIAL AND OPERATIONAL
RESULTS
Production
-
Birchcliff’s production averaged 75,402 boe/d in Q1 2024, a 1%
increase from Q1 2023. The increase was primarily as a result of
the strong performance of the Corporation’s capital program and the
successful drilling of new Montney/Doig wells brought on production
since Q1 2023, including Birchcliff’s new 5-well 04-30 pad brought
on production in Pouce Coupe in Q1 2024. Production was also
positively impacted by higher NGLs production in Q1 2024, partially
offset by natural production declines. Birchcliff’s NGLs production
in Q1 2023 was negatively impacted by an unplanned system outage on
Pembina’s Northern Pipeline system (the “Pembina
Outage”), which reduced the Corporation’s NGLs sales
volumes in that period.
-
Liquids accounted for 18% of Birchcliff’s total production in Q1
2024 as compared to 14% in Q1 2023. The increase was primarily due
to higher NGLs production in Q1 2024. Birchcliff’s liquids
production weighting in Q1 2023 was negatively impacted by the
Pembina Outage, which reduced the Corporation’s NGLs sales volumes
in that period.
Adjusted Funds Flow and Cash Flow From
Operating Activities
-
Birchcliff’s adjusted funds flow was $66.1 million in Q1 2024, or
$0.25 per basic common share, a 26% and 24% decrease, respectively,
from Q1 2023.
-
Birchcliff’s cash flow from operating activities was $65.3 million
in Q1 2024, a 41% decrease from Q1 2023.
-
The decreases were primarily due to lower natural gas revenue,
which was largely impacted by a 29% decrease in the average
realized sales price Birchcliff received for its natural gas
production in Q1 2024 as compared to Q1 2023. The decreases were
partially offset by a lower realized loss on financial instruments
and a decrease in royalty expense in Q1 2024 as compared to Q1
2023.
Net Loss to Common
Shareholders
-
Birchcliff reported a net loss to common shareholders of $15.0
million in Q1 2024, or $0.06 per basic common share, as compared to
a net loss to common shareholders of $42.5 million and $0.16 per
basic common share in Q1 2023.
- The lower net loss to common
shareholders was primarily due to a lower unrealized loss on
financial instruments of $22.5 million in Q1 2024 as compared to
$83.4 million in Q1 2023, partially offset by lower adjusted funds
flow.
Debt and Credit Facilities
-
Total debt at March 31, 2024 was $443.4 million, a 103% increase
from March 31, 2023.
-
At March 31, 2024, Birchcliff had a balance outstanding under its
Credit Facilities of $430.2 million (March 31, 2023: $194.7
million) from available Credit Facilities of $850.0 million (March
31, 2023: $850.0 million), leaving the Corporation with $419.8
million (49%) of unutilized credit capacity after adjusting for
outstanding letters of credit and unamortized deferred financing
fees.
Natural Gas Market
Diversification
-
Birchcliff’s physical natural gas sales exposure consists of the
AECO, Dawn and Alliance markets. In addition, the Corporation has
various financial instruments outstanding that provide it with
exposure to NYMEX HH pricing.
The following table sets forth Birchcliff’s
effective sales, production and average realized sales price for
natural gas and liquids for Q1 2024, after taking into account the
Corporation’s financial instruments:
Three months ended March 31, 2024 |
|
Effective sales(CDN$000s) |
Percentage of total sales (%) |
Effectiveproduction(per day) |
Percentage of total natural gas
production(%) |
Percentage of total corporate
production(%) |
Effective average realizedsales
price(CDN$) |
Market |
|
|
|
|
|
|
AECO(1)(2) |
15,958 |
9 |
72,565 Mcf |
19 |
16 |
2.42/Mcf |
Dawn(3) |
45,198 |
26 |
161,667 Mcf |
44 |
36 |
3.07/Mcf |
NYMEX HH(1)(4) |
39,715 |
22 |
136,056 Mcf |
37 |
30 |
3.21/Mcf |
Total natural gas(1) |
100,871 |
57 |
370,288 Mcf |
100 |
82 |
2.99/Mcf |
Light oil |
13,219 |
7 |
1,525 bbls |
|
2 |
95.24/bbl |
Condensate |
43,477 |
25 |
4,765 bbls |
|
6 |
100.26/bbl |
NGLs |
18,568 |
11 |
7,397 bbls |
|
10 |
27.59/bbl |
Total liquids |
75,264 |
43 |
13,687 bbls |
|
18 |
60.43/bbl |
Total corporate(1) |
176,135 |
100 |
75,402 boe |
|
100 |
25.67/boe |
(1) Effective sales and effective average
realized sales price on a total natural gas and total corporate
basis and for the AECO and NYMEX HH markets are non-GAAP financial
measures and non-GAAP ratios, respectively. See “Non-GAAP and Other
Financial Measures”.(2) Birchcliff has short-term physical sales
agreements with third-party marketers to sell and deliver into the
Alliance pipeline system. All of Birchcliff’s short-term physical
Alliance sales and production during Q1 2024 received AECO premium
pricing and have therefore been included as effective sales and
production in the AECO market.(3) Birchcliff has agreements for the
firm service transportation of an aggregate of 175,000 GJ/d of
natural gas on TransCanada PipeLines’ Canadian Mainline, whereby
natural gas is transported to the Dawn trading hub in Southern
Ontario.(4) NYMEX HH sales and production include financial NYMEX
HH/AECO 7A basis swap contracts for an aggregate of 147,500 MMBtu/d
at an average contract price of NYMEX HH less US$1.12/MMBtu during
Q1 2024.
Birchcliff’s effective average realized sales
price for NYMEX HH of CDN$3.21/Mcf (US$2.19/MMBtu) was determined
on a gross basis before giving effect to the average NYMEX HH/AECO
7A fixed contract basis differential price of CDN$1.64/Mcf
(US$1.12/MMBtu) and includes any realized gains and losses on
financial NYMEX HH/AECO 7A basis swap contracts during Q1 2024.
After giving effect to the NYMEX HH/AECO 7A
fixed contract basis differential price and including any realized
gains and losses on financial NYMEX HH/AECO 7A basis swap contracts
during Q1 2024, Birchcliff’s effective average realized net sales
price for NYMEX HH was CDN$1.57/Mcf (US$1.07/MMBtu) in Q1 2024.
The following table sets forth Birchcliff’s
physical sales, production, average realized sales price,
transportation costs and natural gas sales netback by natural gas
market for the periods indicated, before taking into account the
Corporation’s financial instruments:
Three months ended March 31, 2024 |
Natural gas market |
Natural gas
sales(1)(CDN$000s) |
Percentage of natural gas sales (%) |
Natural gas production(Mcf/d) |
Percentage of natural gas production(%) |
Average realizednatural gas sales
price(1)(CDN$/Mcf) |
Natural gas transportation costs(2)
(CDN$/Mcf) |
Natural gas sales netback(3)(CDN$/Mcf) |
AECO |
38,639 |
44 |
195,141 |
53 |
2.19 |
0.40 |
1.79 |
Dawn |
45,198 |
51 |
161,667 |
44 |
3.07 |
1.41 |
1.66 |
Alliance(4) |
4,185 |
5 |
13,480 |
3 |
3.41 |
- |
3.41 |
Total |
88,022 |
100 |
370,288 |
100 |
2.61 |
0.83 |
1.78 |
Three months ended March 31, 2023 |
Natural gas market |
Natural gas
sales(1)(CDN$000s) |
Percentage of natural gas sales (%) |
Natural gas production(Mcf/d) |
Percentage of natural gas production(%) |
Average realized natural gas
sales price(1)(CDN$/Mcf) |
Natural gas transportation costs(2)(CDN$/Mcf) |
Natural gas sales netback(3)(CDN$/Mcf) |
AECO |
66,352 |
52 |
210,309 |
55 |
3.53 |
0.45 |
3.08 |
Dawn |
55,292 |
44 |
157,375 |
41 |
3.90 |
1.54 |
2.36 |
Alliance(4) |
5,178 |
4 |
15,461 |
4 |
3.72 |
- |
3.72 |
Total |
126,822 |
100 |
383,145 |
100 |
3.68 |
0.88 |
2.80 |
(1) Excludes the effects of financial
instruments but includes the effects of any physical delivery
contracts.(2) Reflects costs to transport natural gas from the
field receipt point to the delivery sales trading hub.(3) Natural
gas sales netback denotes the average realized natural gas sales
price less natural gas transportation costs.(4) Birchcliff has
short-term physical sales agreements with third-party marketers to
sell and deliver into the Alliance pipeline system. Alliance sales
are recorded net of transportation tolls.
Capital Activities and
Investment
-
In Q1 2024, Birchcliff drilled 11 (11.0 net) wells and brought 5
(5.0 net) wells on production, with F&D capital expenditures of
$102.8 million.
The following table sets forth the wells that
were drilled and brought on production in the quarter:
|
Drilled |
On production |
Pouce Coupe |
|
|
|
04-30 pad(1) |
0 |
5 |
|
16-17 pad |
5 |
0 |
|
|
|
|
Gordondale |
|
|
|
|
02-27 pad |
2 |
0 |
|
01-10 pad |
4 |
0 |
TOTAL |
11 |
5 |
(1) The five wells drilled on the 04-30 pad were
drilled in December 2023.
OPERATIONAL UPDATE
Updated Capital Program
-
As previously discussed, Birchcliff removed 2 (2.0 net) wells from
its drilling program that were originally scheduled to be drilled
in Q2 2024 and brought on production in Q4 2024.
-
The Corporation had initially planned to drill and bring on
production a 7-well pad in Pouce Coupe (5 Montney D1 wells and 2
Montney C wells). As a follow-up to the strong results achieved
pursuant to the Corporation’s drilling program year-to-date,
Birchcliff has substituted the previously planned 7-well pad for
its 5-well 10-22 pad in South West Pouce Coupe. This 5-well pad
will target wells in the Lower Montney and is anticipated to be
drilled in Q3 2024 and brought on production in Q4 2024.
-
In order to prepare for the efficient execution of its 2025 capital
program, Birchcliff plans to complete the drilling of 2 (2.0 net)
wells in Q4 2024 as part of a 5-well pad in Pouce Coupe (the 04-05
pad). These wells are planned to be drilled in the Lower Montney
and brought on production in Q1 2025.
-
Year-to-date, the Corporation has drilled 11 (11.0 net) wells and
brought 10 (10.0 net) wells on production.
The following table sets forth the wells that
are part of the Corporation’s updated full-year 2024 drilling
program, including the remaining wells to be drilled and brought on
production in 2024:
|
Number of wells to be brought on production in
2024 |
Number of wells on production as at May 15,
2024 |
Numberof wells to be
drilled in 2024 |
Number of wells drilled as at May 15,
2024 |
Pouce Coupe |
|
|
|
|
|
04-30 (5-well pad)(1) |
Montney D1 |
5 |
5 |
0(2) |
0(2) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
16-17 (5-well pad)(1) |
BD/UM |
1 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
Montney D1 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
|
|
Montney D4 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
16-15 (6-well pad)(1) |
Montney D1 |
6 |
0 |
6 |
0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10-22 (5-well pad)(1) |
Montney D1 |
5 |
0 |
5 |
0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
04-05 (5-well pad)(1) |
Montney D1 |
0(3) |
0(3) |
2 |
0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gordondale |
|
|
|
|
|
02-27 (2-well pad)(1) |
Montney D1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
Montney D2 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
01-10 (4-well pad)(1) |
Montney D1 |
4 |
0 |
4 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
TOTAL |
27 |
10 |
24 |
11 |
(1) All wells are natural gas wells, except for
the 4-well 01-10 pad, which is targeting light oil wells.(2) The
five wells drilled on the 04-30 pad were drilled in December
2023.(3) It is currently anticipated that these wells will be
brought on production in Q1 2025.
Pouce Coupe
-
Birchcliff completed the drilling of its 5-well 04-30 pad in
December 2023. This pad was completed using the Corporation’s
latest completions design, which incorporated reduced stage spacing
and increased proppant loading.
-
Initial production and flowback operations commenced in late
January 2024 and the wells were turned over to production through
Birchcliff’s permanent facilities in late February 2024. The pad
was drilled in the Lower Montney targeting high-rate natural gas.
The wells continue to show strong production rates exhibiting low
declines as highlighted in the table below, which summarizes the
aggregate and average production rates for the wells from the
pad:
5-Well 04-30 Pad IP Rates
|
Wells: IP 30(1) |
Wells: IP 60(1) |
Aggregate production rate (boe/d) |
8,076 |
7,469 |
|
Aggregate natural gas production rate (Mcf/d) |
47,928 |
44,385 |
|
Aggregate condensate production rate (bbls/d) |
88 |
71 |
Average per well production rate (boe/d) |
1,615 |
1,538 |
|
Average
per well natural gas production rate (Mcf/d) |
9,586 |
8,877 |
|
Average per well condensate production rate (bbls/d) |
18 |
14 |
Condensate-to-gas ratio (bbls/MMcf) |
1.8 |
1.6 |
(1) Represents the cumulative volumes for each
well measured at the wellhead separator for the 30 or 60 days (as
applicable) of production immediately after each well was
considered stabilized after producing fracture treatment fluid back
to surface in an amount such that flow rates of hydrocarbons became
reliable. The natural gas volumes represent raw natural gas volumes
as opposed to sales gas volumes. See “Advisories – Initial
Production Rates”.
-
Birchcliff completed the drilling of its 5-well 16-17 pad in
February 2024. Three of the wells were turned over to production
through Birchcliff’s permanent facilities in April 2024 and the
remaining two wells are expected to be turned over to production in
late May 2024. The pad targeted condensate-rich natural gas, with
three wells in the Lower Montney and two wells in the Upper
Montney. As the wells on these pads have not yet produced for over
60 days, Birchcliff anticipates providing further details regarding
the results of these wells with the release of its Q2 2024
results.
-
Birchcliff expects to commence the drilling of its 6-well 16-15 pad
in Q3 2024, with the pad expected to be brought on production in Q4
2024. This pad will target wells in the Lower Montney.
Gordondale
-
Birchcliff completed the drilling of its 2-well 02-27 pad in March
2024 and the wells were turned over to production through
Birchcliff’s permanent facilities in late April 2024. This pad
targeted liquids-rich natural gas wells in the Lower Montney.
-
Birchcliff completed the drilling of its 4-well 01-10 pad in March
2024. Flowback operations have commenced and the wells are expected
to be turned over to production in late May 2024. This pad targeted
light oil wells in the Lower Montney.
-
Birchcliff anticipates providing the results of these wells with
the release of its Q2 2024 results.
ABBREVIATIONS
AECO |
benchmark price for natural gas determined at the AECO ‘C’ hub in
southeast Alberta |
ATP |
Alliance Trading Pool |
bbl |
barrel |
bbls |
barrels |
bbls/d |
barrels per day |
BD/UM |
Basal Doig/Upper Montney |
boe |
barrel of oil equivalent |
boe/d |
barrel of oil equivalent per day |
condensate |
pentanes plus (C5+) |
F&D |
finding and development |
G&A |
general and administrative |
GAAP |
generally accepted accounting principles for Canadian public
companies, which are currently International Financial Reporting
Standards as issued by the International Accounting Standards
Board |
GJ |
gigajoule |
GJ/d |
gigajoules per day |
HH |
Henry Hub |
IP |
initial production |
LNG |
liquefied natural gas |
Mcf |
thousand cubic feet |
Mcf/d |
thousand cubic feet per day |
MMBtu |
million British thermal units |
MMBtu/d |
million British thermal units per day |
MMcf |
million cubic feet |
MSW |
price for mixed sweet crude oil at Edmonton, Alberta |
NGLs |
natural gas liquids consisting of ethane (C2), propane (C3) and
butane (C4) and specifically excluding condensate |
NYMEX |
New York Mercantile Exchange |
OPEC |
Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries |
Q |
quarter |
WTI |
West Texas Intermediate, the reference price paid in U.S. dollars
at Cushing, Oklahoma, for crude oil of standard grade |
000s |
thousands |
$000s |
thousands of dollars |
NON-GAAP AND OTHER FINANCIAL
MEASURES
This press release uses various “non-GAAP
financial measures”, “non-GAAP ratios” and “capital management
measures” (as such terms are defined in NI 52-112), which are
described in further detail below.
Non-GAAP Financial Measures
NI 52-112 defines a non-GAAP financial measure
as a financial measure that: (i) depicts the historical or expected
future financial performance, financial position or cash flow of an
entity; (ii) with respect to its composition, excludes an amount
that is included in, or includes an amount that is excluded from,
the composition of the most directly comparable financial measure
disclosed in the primary financial statements of the entity; (iii)
is not disclosed in the financial statements of the entity; and
(iv) is not a ratio, fraction, percentage or similar
representation. The non-GAAP financial measures used in this press
release are not standardized financial measures under GAAP and
might not be comparable to similar measures presented by other
companies. Investors are cautioned that non-GAAP financial measures
should not be construed as alternatives to or more meaningful than
the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures as indicators
of Birchcliff’s performance. Set forth below is a description of
the non-GAAP financial measures used in this press release.
Adjusted Funds Flow and Free Funds
Flow
Birchcliff defines “adjusted funds flow” as cash
flow from operating activities before the effects of
decommissioning expenditures, retirement benefit payments and
changes in non-cash operating working capital. Birchcliff
eliminates settlements of decommissioning expenditures from cash
flow from operating activities as the amounts can be discretionary
and may vary from period to period depending on its capital
programs and the maturity of its operating areas. The settlement of
decommissioning expenditures is managed with Birchcliff’s capital
budgeting process which considers available adjusted funds flow.
Birchcliff eliminates retirement benefit payments from cash flow
from operating activities as such payments reflect costs for past
service and contributions made by eligible executives under the
Corporation’s post-employment benefit plan, which are not
indicative of the current period. Changes in non-cash operating
working capital are eliminated in the determination of adjusted
funds flow as the timing of collection and payment are variable and
by excluding them from the calculation, the Corporation believes
that it is able to provide a more meaningful measure of its
operations and ability to generate cash on a continuing basis.
Management believes that adjusted funds flow assists management and
investors in assessing Birchcliff’s financial performance after
deducting all operating and corporate cash costs, as well as its
ability to generate the cash necessary to fund sustaining and/or
growth capital expenditures, repay debt, settle decommissioning
obligations, buy back common shares and pay dividends.
Birchcliff defines “free funds flow” as adjusted
funds flow less F&D capital expenditures. Management believes
that free funds flow assists management and investors in assessing
Birchcliff’s ability to generate shareholder returns through a
number of initiatives, including but not limited to, debt
repayment, common share buybacks, the payment of common share
dividends, acquisitions and other opportunities that would
complement or otherwise improve the Corporation’s business and
enhance long-term shareholder value.
The most directly comparable GAAP financial
measure to adjusted funds flow and free funds flow is cash flow
from operating activities. The following table provides a
reconciliation of cash flow from operating activities to adjusted
funds flow and free funds flow for the periods indicated:
|
Three months ended |
|
Twelve months ended |
|
|
March 31, |
|
December 31, |
|
($000s) |
2024 |
|
2023 |
|
2023 |
|
Cash flow from operating activities |
65,255 |
|
111,330 |
|
320,529 |
|
Change in non-cash operating working capital |
(13,163 |
) |
(22,967 |
) |
(19,477 |
) |
Decommissioning expenditures |
138 |
|
374 |
|
3,775 |
|
Retirement benefit payments |
13,851 |
|
- |
|
2,000 |
|
Adjusted funds flow |
66,081 |
|
88,737 |
|
306,827 |
|
F&D capital expenditures |
(102,773 |
) |
(115,039 |
) |
(304,637 |
) |
Free funds flow |
(36,692 |
) |
(26,302 |
) |
2,190 |
|
Birchcliff has disclosed in this press release
forecasts of adjusted funds flow and free funds flow for 2024,
which are forward-looking non-GAAP financial measures (see “Outlook
and Guidance – Updated 2024 Guidance”). The equivalent historical
non-GAAP financial measures are adjusted funds flow and free funds
flow for the twelve months ended December 31, 2023. Birchcliff
anticipates the forward-looking non-GAAP financial measure for
adjusted funds flow to be lower than its historical amount
primarily due to lower anticipated benchmark natural gas prices.
Birchcliff anticipates the forward-looking non-GAAP financial
measure for free funds flow to be higher than its historical amount
primarily due to lower anticipated F&D capital expenditures.
The commodity price assumptions on which the Corporation’s guidance
is based are set forth under the heading “Outlook and Guidance –
Updated 2024 Guidance”.
Transportation and Other
Expense
Birchcliff defines “transportation and other
expense” as transportation expense plus marketing purchases less
marketing revenue. Birchcliff may enter into certain marketing
purchase and sales arrangements with the objective of reducing any
unused transportation or fractionation fees associated with its
take-or-pay commitments and/or increasing the value of its
production through value-added downstream initiatives. Management
believes that transportation and other expense assists management
and investors in assessing Birchcliff’s total cost structure
related to transportation and marketing activities. The most
directly comparable GAAP financial measure to transportation and
other expense is transportation expense. The following table
provides a reconciliation of transportation expense to
transportation and other expense for the periods indicated:
|
Three months ended |
|
Twelve months ended |
|
|
March 31, |
|
December 31, |
|
($000s) |
2024 |
|
2023 |
|
2023 |
|
Transportation expense |
36,625 |
|
34,517 |
|
152,828 |
|
Marketing purchases |
7,111 |
|
10,625 |
|
34,772 |
|
Marketing revenue |
(9,468 |
) |
(9,438 |
) |
(30,521 |
) |
Transportation and other expense |
34,268 |
|
35,704 |
|
157,079 |
|
Operating Netback
Birchcliff defines “operating netback” as
petroleum and natural gas revenue less royalty expense, operating
expense and transportation and other expense. Operating netback is
a key industry performance indicator and one that provides
investors with information that is commonly presented by other oil
and natural gas producers. Management believes that operating
netback assists management and investors in assessing Birchcliff’s
operating profits after deducting the cash costs that are directly
associated with the sale of its production, which can then be used
to pay other corporate cash costs or satisfy other obligations. The
following table provides a breakdown of Birchcliff’s operating
netback for the periods indicated:
Three months ended, ($000s) |
March 31, 2024 |
|
March 31, 2023 |
|
P&NG revenue |
163,304 |
|
208,647 |
|
Royalty expense |
(14,467 |
) |
(29,308 |
) |
Operating expense |
(26,427 |
) |
(26,502 |
) |
Transportation and other expense |
(34,268 |
) |
(35,704 |
) |
Operating netback |
88,142 |
|
117,133 |
|
Total Capital Expenditures
Birchcliff defines “total capital expenditures”
as exploration and development expenditures less dispositions plus
acquisitions (if any) and plus administrative assets. Management
believes that total capital expenditures assists management and
investors in assessing Birchcliff’s overall capital cost structure
associated with its petroleum and natural gas activities. The most
directly comparable GAAP financial measure to total capital
expenditures is exploration and development expenditures. The
following table provides a reconciliation of exploration and
development expenditures to total capital expenditures for the
periods indicated:
Three months ended, ($000s) |
March 31, 2024 |
|
March 31, 2023 |
Exploration and development expenditures(1) |
102,773 |
|
115,039 |
Dispositions |
(109 |
) |
- |
Administrative assets |
820 |
|
620 |
Total capital expenditures |
103,484 |
|
115,659 |
(1) Disclosed as F&D
capital expenditures elsewhere in this press release See
“Advisories – F&D Capital Expenditures”.
Effective Sales – Total Corporate, Total
Natural Gas, AECO Market and NYMEX HH Market
Birchcliff defines “effective sales” in the AECO
market and NYMEX HH market as the sales amount received from the
production of natural gas that is effectively attributed to the
AECO and NYMEX HH market pricing, respectively, and does not
consider the physical sales delivery point in each case. Effective
sales in the NYMEX HH market includes realized gains and losses on
financial instruments and excludes the notional fixed basis costs
associated with the underlying financial contract in the period.
Birchcliff defines “effective total natural gas sales” as the
aggregate of the effective sales amount received in each natural
gas market. Birchcliff defines “effective total corporate sales” as
the aggregate of the effective total natural gas sales and the
sales amount received from the production of light oil, condensate
and NGLs. Management believes that disclosing the effective sales
for each natural gas market assists management and investors in
assessing Birchcliff’s natural gas diversification and commodity
price exposure to each market. The most directly comparable GAAP
financial measure to effective total natural gas sales and
effective total corporate sales is natural gas sales. The following
table provides a reconciliation of natural gas sales to effective
total natural gas sales and effective total corporate sales for the
periods indicated:
Three months ended, ($000s) |
March 31, 2024 |
|
March 31, 2023 |
|
Natural gas sales |
88,022 |
|
126,822 |
|
Realized loss on financial instruments |
(5,628 |
) |
(15,811 |
) |
Notional fixed basis costs(1) |
18,477 |
|
20,515 |
|
Effective total natural gas sales |
100,871 |
|
131,526 |
|
Light oil sales |
13,219 |
|
19,862 |
|
Condensate sales |
43,477 |
|
51,062 |
|
NGLs sales |
18,568 |
|
10,855 |
|
Effective total corporate sales |
176,135 |
|
213,305 |
|
(1) Reflects the aggregate notional fixed basis
cost associated with Birchcliff’s financial and any physical NYMEX
HH/AECO 7A basis swap contracts in the period.
Non-GAAP Ratios
NI 52-112 defines a non-GAAP ratio as a
financial measure that: (i) is in the form of a ratio, fraction,
percentage or similar representation; (ii) has a non-GAAP financial
measure as one or more of its components; and (iii) is not
disclosed in the financial statements of the entity. The non-GAAP
ratios used in this press release are not standardized financial
measures under GAAP and might not be comparable to similar measures
presented by other companies. Set forth below is a description of
the non-GAAP ratios used in this press release.
Adjusted Funds Flow Per Boe and Adjusted
Funds Flow Per Basic Common Share
Birchcliff calculates “adjusted funds flow per
boe” as aggregate adjusted funds flow in the period divided by the
production (boe) in the period. Management believes that adjusted
funds flow per boe assists management and investors in assessing
Birchcliff’s financial profitability and sustainability on a cash
basis by isolating the impact of production volumes to better
analyze its performance against prior periods on a comparable
basis.
Birchcliff calculates “adjusted funds flow per
basic common share” as aggregate adjusted funds flow in the period
divided by the weighted average basic common shares outstanding at
the end of the period. Management believes that adjusted funds flow
per basic common share assists management and investors in
assessing Birchcliff’s financial strength on a per common share
basis.
Free Funds Flow Per Basic Common
Share
Birchcliff calculates “free funds flow per basic
common share” as aggregate free funds flow in the period divided by
the weighted average basic common shares outstanding at the end of
the period. Management believes that free funds flow per basic
common share assists management and investors in assessing
Birchcliff’s financial strength and its ability to deliver
shareholder returns on a per common share basis.
Transportation and Other Expense Per
Boe
Birchcliff calculates “transportation and other
expense per boe” as aggregate transportation and other expense in
the period divided by the production (boe) in the period.
Management believes that transportation and other expense per boe
assists management and investors in assessing Birchcliff’s cost
structure as it relates to its transportation and marketing
activities by isolating the impact of production volumes to better
analyze its performance against prior periods on a comparable
basis.
Operating Netback Per Boe
Birchcliff calculates “operating netback per
boe” as aggregate operating netback in the period divided by the
production (boe) in the period. Operating netback per boe is a key
industry performance indicator and one that provides investors with
information that is commonly presented by other oil and natural gas
producers. Management believes that operating netback per boe
assists management and investors in assessing Birchcliff’s
operating profitability and sustainability by isolating the impact
of production volumes to better analyze its performance against
prior periods on a comparable basis.
Effective Average Realized Sales Price –
Total Corporate, Total Natural Gas, AECO Market and NYMEX HH
Market
Birchcliff calculates “effective average
realized sales price” as effective sales, in each of total
corporate, total natural gas, AECO market and NYMEX HH market, as
the case may be, divided by the effective production in each of the
markets during the period. Management believes that disclosing the
effective average realized sales price for each natural gas market
assists management and investors in comparing Birchcliff’s
commodity price realizations in each natural gas market on a per
unit basis.
Capital Management Measures
NI 52-112 defines a capital management measure
as a financial measure that: (i) is intended to enable an
individual to evaluate an entity’s objectives, policies and
processes for managing the entity’s capital; (ii) is not a
component of a line item disclosed in the primary financial
statements of the entity; (iii) is disclosed in the notes to the
financial statements of the entity; and (iv) is not disclosed in
the primary financial statements of the entity. Set forth below is
a description of the capital management measure used in this press
release.
Total Debt
Birchcliff calculates “total debt” as the amount
outstanding under the Corporation’s Credit Facilities plus working
capital deficit (less working capital surplus) plus the fair value
of the current asset portion of financial instruments less the fair
value of the current liability portion of financial instruments and
less the current portion of other liabilities discounted at the end
of the period. Management believes that total debt assists
management and investors in assessing Birchcliff’s overall
liquidity and financial position at the end of the period. The
following table provides a reconciliation of the amount outstanding
under the Credit Facilities, as determined in accordance with GAAP,
to total debt for the periods indicated:
As at, ($000s) |
March 31, 2024 |
|
December 31, 2023 |
|
March 31, 2023 |
|
Revolving term credit facilities |
428,566 |
|
372,097 |
|
191,426 |
|
Working capital deficit (surplus)(1) |
34,261 |
|
13,084 |
|
60,729 |
|
Fair value of financial instruments – asset(2) |
240 |
|
3,588 |
|
7,585 |
|
Fair value of financial instruments – liability(2) |
(14,550 |
) |
(1,394 |
) |
(27,942 |
) |
Other liabilities(2) |
(5,137 |
) |
(5,069 |
) |
(13,871 |
) |
Total debt |
443,380 |
|
382,306 |
|
217,927 |
|
(1) Current liabilities less current assets.(2)
Reflects the current portion only.
ADVISORIES
Unaudited Information
All financial and operational information
contained in this press release for the three months ended March
31, 2024 and 2023 is unaudited.
Currency
Unless otherwise indicated, all dollar amounts
are expressed in Canadian dollars, all references to “$” and “CDN$”
are to Canadian dollars and all references to “US$” are to United
States dollars.
Boe Conversions
Boe amounts have been calculated by using the
conversion ratio of 6 Mcf of natural gas to 1 bbl of oil. Boe
amounts may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A boe
conversion ratio of 6 Mcf: 1 bbl is based on an energy equivalency
conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does
not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. Given that the
value ratio based on the current price of crude oil as compared to
natural gas is significantly different from the energy equivalency
of 6:1, utilizing a conversion on a 6:1 basis may be misleading as
an indication of value.
MMBtu Pricing Conversions
$1.00 per MMBtu equals $1.00 per Mcf based on a
standard heat value Mcf.
Oil and Gas Metrics
This press release contains metrics commonly
used in the oil and natural gas industry, including operating
netback. These oil and gas metrics do not have any standardized
meanings or standard methods of calculation and therefore may not
be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies. As
such, they should not be used to make comparisons. Management uses
these oil and gas metrics for its own performance measurements and
to provide investors with measures to compare Birchcliff’s
performance over time; however, such measures are not reliable
indicators of Birchcliff’s future performance, which may not
compare to Birchcliff’s performance in previous periods, and
therefore should not be unduly relied upon. For additional
information regarding operating netback and how such metric is
calculated, see “Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures”.
Production
With respect to the disclosure of Birchcliff’s
production contained in this press release: (i) references to
“light oil” mean “light crude oil and medium crude oil” as such
term is defined in National Instrument 51-101 – Standards of
Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities (“NI
51-101”); (ii) references to “liquids” mean “light crude
oil and medium crude oil” and “natural gas liquids” (including
condensate) as such terms are defined in NI 51-101; and (iii)
references to “natural gas” mean “shale gas”, which also includes
an immaterial amount of “conventional natural gas”, as such terms
are defined in NI 51-101. In addition, NI 51-101 includes
condensate within the product type of natural gas liquids.
Birchcliff has disclosed condensate separately from other natural
gas liquids as the price of condensate as compared to other natural
gas liquids is currently significantly higher and Birchcliff
believes presenting the two commodities separately provides a more
accurate description of its operations and results therefrom.
Initial Production Rates
Any references in this press release to initial
production rates or other short-term production rates are useful in
confirming the presence of hydrocarbons; however, such rates are
not determinative of the rates at which such wells will continue to
produce and decline thereafter and are not indicative of the
long-term performance or the ultimate recovery of such wells. In
addition, such rates may also include recovered “load oil” or “load
water” fluids used in well completion stimulation. Readers are
cautioned not to place undue reliance on such rates in calculating
the aggregate production for Birchcliff. Such rates are based on
field estimates and may be based on limited data available at this
time.
With respect to the production rates for the
Corporation’s 5-well 04-30 pad disclosed herein, such rates
represent the cumulative volumes for each well measured at the
wellhead separator for the 30 and 60 days (as applicable) of
production immediately after each well was considered stabilized
after producing fracture treatment fluid back to surface in an
amount such that flow rates of hydrocarbons became reliable,
divided by 30 or 60 (as applicable), which were then added together
to determine the aggregate production rates for the 5-well pad and
then divided by 5 to determine the per well average production
rates. The production rates excluded the hours and days when the
wells did not produce. To-date, no pressure transient or well-test
interpretation has been carried out on any of the wells. The
natural gas volumes represent raw natural gas volumes as opposed to
sales gas volumes.
F&D Capital
Expenditures
Unless otherwise stated, references in this
press release to “F&D capital expenditures” denotes exploration
and development expenditures as disclosed in the Corporation’s
financial statements in accordance with GAAP, and is primarily
comprised of capital for land, seismic, workovers, drilling and
completions, well equipment and facilities and capitalized G&A
costs and excludes any acquisitions, dispositions, administrative
assets and the capitalized portion of cash incentive payments that
have not been approved by the Board. Management believes that
F&D capital expenditures assists management and investors in
assessing Birchcliff’s capital cost outlay associated with its
exploration and development activities for the purposes of finding
and developing its reserves.
Forward-Looking Statements
Certain statements contained in this press
release constitute forward‐looking statements and forward-looking
information (collectively referred to as “forward‐looking
statements”) within the meaning of applicable Canadian
securities laws. The forward-looking statements contained in this
press release relate to future events or Birchcliff’s future plans,
strategy, operations, performance or financial position and are
based on Birchcliff’s current expectations, estimates, projections,
beliefs and assumptions. Such forward-looking statements have been
made by Birchcliff in light of the information available to it at
the time the statements were made and reflect its experience and
perception of historical trends. All statements and information
other than historical fact may be forward‐looking statements. Such
forward‐looking statements are often, but not always, identified by
the use of words such as “seek”, “plan”, “focus”, “future”,
“outlook”, “position”, “expect”, “project”, “intend”, “believe”,
“anticipate”, “estimate”, “forecast”, “guidance”, “potential”,
“proposed”, “predict”, “budget”, “continue”, “targeting”, “may”,
“will”, “could”, “might”, “should”, “would”, “on track”,
“maintain”, “deliver” and other similar words and expressions.
By their nature, forward-looking statements
involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors
that may cause actual results or events to differ materially from
those anticipated in such forward‐looking statements. Accordingly,
readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on such
forward-looking statements. Although Birchcliff believes that the
expectations reflected in the forward-looking statements are
reasonable, there can be no assurance that such expectations will
prove to be correct and Birchcliff makes no representation that
actual results achieved will be the same in whole or in part as
those set out in the forward-looking statements.
In particular, this press release contains
forward‐looking statements relating to:
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Birchcliff’s plans and other aspects of its anticipated future
financial performance, results, operations, focus, objectives,
strategies, opportunities, priorities and goals, including: that
Birchcliff remains focused on strengthening its business and its
capital efficiencies by continuously improving its well results and
reducing its costs; that although natural gas prices are forecasted
to remain challenged through the middle part of 2024, the
Corporation remains bullish on the long-term outlook for natural
gas; that Birchcliff expects prices to improve due to the
anticipated increased demand from the start-up of various LNG
projects in North America and gas-fired power generation; that in
the current commodity price environment, the Corporation is
committed to maintaining a strong balance sheet, the development of
its world-class Montney asset base and shareholder returns; that in
alignment with its commitment to maintain a strong balance sheet,
the Corporation is continuing to target a total debt to forward
annual adjusted funds flow ratio of less than 1.0 times in the
long-term; and that the Corporation will continue to closely
monitor commodity prices and will adjust its business and
activities as required;
-
the information set forth under the heading “Outlook and Guidance”
and elsewhere in this press release as it relates to Birchcliff’s
outlook and guidance, including: forecasts of annual average
production, production commodity mix, average expenses, adjusted
funds flow, F&D capital expenditures, free funds flow, annual
base dividend, total debt at year end and natural gas market
exposure in 2024; the expected impact of changes in commodity
prices and the CDN/US exchange rate on Birchcliff’s forecast of
free funds flow for 2024; and that lower anticipated adjusted funds
flow in 2024 is expected to result in higher total debt at year-end
2024 than previously forecast;
-
the information set forth under the headings “Outlook and Guidance”
and “Operational Update” and elsewhere in this press release as it
relates to Birchcliff’s 2024 capital program and its exploration,
production and development activities and the timing thereof,
including: estimates of F&D capital expenditures and statements
regarding capital allocation; the anticipated number, types and
timing of wells and pads to be drilled and brought on production
and targeted product types; that as a result of the outperformance
of the wells brought on production year-to-date, the Corporation is
adjusting its capital program for the balance of 2024 to remove two
natural gas wells from its remaining 13-well program, while
maintaining its previous 2024 production guidance of 74,000 to
77,000 boe/d; that capital has been reallocated to Q4 2024 to
prepare for the efficient execution of the Corporation’s 2025
capital program; that in order to prepare for the efficient
execution of its 2025 capital program, Birchcliff plans to complete
the drilling of 2 (2.0 net) wells in Q4 2024; that these wells are
planned to be brought on production in Q1 2025, when natural gas
prices are forecast to be higher; that capital will also be
allocated towards the drilling of various surface holes, pad-site
construction and other activities in preparation for the 2025
capital program; that Birchcliff expects to invest approximately
$10.0 million in Q4 2024 in connection with such activities; that
the Corporation has the necessary water storage and infrastructure
in place to allow it to execute on the remainder of its 2024
capital program; that in the second half of the year, Birchcliff
will continue to evaluate further investment in Elmworth that is
not currently contemplated in its 2024 capital program in order to
protect, optimize and further its long-term development strategy of
this asset; and that Birchcliff anticipates providing further
details regarding the results of its 16-17, 02-27 and 01-10 pads
with the release of its Q2 2024 results;
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the performance and other characteristics of Birchcliff’s oil and
natural gas properties and expected results from its assets
(including statements regarding the potential or prospectivity of
Birchcliff’s properties); and
-
that Birchcliff anticipates the forward-looking non-GAAP financial
measure for adjusted funds flow to be lower than its historical
amount primarily due to lower anticipated benchmark natural gas
prices and that Birchcliff anticipates the forward-looking non-GAAP
financial measure for free funds flow to be higher than its
historical amount primarily due to lower anticipated F&D
capital expenditures.
With respect to the forward‐looking statements
contained in this press release, assumptions have been made
regarding, among other things: prevailing and future commodity
prices and differentials, exchange rates, interest rates, inflation
rates, royalty rates and tax rates; the state of the economy,
financial markets and the exploration, development and production
business; the political environment in which Birchcliff operates;
the regulatory framework regarding royalties, taxes, environmental,
climate change and other laws; the Corporation’s ability to comply
with existing and future laws; future cash flow, debt and dividend
levels; future operating, transportation, G&A and other
expenses; Birchcliff’s ability to access capital and obtain
financing on acceptable terms; the timing and amount of capital
expenditures and the sources of funding for capital expenditures
and other activities; the sufficiency of budgeted capital
expenditures to carry out planned operations; the successful and
timely implementation of capital projects and the timing, location
and extent of future drilling and other operations; results of
operations; Birchcliff’s ability to continue to develop its assets
and obtain the anticipated benefits therefrom; the performance of
existing and future wells; reserves volumes and Birchcliff’s
ability to replace and expand reserves through acquisition,
development or exploration; the impact of competition on
Birchcliff; the availability of, demand for and cost of labour,
services and materials; the approval of the Board of future
dividends; the ability to obtain any necessary regulatory or other
approvals in a timely manner; the satisfaction by third parties of
their obligations to Birchcliff; the ability of Birchcliff to
secure adequate processing and transportation for its products;
Birchcliff’s ability to successfully market natural gas and
liquids; the results of the Corporation’s risk management and
market diversification activities; and Birchcliff’s natural gas
market exposure. In addition to the foregoing assumptions,
Birchcliff has made the following assumptions with respect to
certain forward-looking statements contained in this press
release:
-
With respect to Birchcliff’s 2024 guidance (as updated on May 15,
2024), such guidance is based on the commodity price, exchange rate
and other assumptions set forth under the heading “Outlook and
Guidance – Updated 2024 Guidance”. In addition:
-
Birchcliff’s production guidance assumes that: the 2024 capital
program will be carried out as currently contemplated; no
unexpected outages occur in the infrastructure that Birchcliff
relies on to produce its wells and that any transportation service
curtailments or unplanned outages that occur will be short in
duration or otherwise insignificant; the construction of new
infrastructure meets timing and operational expectations; existing
wells continue to meet production expectations; and future wells
scheduled to come on production meet timing, production and capital
expenditure expectations.
-
Birchcliff’s forecast of F&D capital expenditures assumes that
the 2024 capital program will be carried out as currently
contemplated and excludes any potential acquisitions, dispositions
and the capitalized portion of cash incentive payments that have
not been approved by the Board. The amount and allocation of
capital expenditures for exploration and development activities by
area and the number and types of wells to be drilled and brought on
production is dependent upon results achieved and is subject to
review and modification by management on an ongoing basis
throughout the year. Actual spending may vary due to a variety of
factors, including commodity prices, economic conditions, results
of operations and costs of labour, services and materials.
-
Birchcliff’s forecasts of adjusted funds flow and free funds flow
assume that: the 2024 capital program will be carried out as
currently contemplated and the level of capital spending for 2024
set forth herein is met; and the forecasts of production,
production commodity mix, expenses and natural gas market exposure
and the commodity price and exchange rate assumptions set forth
herein are met. Birchcliff’s forecast of adjusted funds flow takes
into account its financial basis swap contracts outstanding as at
May 3, 2024 and excludes cash incentive payments that have not been
approved by the Board.
-
Birchcliff’s forecast of year end total debt assumes that: (i) the
forecasts of adjusted funds flow and free funds flow are achieved,
with the level of capital spending for 2024 met and the payment of
an annual base dividend of approximately $107 million; (ii) any
free funds flow remaining after the payment of dividends, asset
retirement obligations and other amounts for administrative assets,
financing fees and capital lease obligations is allocated towards
debt reduction; (iii) there are no buybacks of common shares during
2024; (iv) there are no significant acquisitions or dispositions
completed by the Corporation during 2024; (v) there are no equity
issuances during 2024; and (vi) there are no further proceeds
received from the exercise of stock options or performance warrants
during 2024. The forecast of total debt excludes cash incentive
payments that have not been approved by the Board.
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Birchcliff’s forecast of its natural gas market exposure assumes:
(i) 175,000 GJ/d being sold on a physical basis at the Dawn price;
(ii) 147,500 MMBtu/d being contracted on a financial basis at an
average fixed basis differential price between AECO 7A and NYMEX HH
of approximately US$1.12/MMBtu; and (iii) 9,045 GJ/d being sold at
Alliance on a physical basis at the AECO 5A price plus a premium.
Birchcliff’s natural gas market exposure takes into account its
financial basis swap contracts outstanding as at May 3, 2024.
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With respect to statements regarding future wells to be drilled and
brought on production, such statements assume: the continuing
validity of the geological and other technical interpretations
performed by Birchcliff’s technical staff, which indicate that
commercially economic volumes can be recovered from Birchcliff’s
lands as a result of drilling future wells; and that commodity
prices and general economic conditions will warrant proceeding with
the drilling of such wells.
Birchcliff’s actual results, performance or
achievements could differ materially from those anticipated in the
forward-looking statements as a result of both known and unknown
risks and uncertainties including, but not limited to: the risks
posed by pandemics, epidemics and global conflict (including the
Russian invasion of Ukraine and the Israel-Hamas conflict) and
their impacts on supply and demand and commodity prices; actions
taken by OPEC and other major producers of crude oil and the impact
such actions may have on supply and demand and commodity prices;
the uncertainty of estimates and projections relating to
production, revenue, costs, expenses and reserves; the risk that
any of the Corporation’s material assumptions prove to be
materially inaccurate (including the Corporation’s commodity price
and exchange rate assumptions); general economic, market and
business conditions which will, among other things, impact the
demand for and market prices of Birchcliff’s products and
Birchcliff’s access to capital; volatility of crude oil and natural
gas prices; risks associated with increasing costs, whether due to
high inflation rates, supply chain disruptions or other factors;
fluctuations in exchange and interest rates; stock market
volatility; loss of market demand; an inability to access
sufficient capital from internal and external sources on terms
acceptable to the Corporation; risks associated with Birchcliff’s
Credit Facilities, including a failure to comply with covenants
under the agreement governing the Credit Facilities and the risk
that the borrowing base limit may be redetermined; fluctuations in
the costs of borrowing; operational risks and liabilities inherent
in oil and natural gas operations; the occurrence of unexpected
events such as fires, severe weather, explosions, blow-outs,
equipment failures, transportation incidents and other similar
events; an inability to access sufficient water or other fluids
needed for operations; uncertainty that development activities in
connection with Birchcliff’s assets will be economic; an inability
to access or implement some or all of the technology necessary to
operate its assets and achieve expected future results; the
accuracy of estimates of reserves, future net revenue and
production levels; geological, technical, drilling, construction
and processing problems; uncertainty of geological and technical
data; horizontal drilling and completions techniques and the
failure of drilling results to meet expectations for reserves or
production; uncertainties related to Birchcliff’s future potential
drilling locations; delays or changes in plans with respect to
exploration or development projects or capital expenditures; the
accuracy of cost estimates and variances in Birchcliff’s actual
costs and economic returns from those anticipated; incorrect
assessments of the value of acquisitions and exploration and
development programs; changes to the regulatory framework in the
locations where the Corporation operates, including changes to tax
laws, Crown royalty rates, environmental laws, climate change laws,
carbon tax regimes, incentive programs and other regulations that
affect the oil and natural gas industry; political uncertainty and
uncertainty associated with government policy changes; actions by
government authorities; an inability of the Corporation to comply
with existing and future laws and the cost of compliance with such
laws; dependence on facilities, gathering lines and pipelines;
uncertainties and risks associated with pipeline restrictions and
outages to third-party infrastructure that could cause disruptions
to production; the lack of available pipeline capacity and an
inability to secure adequate and cost-effective processing and
transportation for Birchcliff’s products; an inability to satisfy
obligations under Birchcliff’s firm marketing and transportation
arrangements; shortages in equipment and skilled personnel; the
absence or loss of key employees; competition for, among other
things, capital, acquisitions of reserves, undeveloped lands,
equipment and skilled personnel; management of Birchcliff’s growth;
environmental and climate change risks, claims and liabilities;
potential litigation; default under or breach of agreements by
counterparties and potential enforceability issues in contracts;
claims by Indigenous peoples; the reassessment by taxing or
regulatory authorities of the Corporation’s prior transactions and
filings; unforeseen title defects; third-party claims regarding the
Corporation’s right to use technology and equipment; uncertainties
associated with the outcome of litigation or other proceedings
involving Birchcliff; uncertainties associated with counterparty
credit risk; risks associated with Birchcliff’s risk management and
market diversification activities; risks associated with the
declaration and payment of future dividends, including the
discretion of the Board to declare dividends and change the
Corporation’s dividend policy and the risk that the amount of
dividends may be less than currently forecast; the failure to
obtain any required approvals in a timely manner or at all; the
failure to complete or realize the anticipated benefits of
acquisitions and dispositions and the risk of unforeseen
difficulties in integrating acquired assets into Birchcliff’s
operations; negative public perception of the oil and natural gas
industry and fossil fuels; the Corporation’s reliance on hydraulic
fracturing; market competition, including from alternative energy
sources; changing demand for petroleum products; the availability
of insurance and the risk that certain losses may not be insured;
breaches or failure of information systems and security (including
risks associated with cyber-attacks); risks associated with the
ownership of the Corporation’s securities; and the accuracy of the
Corporation’s accounting estimates and judgments.
The declaration and payment of any future
dividends are subject to the discretion of the Board and may not be
approved or may vary depending on a variety of factors and
conditions existing from time to time, including commodity prices,
free funds flow, current and forecast commodity prices,
fluctuations in working capital, financial requirements of
Birchcliff, applicable laws (including solvency tests under the
Business Corporations Act (Alberta) for the declaration and payment
of dividends) and other factors beyond Birchcliff’s control. The
payment of dividends to shareholders is not assured or guaranteed
and dividends may be reduced or suspended entirely. In addition to
the foregoing, the Corporation’s ability to pay dividends now or in
the future may be limited by covenants contained in the agreements
governing any indebtedness that the Corporation has incurred or may
incur in the future, including the terms of the Credit Facilities.
The agreement governing the Credit Facilities provides that
Birchcliff is not permitted to make any distribution (which
includes dividends) at any time when an event of default exists or
would reasonably be expected to exist upon making such
distribution, unless such event of default arose subsequent to the
ordinary course declaration of the applicable distribution.
Readers are cautioned that the foregoing lists
of factors are not exhaustive. Additional information on these and
other risk factors that could affect Birchcliff’s results of
operations, financial performance or financial results are included
in Birchcliff’s annual information form and annual management’s
discussion and analysis for the financial year ended December 31,
2023 under the heading “Risk Factors” and in other reports filed
with Canadian securities regulatory authorities.
This press release contains information that may
constitute future-oriented financial information or financial
outlook information (collectively, “FOFI”) about
Birchcliff’s prospective financial performance, financial position
or cash flows, all of which is subject to the same assumptions,
risk factors, limitations and qualifications as set forth above.
Readers are cautioned that the assumptions used in the preparation
of such information, although considered reasonable at the time of
preparation, may prove to be imprecise or inaccurate and, as such,
undue reliance should not be placed on FOFI. Birchcliff’s actual
results, performance and achievements could differ materially from
those expressed in, or implied by, FOFI. Birchcliff has included
FOFI in order to provide readers with a more complete perspective
on Birchcliff’s future operations and management’s current
expectations relating to Birchcliff’s future performance. Readers
are cautioned that such information may not be appropriate for
other purposes.
Management has included the above summary of
assumptions and risks related to forward-looking statements
provided in this press release in order to provide readers with a
more complete perspective on Birchcliff’s future operations and
management’s current expectations relating to Birchcliff’s future
performance. Readers are cautioned that this information may not be
appropriate for other purposes.
The forward-looking statements and FOFI
contained in this press release are expressly qualified by the
foregoing cautionary statements. The forward-looking statements and
FOFI contained herein are made as of the date of this press
release. Unless required by applicable laws, Birchcliff does not
undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any
forward-looking statements or FOFI, whether as a result of new
information, future events or otherwise.
ABOUT BIRCHCLIFF:
Birchcliff is a dividend-paying, intermediate
oil and natural gas company based in Calgary, Alberta with
operations focused on the Montney/Doig Resource Play in Alberta.
Birchcliff’s common shares are listed for trading on the Toronto
Stock Exchange under the symbol “BIR”.
For further information, please contact: |
|
Birchcliff Energy Ltd.Suite 1000, 600 –
3rd Avenue S.W.Calgary, Alberta T2P 0G5Telephone:
(403) 261-6401Email: birinfo@birchcliffenergy.com
www.birchcliffenergy.com |
Chris Carlsen – President and Chief Executive
OfficerBruno Geremia – Executive Vice President
and Chief Financial Officer |
Birchcliff Energy (TSX:BIR)
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