During the 2024 Chinese Spring Festival movie season, the animated
film Ne Zha 2 swept the box office. According to publicly available
reports, the film grossed RMB 4.839 billion during the holiday
period. As of February 17, its total box office revenue had
exceeded RMB 12 billion, ranking among the top 9 highest-grossing
films worldwide and setting a new record for Chinese cinema. Behind
this box office miracle, a consumption frenzy driven by the ACG
"Goods" community is unfolding simultaneously - from the surge in
demand for spin-off merchandise, to user-generated content going
viral, and character-related discussions dominating trending
topics.
I. From "Watching Films" to "Nurturing
IPs": The Movie Industry Enters an Era of Ecosystem-based
Competition According to data released by the China Film
Administration, the total box office revenue in the Chinese film
market has fluctuated over the past five years, diverging from the
steady upward trend seen a decade ago. Although the most
challenging three years are now over, the 2023 box office total had
yet to return to the levels seen between 2017 and 2019. In 2024,
box office revenue even saw a 22% decline, indicating that the
domestic film consumption market is still in a prolonged "winter
period".
Total Box Office Revenue in China (Unit:
RMB Hundred Million)
|
Year |
Box Office(RMB 100 million) |
|
|
2014 |
296.4 |
|
|
2015 |
440.7 |
|
|
2016 |
457.1 |
|
|
2017 |
559.0 |
|
|
2018 |
609.0 |
|
|
2019 |
642.7 |
|
|
2020 |
204.2 |
|
|
2021 |
472.6 |
|
|
2022 |
300.7 |
|
|
2023 |
549.2 |
|
|
2024 |
425.0 |
|
|
Data Source: China Film Administration |
This year's Spring Festival movie season,
however, delivered an unexpectedly powerful boost to the market.
According to data from BEACON, the 2025 Spring Festival movie
season generated a total box office revenue of RMB 9.51 billion, an
18.6% increase compared to the 2024 season, setting a new all-time
high. Among these, Ne Zha 2 alone contributed over 50% of the total
revenue, establishing itself as the absolute frontrunner.
Monitoring data from the MoonFox iApp shows a significant upward
trend in active users on mainstream movie ticketing apps compared
to 2024. During this year's Spring Festival movie season, the
Average Daily Active Users (DAU) of the Taopiaopiao app reached
1.968 million, reflecting a 15.2% increase from 2024. Moreover, the
popularity of this year's Spring Festival movie season has shown a
sustained trend. In the week following the 2024 Spring Festival
movie season, the DAU on mainstream ticketing apps halved. This
year, however, the Taopiaopiao app saw only a 19% decline in DAU
the week after the holiday, while Maoyan's DAU decreased by just
11% in the same period.
Total Box Office Revenue in Spring
Festival Movie Season in China (Unit: RMB Hundred
Million)
|
Year |
Total BoxOffice |
Average DailyBox Office |
|
|
2018 |
57.7 |
8.2 |
|
|
2019 |
59 |
8.4 |
|
|
2021 |
78.4 |
11.2 |
|
|
2022 |
60.4 |
8.6 |
|
|
2023 |
67.6 |
9.7 |
|
|
2024 |
80.2 |
10 |
|
|
2025 |
95.1 |
11.9 |
|
|
Data Source: BEACON Pro, Ping An Securities |
DAU Performance of Ticketing Apps during
the Spring Festival Movie Season (Unit: 10,000)
|
Taopiaopiao |
Maoyan |
2024 Spring Festival Movie Season (February 10, 2024 - February 17,
2024) |
1.708 million |
1.201 million |
The Week after 2024 Spring Festival Movie Season (February 18, 2024
- February 24, 2024) |
794,000 |
623,000 |
2025 Spring Festival Movie Season (January 28, 2025 - February 4,
2025) |
1.968 million |
1.455 million |
The Week after 2025 Spring Festival Movie Season (February 5, 2025
- February 11, 2025) |
1.594 million |
1.296 million |
|
Data Source: MoonFox iApp, Data Cycle: 2024 - 2025 |
In terms of competition among films during the
Spring Festival movie season, this year's lineup stands out as the
most IP-driven ever. Of the six films released, five were IP-based
sequels or classic adaptations, including Ne Zha 2, Creation of the
Gods II: Demon Force, Detective Chinatown 1900, Boonie Bears:
Future Reborn, and the martial arts IP Legends of the Condor
Heroes: The Gallants. This lineup signals a profound shift in the
competitive logic of China's film industry: box office revenue is
no longer the only battleground, while building an "IP ecosystem"
has become the new moat for leading players.
However, not all IPs guarantee equal returns.
The success of Ne Zha 2 rests not only on the RMB 5 billion box
office foundation established by its predecessor but also on its
dual upgrades in "technology and culture", which together form a
strong ecosystem barrier. In addition to high-quality special
effects and production value, Ne Zha 2 introduced a wide range of
spin-off products, including pop toys, figurines, artbooks, and
collectible cards. Furthermore, the film's official team launched
user-generated campaigns across multiple platforms, creating a
full-cycle experience of "Watching Films - Consumption - Social
Engagement". In contrast, although Creation of the Gods II is a
sequel, it faced criticism over its special effects and storyline,
leading to a decline in audience reception and limited
user-generated content engagement, reflecting the diminishing
returns of over-relying on IP.
Derivative Product Partnerships
for Ne Zha 2
Company Name |
Partnership Type |
Product |
Golden Laser |
Gaotou Golden Fund under Golden Laser once invested in LDCX |
Figurine |
POP Mart |
Direct Sales Partnership in Derivative Products |
Figurine |
CITIC Press |
Direct Sales Partnership in Derivative Products |
Artbook |
JASON Entertainment Group |
Direct Sales Partnership in Derivative Products |
Collectible Card |
This value differentiation reveals that building
an IP ecosystem goes far beyond single-content output, it requires
the simultaneous development of technology, derivative product
creation, and user engagement across multiple dimensions. Examples
include the derivative product matrix planned by Enlight Media for
Ne Zha and Wanda Film's effort to establish the "Detective
Chinatown Universe" by Detective Chinatown movies series. Both aim
to convert moviegoers into long-term IP consumers, forming a
sustainable revenue model.
II. Catering to the Trend in "Goods"
Community: The Derivative Products Market Anchors IP Fans in
Broader Commercial Scenarios The success of Ne Zha 2
exemplifies a movie-as-entry, ecosystem-as-extension model, marking
China's film industry's official entry into the era of "Nurturing
IPs". In this era, derivative products have carried a significant
portion of the commercial value realization, not only reshaping the
profit model of the film industry but also, under the catalysis of
the "Goods Economy", elevating the status of China's IP derivative
product market from a "marginal supplement" to a "core
battlefield". In the traditional watching films model, derivative
products were merely supplementary to box office revenue, catering
only to a niche group of fans. Now, their role has evolved into an
"amplifier of the IP ecosystem".
As a leading player in the "Goods" community,
Pop Mart launched the "Born Bonded" blind box series in
collaboration with Ne Zha 2 on January 30. Since its launch, driven
by the movie's release, growing word-of-mouth, and expanding social
influence, the number of active users on Pop Mart's mini-program
has surged. According to data monitoring from MoonFox iApp, the DAU
of Pop Mart's "Blind Box Machine" applet peaked at 770,000 on
February 7, marking a more than fivefold YoY increase. Currently,
the shipping schedule for this collaborative blind box series has
been pushed back to June 30.
Pop Mart Applet DAU and Growth
Trends
Date |
Pop Mart AppletDAU (Unit: 10,000) |
Pop Mart AppletDAU YoY Increase |
Pop Mart BlindBox Machine AppletDAU (Unit: 10,000) |
Pop Mart BlindBox Machine AppletDAU YoY Increase |
2025-01-30 |
23.8 |
299.3% |
16.2 |
135.6% |
2025-01-31 |
24.9 |
315.5% |
21.5 |
203.5% |
2025-02-01 |
29.4 |
347.7% |
35.1 |
401.7% |
2025-02-02 |
31.7 |
291.1% |
50.6 |
534.0% |
2025-02-03 |
29.4 |
236.9% |
42.9 |
478.0% |
2025-02-04 |
33.3 |
289.9% |
56.2 |
630.6% |
2025-02-05 |
28.1 |
199.5% |
46.3 |
528.3% |
2025-02-06 |
49.2 |
505.5% |
73.5 |
784.0% |
2025-02-07 |
46.0 |
214.8% |
77.0 |
568.6% |
2025-02-08 |
36.6 |
213.3% |
66.5 |
355.9% |
2025-02-09 |
41.6 |
372.0% |
76.5 |
485.8% |
2025-02-10 |
38.0 |
154.0% |
69.7 |
252.6% |
|
Data Source: MoonFox iApp, Data Cycle: January 30, 2025 - February
10, 2025 |
The popularity of the Goods Economy essentially
reflects a shift in consumer demand from functionality to emotional
resonance, transforming shared sentiments into tangible,
interactive, and widely communicable products. When consumers
purchase a Ne Zha figurine, they are not merely buying a plastic or
resin product, while buying into the value of "I am the master of
my fate", seeking a sense of belonging to a community, and even
finding emotional comfort in the face of real-life pressures.
For Pop Mart, the enormous success brought by Ne
Zha 2 further validates the company's deep commitment to IP
collaborations. In this sector, Pop Mart is steadily building a
vast emotional consumption landscape through broad yet refined IP
operations.
III. Conclusion from "Watching Films" to
"Nurturing IPs" — A Shift from UV Monetization to Emotional
Engagement Some industry perspectives suggest that in a
mature film market, revenue from derivative products should surpass
box office earnings. For example, in the United States and Japan,
the revenue ratio of movie derivatives to box office income can
reach 3:7. In the current Chinese film market, while the scale of
Ne Zha 2's derivative product market still falls short of its box
office revenue, it may serve as a model for collaboration between
the film and "Goods" community industries. Moreover, the "Goods"
community frenzy sparked by Ne Zha 2 highlights a crucial insight:
in an era of scarce attention, only by transforming an IP into a
sustainable emotional connection can businesses achieve exponential
commercial growth. The success of Ne Zha 2 and its derivative
products not only marks the rise of homegrown IP but also signals
the evolution of China's cultural industry from a focus on UV
accumulation and UV competition to a more sophisticated strategy of
cultivating genuine emotional engagement.
About MoonFox Data
As a sub-brand of Aurora Mobile, MoonFox Data is
a leading expert in data insights and analysis services across all
scenarios. With a comprehensive, stable, secure and compliant
mobile big data foundation, as well as professional and precise
data analysis technology and AI algorithms, MoonFox Data has
launched iAPP, iBrand, iMarketing, Alternative Data and
professional research and consulting services of MoonFox Research,
aiming to help companies gain insights into market growth and make
accurate business decisions.
About Aurora Mobile
Aurora Mobile (NASDAQ: JG) established in 2011,
is a leading customer engagement and marketing technology service
provider in China. Its business includes notification services,
marketing growth, development tools, and data products.
For Media Inquiries: Contact:
zhouxt@jiguang.cn | Website:
http://www.moonfox.cn/en
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