Bitcoin Whales Ramp Up Selling, BTC To Decline Below $32,000?
01 Novembro 2023 - 12:00PM
NEWSBTC
On-chain data shows the Bitcoin whales have potentially ramped up
their selling recently, something that could lead to a drawdown for
the asset. Bitcoin Exchange Whale Ratio Has Spiked Recently As
explained by an analyst in a CryptoQuant Quicktake post, the price
of Bitcoin could correct towards the $31,000 to $32,000 range from
the current whale selling pressure. The relevant indicator here is
the “exchange whale ratio,” which measures the ratio between the
sum of the top 10 transfers to exchanges and the total exchange
inflow. The 10 largest transactions going towards these platforms
generally come from the whales, so this ratio can tell us about how
the inflow activity of the whales currently compares against the
rest of the market. Related Reading: Can PEPE Build On Its 60%
Rise? Here’s What On-Chain Data Says These humongous investors may
transfer their coins to these central entities for a variety of
purposes, one of which could be for selling. Thus, whenever the
whales occupy a large part of the total exchange inflows, it’s a
potential sign that the selling pressure being mounted by this
cohort is rising. Historically, the indicator crossing the 0.90
mark has particularly been bearish for the cryptocurrency. At this
level, 90% of the total inflows are coming from the wallets of the
whales. Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the 72-hour
moving average (MA) Bitcoin exchange whale ratio over the past few
months: The 72-hour MA value of the metric seems to have gone up in
recent days | Source: CryptoQuant In the above graph, the quant has
marked the 0.90 level in red and has highlighted the points in the
Bitcoin price corresponding to the instances where the 72-hour MA
exchange whale ratio crossed this line. The analyst notes that in
all of these occurrences, the cryptocurrency first registered some
volatility and then observed a decline in the short term, leading
toward a local bottom formation. Given the close timings, it would
appear possible that the higher inflows from the whales during
these instances were at least partially made for selling purposes.
From the chart, it’s visible that the indicator has once again
risen above the 0.90 level recently, suggesting that the whales
have considerably ramped up their inflows. Related Reading:
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Naturally, these high values of the metrics don’t necessarily have
to be bearish for the asset, as it’s possible that this cohort is
simply opening up positions on the derivatives market this time
(and to some extent, it has to be true in either case, as the
futures open interest has seen an increase in the last few days).
Given the pattern that has followed in the last few instances,
though, the quant says, “I expect increased volatility in Bitcoin
and anticipate a new local bottom with a drop to the 31,000 to
32,000 dollar range, which previously acted as resistance.” BTC
Price Bitcoin hasn’t been able to find any direction in the last
few days as the coin has been consolidating above $34,000. If the
exchange whale ratio is anything to go by, though, things might
change soon for the asset. Looks like BTC has continued to move
sideways recently | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView Featured image
from Rémi Boudousquié on Unsplash.com, charts from TradingView.com,
CryptoQuant.com
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