Could Fear Fuel Bitcoin’s Comeback? Analyst Spots a Surprising Pattern
08 Fevereiro 2025 - 5:00AM
NEWSBTC
Bitcoin price in recent days seems to have dimmed investor’s
confidence in the asset for now with the community seeing less buzz
as BTC sees fewer green days. Regardless of this, some
analysts are still eager to analyze BTC and its major metric to at
least get a perspective on if there’s hope around the corner. An
instance is a CryptoQuant analyst known under the pseudonym
‘Avocado Onchain’ who recently shared an insight on BTC focusing on
Binance funding rates. Funding rates, which represent the cost of
holding long or short positions in the futures market, can provide
insight into market sentiment. A decrease in funding rates often
suggests growing pessimism, as traders who previously held bullish
positions are forced to cover their positions due to mounting
losses. This shift in sentiment can have cascading effects, leading
to mass liquidations and further price declines. Related Reading:
Bitcoin Volatility ‘Relatively Low’ Despite Market Shakeouts –
Analysts Eye This Crucial Level Binance’s Funding Rates And
Potential for Rebound Avocado, has recently examined the
implications of Binance’s funding rates in a post titled
“Monitoring Binance Funding Rates: Will Bitcoin Rebound After
Extreme Fear?” According to the analysis, a notable wave of long
position liquidations occurred recently, leaving the market in a
state of extreme fear. Funding rates on Binance, a platform known
for its large retail investor base, have shown a pattern that may
hint at future price movements. Historically, negative funding
rates on Binance have been relatively rare, but when they do occur,
they have often preceded significant price rebounds. Avocado
suggests that this dynamic is linked to the behavior of retail
traders, who dominate Binance’s trading volume. When these traders
display heightened fear—manifested through negative funding
rates—Bitcoin has tended to defy the prevailing sentiment and
recover. The analyst also pointed out that during past bull
markets, Bitcoin’s price has rebounded after hitting negative
funding rates triggered by large-scale liquidations. This
historical pattern could indicate that, while the current market
environment appears grim, further declines in funding rates might
signal a reversal. Essentially, if negative funding rates reappear
on Binance, it may suggest that the market has reached a point of
capitulation, often a precursor to a sustained recovery. Bitcoin
Market Performance Meanwhile, Bitcoin has continued to face
challenges in its upward momentum. Although the asset briefly
rebounded to $100,000 earlier today following a mixed US jobs
report, it quickly lost ground and was unable to sustain this
recovery. At the time of writing, BTC is trading at $98,226,
reflecting a modest 1.8% gain in the past day. Interestingly, while
Bitcoin’s price was higher at this time last week, today’s trading
volume surpasses last week’s levels. Notably, so far, BTC’s daily
trading volume climbed from $34 billion last Friday to over $55
billion today. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from
TradingView
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