Commodity Currencies Advance After Trump's Tariff Delay
03 Fevereiro 2025 - 10:59PM
RTTF2
The commodity currencies such as Australia, the New Zealand and
the Canadian dollars strengthened against their major currencies in
the Asian session on Tuesday, as traders reacted positively to U.S.
President Donald Trump's latest decision to delay imposing the
planned tariffs on Mexico and Canada after successful negotiations
with the respective leaders. The tariffs could have renewed
inflation fears, leading the U.S. Fed to keep interest rates on
hold for longer.
U.S. President Donald Trump struck deals to delay 25 percent
import taxes on Canada and Mexico for 30 days, helping avert a
trade war for now.
It remains to be seen how China would respond to the new
across-the-board 10 percent tariffs that are set to take effect
today.
Boston Fed President Susan Collins and Atlanta Fed President
Raphael Bostic have warned on Monday that the Trump
administration's plans for trade tariffs come with inflation risks,
creating uncertainty over the Federal Reserve's rate path.
Crude oil prices settled higher after Trump's imposed tariffs on
imports from Canada threatened to disrupt North America's tightly
integrated oil market. West Texas Intermediate Crude oil futures
for March settled at $73.16 a barrel, up $0.63 or about 0.87
percent.
In economic news, data from Statistics New Zealand showed that
the total number of building permits issued in New Zealand in
December was down a seasonally adjusted 5.6 percent on month in
December, coming in at 2,478. That follows the downwardly revised
4.9 percent increase in November.
In the year ended December, the actual number of new dwellings
consented was 33,600, down 9.8 percent from a year earlier.
In the Asian trading today, the Australian dollar rose to a
4-day high of 96.62 against the yen, from a recent low of 96.20.
The aussie may test resistance around the 99.00 region.
The aussie advanced to 0.6222 against the U.S. dollar, from a
recent low of 0.6198. On the upside, 0.63 is seen as the next
resistance level for the aussie.
Against the euro and the NZ dollar, the aussie edged up to
1.6602 and 1.1071 from yesterday's closing quotes of 1.6611 and
1.1048, respectively. If the aussie extends its uptrend, it is
likely to find resistance around 1.64 against the euro and 1.11
against the kiwi.
The NZ dollar rose to 0.5632 against the U.S. dollar and 87.43
against the yen, from recent lows of 0.5582 and 87.45,
respectively. If the kiwi extends its uptrend, it is likely to find
resistance around 0.59 against the greenback and 90.00 against the
yen.
Against the euro, the kiwi edged up to 1.8343 from yesterday's
closing value of 1.8353. On the upside, 1.81 is seen as the next
upside target for the kiwi.
The Canadian dollar rose to nearly a 3-week high of 0.8948
against the Australian dollar and a 4-day high of 107.70 against
the yen, from yesterday's closing quotes of 0.8967 and 107.67,
respectively. If the loonie extends its uptrend, it is likely to
find resistance around 0.88 against the aussie and 109.00 against
the yen.
Against the U.S. dollar and the euro, the loonie edged up to
1.4417 and 1.4894 from recent lows of 1.4503 and 1.4929,
respectively. The loonie may test resistance around 1.39 against
the greenback and 1.47 against the euro.
Looking ahead, U.S. factory orders for December and U.S.
RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index for February are due to be
released in the New York session.
US Dollar vs CAD (FX:USDCAD)
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