UK Jobless Rate Remains Stable, Wage Growth Accelerates
18 Fevereiro 2025 - 4:16AM
RTTF2
The UK unemployment rate remained unchanged, but wage growth
picked up in the fourth quarter, supporting the Bank of England's
cautious approach to further policy cuts.
The jobless rate came in at 4.4 percent in the three months to
December, the same as in the preceding period, the Office for
National Statistics said on Tuesday. Economists had forecast the
rate to rise to 4.5 percent.
Average earnings excluding bonus grew at a pace of 5.9 percent
on a yearly basis, following a 5.6 percent rise in the previous
three-month period. The rate came in line with expectations and
marked the strongest since the three months to April 2024.
Including bonus, average earnings advanced 6.0 percent from a
year ago, the fastest since late 2023. Moreover, this was slightly
bigger than the forecasted 5.9 percent.
Although there was a small improvement in labor market activity
in December and January, employment growth remains subdued as
looming higher business taxes and a higher minimum wage is weighing
on labor demand, Capital Economics economist Ashley Webb.
However, with wage growth still uncomfortably high, the BoE will
probably continue to cut interest rates gradually, the economist
added.
Data showed that payrolled employees for January increased
21,000 from the last month and increased by 49,000 from the
previous year to 30.4 million.
The number of vacancies decreased 9,000 from the prior quarter
to 819,000 in the November to January period. Vacancies decreased
on a quarterly basis for the 31st consecutive period.
British Chambers of Commerce Deputy Director of Public Policy
Jane Gratton said there are clear signs of further loosening in the
labor market with fewer vacancies, although they remain just above
pre-pandemic levels.
Nonetheless, pervasive skills shortages mean firms are competing
for talent and wage growth remains strong, Gratton added.
Earlier this month, the U.K. central bank had reduced its
interest rate by a quarter-point to 4.50 percent, which was the
lowest since June 2023. The rate setting committee said a gradual
and careful approach to the further withdrawal of monetary policy
restraint was appropriate.
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