NZ Dollar Slides Amid RBNZ Rate Cut Speculation
20 Março 2025 - 1:17AM
RTTF2
The New Zealand dollar weakened against other major currencies
in the Asian session on Thursday, as the New Zealand's central bank
hinted about two additional 25 basis point reductions in April and
May, with a third cut perhaps coming later in the year.
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) has lowered the official
cash rate by 175 basis points to 3.75% since August 2024.
In economic news, the People's Bank of China kept its one-year
loan prime rate unchanged at 3.10 percent. Likewise, the five-year
LPR, the benchmark for mortgage rates, was retained at 3.60
percent.
Both the rates were last reduced by 25 basis points each in
October 2024.
The announcement came after the U.S. Federal Reserve left its
interest rate unchanged on Wednesday. But the Fed signaled that it
is still likely to lower rates later this year.
The NZ dollar had rose slightly against its major rivals in the
Asian session today, after New Zealand's economy grew faster than
forecast in the fourth quarter and retreated thereafter.
Data from Statistics New Zealand showed that New Zealand's gross
domestic product expanded a seasonally adjusted 0.7 percent on
quarter in the fourth quarter of 2024. That beat forecast for an
increase of 0.4 percent following the downwardly revised 1.1
percent contraction in the three months prior (originally -1.0
percent).
On a yearly basis, GDP was down 1.1 percent - again beating
expectations for a fall of 1.4 percent following the downwardly
revised 1.6 percent drop in the previous three months (originally
-1.5 percent).
In the Asian trading today, the NZ dollar fell to a 3-day low of
85.75 against the yen, from yesterday's closing value of 86.39. The
kiwi may test support around the 83.00 region.
Against the U.S. dollar and the euro, the kiwi dropped to 0.5784
and 1.8855 from Wednesday's closing quotes of 0.5820 and 1.8751,
respectively. If the kiwi extends its downtrend, it is likely to
find support around 0.56 against the greenback and 1.92 against the
euro.
Against the Australian dollar, the kiwi retreated to a 2-day low
of 1.0957 from a recent near 3-1/2-month high of 1.0914. The next
possible may test support near the 1.11 region.
Looking ahead, the Swiss National Bank announces its monetary
policy decision at 4:30 am ET. The SNB is widely expected to lower
the interest rate by 25 basis points to 0.25 percent. But today's
rate is likely to be the last in the current easing cycle as the
currency has weakened notably over the last few months.
At 8:00 am ET, the Bank of England announces its monetary policy
decision. The BoE is likely to sit tight on rates today as
inflation remains sticky. The nine-member policy committee is
widely seen holding the rate at 4.50 percent in a split vote.
In the New York session, Canada PPI and raw material prices for
February, U.S. Current Account data for the fourth quarter, U.S.
weekly jobless claims data, existing home sales for February and
U.S. Consumer Board's leading index for February are slated for
release.
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