Birchcliff Energy Ltd. (“
Birchcliff” or the
“
Corporation”) (TSX: BIR) is proud to announce its
strong financial and operational results for the three months ended
March 31, 2021. Birchcliff is also pleased to announce that it is
maintaining its 2021 F&D capital expenditures guidance and
increasing its 2021 production, adjusted funds flow and free funds
flow guidance.
“Birchcliff had a strong first quarter in 2021,
highlighted by excellent drilling results. The performance of new
wells and the execution by our team helped us achieve an average
production rate of 75,065 boe/d, which represents an increase of 2%
over Q1 2020. This production, together with improved commodity
prices, resulted in substantially higher adjusted funds flow of
$87.8 million in the quarter, a 138% increase from Q1 2020. As a
result of our strong new well performance and our improved outlook
for commodity prices, we are increasing our 2021 guidance for
production, adjusted funds flow and free funds flow. We are now
targeting annual average production of 79,000 to 81,000 boe/d, up
from 78,000 to 80,000 boe/d, and adjusted funds flow of $400
million, up from $360 million. Notwithstanding our increased
outlook for adjusted funds flow, we remain committed to capital
discipline and are maintaining our F&D capital expenditures
guidance at $210 million to $230 million, which results in free
funds flow of $170 million to $190 million and puts us in an
excellent position to significantly reduce our total debt during
the second half of 2021,” commented Jeff Tonken, President and
Chief Executive Officer of Birchcliff. “We are excited about the
early results from the 7-well pad (04-04) that we brought on
production in Pouce Coupe in March. The performance of these wells
has exceeded our expectations, with very strong natural gas and
condensate production rates. As a result, we have followed up with
an 8-well pad immediately offsetting the 04-04 pad, which we expect
to be brought on production in Q3 2021.”
Birchcliff’s unaudited interim condensed
financial statements for the three months ended March 31, 2021 and
related management’s discussion and analysis (the
“MD&A”) will be available on its website at
www.birchcliffenergy.com and on SEDAR at www.sedar.com.
Q1 2021 HIGHLIGHTS
-
Achieved quarterly average production of 75,065 boe/d, a 2%
increase from Q1 2020.
-
Liquids accounted for approximately 23% of Birchcliff’s total
production in Q1 2021, as compared to approximately 22% in Q1 2020,
with total liquids production increasing by 7% from Q1 2020.
-
Delivered $87.8 million of adjusted funds flow, or $0.33 per basic
common share, a 138% increase and a 136% increase, respectively,
from Q1 2020.
-
Recorded net income to common shareholders of $22.2 million, or
$0.08 per basic common share, as compared to a net loss to common
shareholders of $45.2 million and $0.17 per basic common share in
Q1 2020.
-
Achieved operating expense of $3.18/boe, a 1% increase from Q1
2020.
-
Realized an operating netback of $17.05/boe, an 83% increase from
Q1 2020.
-
F&D capital expenditures of $95.8 million. During the quarter,
Birchcliff drilled 19 (19.0 net) wells and brought 7 (7.0 net)
wells on production as part of the Corporation’s 2021 capital
program (the “2021 Capital Program”).
This press release contains forward-looking
statements within the meaning of applicable securities laws. For
further information regarding the forward-looking statements
contained herein, see “Advisories – Forward-Looking Statements”. In
addition, this press release uses the terms “adjusted funds flow”,
“adjusted funds flow per basic common share”, “free funds flow”,
“transportation and other expense”, “operating netback”, “adjusted
funds flow netback”, “total cash costs” and “total debt”, which do
not have standardized meanings prescribed by GAAP and therefore may
not be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies.
For further information regarding these non-GAAP measures, see
“Non-GAAP Measures”. With respect to the disclosure of Birchcliff’s
production contained in this press release, see “Advisories –
Production”.
Q1 2021 FINANCIAL AND OPERATIONAL
HIGHLIGHTS
|
Three months endedMarch 31,
2021 |
Three months endedMarch 31,
2020 |
OPERATING |
|
|
Average production |
|
|
Light oil (bbls/d) |
3,355 |
|
3,954 |
|
Condensate
(bbls/d) |
5,467 |
|
4,524 |
|
NGLs
(bbls/d) |
8,734 |
|
7,962 |
|
Natural
gas (Mcf/d) |
345,057 |
|
342,831 |
|
Total
(boe/d) |
75,065 |
|
73,580 |
|
Average realized sales price (CDN$)(1) |
|
|
Light oil
(per bbl) |
67.02 |
|
53.18 |
|
Condensate
(per bbl) |
74.22 |
|
58.48 |
|
NGLs (per
bbl) |
24.69 |
|
12.02 |
|
Natural
gas (per Mcf) |
3.52 |
|
2.29 |
|
Total (per
boe) |
27.47 |
|
18.41 |
|
|
|
|
NETBACK AND
COST ($/boe) |
|
|
Petroleum
and natural gas revenue(1) |
27.47 |
|
18.41 |
|
Royalty
expense |
(1.72 |
) |
(0.95 |
) |
Operating
expense |
(3.18 |
) |
(3.14 |
) |
Transportation and other expense |
(5.52 |
) |
(5.00 |
) |
Operating netback ($/boe) |
17.05 |
|
9.32 |
|
G&A
expense, net |
(0.92 |
) |
(0.90 |
) |
Interest
expense |
(1.21 |
) |
(0.89 |
) |
Realized
loss on financial instruments |
(2.29 |
) |
(2.13 |
) |
Other income |
0.37 |
|
0.11 |
|
Adjusted funds flow netback
($/boe) |
13.00 |
|
5.51 |
|
Depletion
and depreciation expense |
(7.47 |
) |
(7.71 |
) |
Unrealized
loss on financial instruments |
(1.13 |
) |
(5.88 |
) |
Other
(expenses) income(2) |
0.25 |
|
(0.29 |
) |
Dividends
on preferred shares |
(0.25 |
) |
(0.29 |
) |
Income tax recovery (expense) |
(1.12 |
) |
1.91 |
|
Net income (loss) to common shareholders
($/boe) |
3.28 |
|
(6.75 |
) |
|
|
|
FINANCIAL |
|
|
Petroleum and natural gas revenue ($000s)(1) |
185,609 |
|
123,263 |
|
Cash flow from operating activities ($000s) |
82,608 |
|
50,551 |
|
Adjusted funds flow
($000s) |
87,820 |
|
36,894 |
|
Per basic common share ($) |
0.33 |
|
0.14 |
|
Net income (loss) to common
shareholders ($000s) |
22,166 |
|
(45,201 |
) |
Per basic common share ($) |
0.08 |
|
(0.17 |
) |
End of period basic common shares (000s) |
266,045 |
|
265,935 |
|
Weighted average basic common
shares (000s) |
265,989 |
|
265,935 |
|
Dividends on common shares ($000s) |
1,330 |
|
6,981 |
|
Dividends on preferred shares ($000s) |
1,746 |
|
1,922 |
|
F&D capital expenditures ($000s)(3) |
95,840 |
|
132,361 |
|
Total capital expenditures
($000s)(3) |
96,625 |
|
132,840 |
|
Long-term debt ($000s) |
701,735 |
|
619,055 |
|
Total
debt ($000s) |
777,385 |
|
739,631 |
|
(1) Excludes the effects of financial
instruments but includes the effects of physical delivery
contracts.(2) Includes non-cash items such as compensation,
accretion, amortization of deferred financing fees and other gains
and losses.(3) See “Advisories – Capital Expenditures”.
OUTLOOK AND GUIDANCE
Increased 2021 Guidance – Maintaining
F&D Capital Expenditures
Birchcliff is revising its 2021 guidance as a
result of its strong new well performance and improved outlook for
commodity prices. Birchcliff now expects to generate approximately
$400 million of adjusted funds flow on annual average production of
79,000 to 81,000 boe/d. The Corporation is now targeting $170
million to $190 million of free funds flow in 2021 (previously $130
million to $150 million), which will be prioritized towards debt
reduction, with total debt at year end now anticipated to be $600
million to $620 million (previously $635 million to $655 million).
Birchcliff is maintaining its previous guidance for F&D capital
expenditures and its operating and transportation and other
expenses and increasing its royalties guidance due to higher
anticipated benchmark commodity prices.
The following table sets forth Birchcliff’s
revised and previous guidance and commodity price assumptions for
2021:
|
Revised 2021 guidance and assumptions(1) |
Previous 2021 guidance and assumptions(2) |
|
|
|
Production |
|
|
Annual average production (boe/d) |
79,000 – 81,000 |
78,000 – 80,000 |
% Light oil |
4% |
5% |
% Condensate |
8% |
9% |
% NGLs |
10% |
10% |
% Natural gas |
78% |
76% |
Second half 2021 average production (boe/d) |
84,000 – 86,000 |
83,000 – 85,000(3) |
|
|
|
Average Expenses ($/boe) |
|
|
Royalty |
1.55 – 1.75 |
1.15 – 1.35 |
Operating |
2.90 – 3.10 |
2.90 – 3.10 |
Transportation and other |
5.00 – 5.20 |
5.00 – 5.20 |
|
|
|
Adjusted Funds Flow (MM$) |
400(4) |
360 |
|
|
|
F&D Capital Expenditures
(MM$)(5) |
210 – 230 |
210 – 230 |
|
|
|
Free Funds Flow (MM$)(6) |
170 – 190 |
130 – 150 |
|
|
|
Total Debt at Year End (MM$) |
600 – 620(7) |
635 – 655 |
|
|
|
Natural Gas Market Exposure(8) |
|
|
AECO exposure as a % of total natural gas production |
13% |
12% |
Dawn exposure as a % of total natural gas production |
43% |
44% |
NYMEX HH exposure as a % of total natural gas production |
38% |
38% |
Alliance exposure as a % of total natural gas production |
6% |
6% |
|
|
|
Commodity Prices(9) |
|
|
Average WTI price (US$/bbl) |
62.00 |
50.00 |
Average WTI-MSW differential (CDN$/bbl) |
5.70 |
6.00 |
Average AECO 5A price (CDN$/GJ) |
2.80 |
2.50 |
Average Dawn price (US$/MMBtu)(10) |
2.85 |
2.75 |
Average NYMEX HH price (US$/MMBtu)(10) |
2.90 |
2.80 |
Exchange rate (CDN$ to US$1) |
1.24 |
1.27 |
(1) Birchcliff’s guidance for its commodity mix, adjusted funds
flow and natural gas market exposure in 2021 is based on an annual
average production rate of 80,000 boe/d during 2021, which is the
mid-point of Birchcliff’s revised annual average production
guidance for 2021. (2) As previously disclosed on March 10, 2021.
(3) Previously disclosed on January 20, 2021. Guidance disclosed on
March 10, 2021 included Q4 2021 average production guidance of
83,000 to 85,000 boe/d, which guidance has not been updated. (4)
Birchcliff’s estimate of adjusted funds flow takes into account the
effects of its physical and financial commodity risk management
contracts outstanding as at May 12, 2021. (5) Birchcliff’s estimate
of F&D capital expenditures excludes any net potential
acquisitions and dispositions and corresponds to Birchcliff’s 2021
F&D capital budget. See “Advisories – Capital Expenditures”.
(6) Free funds flow is calculated as adjusted funds flow less
F&D capital expenditures and is prior to acquisitions and
dispositions, dividend payments, preferred share redemptions,
abandonment and reclamation obligations, administrative assets,
financing fees and capital lease obligations. See “Non-GAAP
Measures”. (7) The total debt amount set forth in the table above
assumes the following: (i) that the timing and amount of common
share and preferred share dividends paid by the Corporation remains
consistent with previous years, with the dividend rates and
applicable taxes remaining unchanged; (ii) that there are 266
million common, 2,000,000 series A and 1,550,129 series C preferred
shares outstanding, with no additional redemptions of series C
preferred shares or buybacks of common shares occurring during the
remainder of 2021; (iii) that there is no repayment of debt using
the proceeds from asset dispositions or debt or equity issuances;
(iv) that the 2021 Capital Program will be carried out as currently
contemplated and the level of capital spending set forth herein
will be achieved; and (v) the targets for production, production
commodity mix, capital expenditures, adjusted funds flow, free
funds flow and natural gas market exposure and the commodity price
and exchange rate assumptions set forth herein are met. The amount
set forth in the table above does not include annual cash incentive
payments. (8) Birchcliff’s guidance regarding its natural gas
market exposure in 2021 assumes: (i) 175,000 GJ/d being sold on a
physical basis at the Dawn price; (ii) 25,300 GJ/d being sold at
Alliance on a physical basis at the AECO 5A price plus a premium;
and (iii) 152,500 MMBtu/d being hedged on a financial and physical
basis at a fixed basis differential between the AECO 7A price and
the NYMEX HH price. (9) Commodity price assumptions are based on
anticipated full-year average benchmark prices which includes
actual settled benchmark prices for the period from January 1, 2021
to April 30, 2021 and forward strip benchmark prices as of May 5,
2021 for the period from May 1, 2021 to December 31, 2021. (10) See
“Advisories – MMBtu Pricing Conversions”.
Adjusted Funds Flow
Sensitivity
Birchcliff does not currently have in place any
fixed price commodity hedges and therefore all of its production
has benefited from the recent strengthening of benchmark oil and
natural gas index prices.
The following table illustrates the expected
impact of changes in commodity prices and the CDN/US exchange rate
on the Corporation’s estimate of adjusted funds flow for 2021 of
$400 million:
Forward Nine Months’ Sensitivity(1) |
|
Estimated change to 2021 adjusted funds flow
(MM$)(2)(3) |
Change in WTI US$1.00/bbl |
|
3.8 |
Change in NYMEX HH US$0.10/MMBtu |
|
4.1 |
Change in Dawn US$0.10/MMBtu |
|
5.4 |
Change in AECO CDN$0.10/GJ |
|
3.3 |
Change in CDN/US exchange rate CDN$0.01 |
|
3.6 |
(1) Adjusted funds flow sensitivities take into account actual
settled benchmark prices and exchange rates from January 1, 2021 to
March 31, 2021.(2) See the guidance table above.(3) The calculated
impact on adjusted funds flow is only applicable within the limited
range of change indicated. Calculations are performed independently
and may not be indicative of actual results. Actual results may
vary materially when multiple variables change at the same
time.
Ongoing volatility in commodity prices resulting
from the COVID-19 pandemic may adversely and materially impact the
Corporation’s future financial and operational results. Changes in
assumed commodity prices and variances in production estimates can
have a significant impact on the Corporation’s estimates of
adjusted funds flow and free funds flow and the Corporation’s other
guidance, which impact may be material. For further information,
see “Advisories – Forward-Looking Statements” in this press
release.
EXTENSION OF CREDIT FACILITIES
Subsequent to the end of the quarter,
Birchcliff’s syndicate of lenders completed its regular semi-annual
review of the borrowing base limit under the Corporation’s
extendible revolving credit facilities (the “Credit
Facilities”). During this review, Birchcliff requested
that the lenders agree to extend the maturity date of the Credit
Facilities by two years and reduce the aggregate borrowing base
limit from $1.0 billion to $850.0 million (see “Q1 2021 Financial
and Operational Results – Debt and Credit Facilities”). Due to
Birchcliff’s significant anticipated adjusted funds flow in 2021
and its commitment to capital discipline and debt reduction, it
does not anticipate requiring additional credit capacity, and
accordingly, requested the borrowing base limit reduction. This
reduction to the borrowing base limit will result in a
corresponding decrease to its renewal and standby fees. Birchcliff
is committed to capital discipline, reducing its interest costs,
strengthening its balance sheet and reducing its total debt going
forward. As noted above, Birchcliff expects to generate $170
million to $190 million of free funds flow and reduce its total
debt to $600 million to $620 million in 2021.
ANNUAL MEETING OF SHAREHOLDERS – MAY 13,
2021
Birchcliff’s annual meeting of shareholders (the
“Meeting”) is scheduled to take place tomorrow,
Thursday, May 13, 2021 at 3:00 p.m. (Mountain Daylight Time). The
Meeting will be held in a virtual-only format conducted via live
audio webcast accessible online at
https://web.lumiagm.com/245051871, password “birchcliff2021” (case
sensitive). Details of the matters proposed to be put before the
Meeting and instructions about how to attend and vote at the
Meeting are set out in Birchcliff’s management information
circular, which can be found on the Corporation’s website at
www.birchcliffenergy.com/investors or on the Corporation’s SEDAR
profile at www.sedar.com. Registered shareholders and duly
appointed proxyholders will be able to vote on the matters put
before the Meeting and ask questions, regardless of their
geographic location. Non-registered (beneficial) shareholders who
have not duly appointed themselves as proxyholders may still attend
the Meeting as guests. Guests will be able to login and listen to
the proceedings of the Meeting but will not be able to vote.
Q1 2021 FINANCIAL AND OPERATIONAL
RESULTS
Production
Birchcliff’s production averaged 75,065 boe/d in
Q1 2021, which was a 2% increase from 73,580 boe/d in Q1 2020. The
increase was primarily due to incremental production volumes from
the horizontal light oil and natural gas wells brought on
production since Q1 2020, including from the new 7-well pad (04-04)
brought on production in March 2021, partially offset by natural
production declines.
Liquids accounted for approximately 23% of
Birchcliff’s total production in Q1 2021, as compared to
approximately 22% in Q1 2020, with total liquids production
increasing by 7% from Q1 2020. The change in the commodity
production mix was primarily due to incremental production from new
horizontal light oil and condensate-rich natural gas wells brought
on production since Q1 2020, including from the 14-well pad (14-19)
and the 7-well pad (04-04) brought on production in July 2020 and
March 2021, respectively, as well as increased NGLs recovery at
Phase III of the Corporation’s 100% owned and operated natural gas
processing plant in Pouce Coupe (the “Pouce Coupe Gas
Plant”) beginning in Q4 2020.
Adjusted Funds Flow
Birchcliff’s adjusted funds flow in Q1 2021 was
$87.8 million, or $0.33 per basic common share, a 138% increase and
a 136% increase, respectively, from $36.9 million and $0.14 per
basic common share in Q1 2020. The increases were primarily due to
higher reported revenue which was largely the result of a 49%
increase in the average realized sales price received for
Birchcliff’s production in Q1 2021 as compared to Q1 2020. The
average realized sales price benefited from the significant
recovery in benchmark oil and natural gas prices mainly due to
renewed oil production curtailments by OPEC+, an increase in global
demand for oil after governments began easing COVID-19 related
restrictions and higher seasonal demand for natural gas in Q1 2021
as compared to Q1 2020.
Net Income to Common
Shareholders
Birchcliff recorded net income to common
shareholders of $22.2 million, or $0.08 per basic common share, in
Q1 2021, as compared to a net loss to common shareholders of $45.2
million, or $0.17 per basic common share in Q1 2020. The change to
a net income position was primarily due to higher adjusted funds
flow and a lower unrealized after-tax mark‐to‐market loss on
financial instruments in Q1 2021 as compared to Q1 2020.
Operating Expense
Birchcliff’s operating expense was $3.18/boe in
Q1 2021, a 1% increase from $3.14/boe in Q1 2020. The increase was
primarily due to higher power and fuel prices as demand increased
as a result of extreme cold winter conditions in Q1 2021 and an
increase in production costs associated with higher natural gas
volumes processed at third-party facilities in the Gordondale area.
The increase was partially offset by improved operating
efficiencies achieved in the field.
Birchcliff is committed to reducing its per unit
operating expense by executing on various field optimization and
cost-saving initiatives in Pouce Coupe and Gordondale, which
included the completed expansion of Birchcliff’s liquids‐handling
capabilities in Pouce Coupe in Q3 2020. Birchcliff’s operating cost
structure in Q1 2021 remained largely unaffected by the COVID-19
pandemic.
Operating Netback
Birchcliff’s operating netback was $17.05/boe in
Q1 2021, an 83% increase from $9.32/boe in Q1 2020. The increase
was primarily due to higher per boe petroleum and natural gas
revenue, partially offset by higher per boe royalty, operating and
transportation and other expenses in Q1 2021.
Total Cash Costs
Birchcliff’s total cash costs were $12.55/boe in
Q1 2021, a 15% increase from $10.88/boe in Q1 2020. The increase
was primarily due to higher per boe royalty, transportation and
other and interest expenses.
Pouce Coupe Gas Plant
Netbacks
During Q1 2021, Birchcliff processed 69% of its
total corporate natural gas production and 60% of its total
corporate production through the Pouce Coupe Gas Plant, as compared
to 69% and 59%, respectively, during Q1 2020. The following table
sets forth Birchcliff’s average daily production and operating
netback for wells producing to the Pouce Coupe Gas Plant for the
periods indicated:
|
Three months ended March 31,
2021 |
Three months ended March 31,
2020 |
Average production: |
|
|
|
|
Condensate (bbls/d) |
|
3,704 |
|
|
2,981 |
|
NGLs (bbls/d) |
|
2,046 |
|
|
1,025 |
|
Natural gas (Mcf/d) |
|
237,957 |
|
|
239,236 |
|
Total (boe/d) |
|
45,409 |
|
|
43,879 |
|
Liquids-to-gas ratio(1)
(bbls/MMcf) |
|
24.2 |
|
|
16.7 |
|
Netback and cost: |
$/Mcfe |
|
$/boe |
|
$/Mcfe |
|
$/boe |
|
Petroleum and natural gas revenue(2) |
4.34 |
|
26.05 |
|
2.90 |
|
17.39 |
|
Royalty expense |
(0.23 |
) |
(1.38 |
) |
(0.10 |
) |
(0.62 |
) |
Operating expense(3) |
(0.37 |
) |
(2.24 |
) |
(0.33 |
) |
(1.98 |
) |
Transportation and other expense |
(0.98 |
) |
(5.90 |
) |
(0.89 |
) |
(5.34 |
) |
Operating netback |
$2.76 |
|
$16.53 |
|
$1.58 |
|
$9.45 |
|
Operating margin(4) |
64 |
% |
64 |
% |
54 |
% |
54 |
% |
(1) Liquids consists of condensate and other
NGLs.(2) Excludes the effects of financial instruments but includes
the effects of physical delivery contracts.(3) Represents plant and
field operating expense.(4) Operating margin is calculated by
dividing the operating netback for the period by the petroleum and
natural gas revenue for the period.
Birchcliff’s production and liquids-to-gas ratio
increased from Q1 2020 primarily due to: (i) specifically targeted
condensate-rich natural gas wells in Pouce Coupe, including the
14-well pad (14-19) and the 7-well pad (04-04) brought on
production in July 2020 and March 2021, respectively; (ii)
increased NGLs recovery at Phase III of the Pouce Coupe Gas Plant
beginning in Q4 2020; and (iii) the operation of its 20,000 bbls/d
(50% condensate, 50% water) inlet liquids‐handling facility at the
Pouce Coupe Gas Plant (the “Inlet Liquids-Handling
Facility”), which became operational in Q3 2020 and allows
Birchcliff to handle increased condensate volumes in Pouce
Coupe.
Debt and Credit Facilities
At March 31, 2021, Birchcliff had long-term bank
debt of $701.7 million (March 31, 2020: $619.1 million) from
available Credit Facilities of $1.0 billion (March 31, 2020: $1.0
billion), leaving $293.1 million of unutilized credit capacity
after adjusting for outstanding letters of credit and unamortized
fees. Total debt at March 31, 2021 was $777.4 million, as compared
to $739.6 million at March 31, 2020.
The agreement governing the Credit Facilities
was amended effective May 6, 2021 to: (i) extend the maturity dates
of each of the syndicated term credit facility (the
“Syndicated Credit Facility”) and the extendible
revolving working capital facility (“Working Capital
Facility”) from May 11, 2022 to May 11, 2024; and (ii)
decrease the borrowing base limit to $850.0 million from $1.0
billion, with the Syndicated Credit Facility being decreased to
$750.0 million and the Working Capital Facility remaining at $100.0
million. The Credit Facilities do not contain any financial
maintenance covenants.
Commodity Prices
The following table sets forth the average
benchmark index prices and exchange rate for the periods
indicated:
|
Three months ended March 31, |
|
2021 |
2020 |
% Change |
Light oil – WTI Cushing (US$/bbl) |
57.78 |
46.17 |
25 |
|
Light oil
– MSW (Mixed Sweet) (CDN$/bbl) |
66.46 |
51.27 |
30 |
|
Natural
gas – NYMEX HH (US$/MMBtu)(1) |
2.69 |
1.95 |
38 |
|
Natural
gas – AECO 5A Daily (CDN$/GJ) |
2.70 |
1.93 |
40 |
|
Natural
gas – AECO 7A Month Ahead (US$/MMBtu)(1) |
2.16 |
1.60 |
35 |
|
Natural
gas – Dawn Day Ahead (US$/MMBtu)(1) |
2.97 |
1.76 |
69 |
|
Natural
gas – ATP 5A Day Ahead (CDN$/GJ) |
4.03 |
1.63 |
147 |
|
Exchange
rate (CDN$ to US$1) |
1.2663 |
1.3442 |
(6 |
) |
Exchange rate (US$ to CDN$1) |
0.7897 |
0.7439 |
6 |
|
(1) See “Advisories – MMBtu Pricing
Conversions”.
Marketing and Natural Gas Market
Diversification
Birchcliff’s physical natural gas sales exposure
primarily consists of the AECO, Dawn and Alliance markets. In
addition, the Corporation has various financial instruments
outstanding that provide it with exposure to NYMEX HH pricing.
These instruments allow Birchcliff to swap its physical natural gas
sales at the AECO 7A benchmark price for, predominantly on a
financial basis, a floating NYMEX HH benchmark price less the fixed
basis contract price. The price received for Birchcliff’s NYMEX HH
natural gas sales is not fixed, which allows the Corporation to
fully participate in the current strengthening of NYMEX HH
benchmark prices.
The following table details Birchcliff’s
effective sales, production and average realized sales price for
natural gas and liquids for Q1 2021, after taking into account the
Corporation’s financial instruments:
Three months ended March 31, 2021 |
|
Effective sales (CDN$000s) |
Percentage of total sales (%) |
Effective production(per
day) |
Percentage of total natural gas
production(%) |
Percentage of total corporate
production(%) |
Effective average realized sales
price(CDN$) |
Market |
|
|
|
|
|
|
AECO(1)(2) |
13,633 |
7 |
45,352 Mcf |
14 |
10 |
3.34/Mcf |
Dawn(3) |
53,869 |
32 |
160,280 Mcf |
46 |
36 |
3.73/Mcf |
NYMEX HH(1) |
26,441 |
16 |
139,425 Mcf |
40 |
31 |
2.11/Mcf |
Total natural gas |
93,943 |
55 |
345,057 Mcf |
100 |
77 |
3.03/Mcf |
Light oil |
20,238 |
12 |
3,355 bbls |
|
4 |
67.02/bbl |
Condensate |
36,516 |
22 |
5,467 bbls |
|
7 |
74.22/bbl |
NGLs |
19,407 |
11 |
8,734 bbls |
|
12 |
24.69/bbl |
Total liquids |
76,161 |
45 |
17,556 bbls |
|
23 |
48.20/bbl |
Total corporate |
170,104 |
100 |
75,066 boe |
|
100 |
25.18/boe |
(1) A portion of AECO 5A sales and production
that effectively received NYMEX HH pricing under Birchcliff’s
long-term physical and financial NYMEX/AECO 7A basis swap contracts
has been included as effective sales and production in the NYMEX HH
market. Birchcliff sold financial and physical AECO 7A basis swaps
for 152,500 MMBtu/d at an average contract price of NYMEX HH less
US$1.227/MMBtu during Q1 2021.(2) Birchcliff has short-term
physical sales agreements with third-party marketers to sell and
deliver into the Alliance pipeline system. All of Birchcliff’s
short-term physical Alliance sales and production during Q1 2021
received AECO premium pricing and have therefore been included as
effective sales and production in the AECO market. Alliance sales
are recorded net of transportation tolls.(3) Birchcliff has
agreements for the firm service transportation of an aggregate of
175,000 GJ/d of natural gas on TCPL’s Canadian Mainline, whereby
natural gas is transported to the Dawn trading hub in Southern
Ontario.
The following table sets forth Birchcliff’s
sales, average daily production, average realized sales price,
transportation costs and netback by physical natural gas market for
the periods indicated, before taking into account the Corporation’s
financial instruments:
Three months ended March 31, 2021 |
|
Natural gas
sales(1)(CDN$000s) |
Percentage of natural gas sales (%) |
Natural gas production(Mcf/d) |
Percentage of natural gas production(%) |
Average realizednatural gas sales
price(1) (CDN$/Mcf) |
Natural gas transportation costs(2)
(CDN$/Mcf) |
Natural gas sales netback(3)(CDN$/Mcf) |
AECO |
39,392 |
36 |
133,379 |
39 |
3.28 |
0.51 |
2.77 |
Dawn |
53,869 |
49 |
160,280 |
46 |
3.73 |
1.57 |
2.16 |
Alliance(4) |
16,180 |
15 |
51,398 |
15 |
3.50 |
- |
3.50 |
Total |
109,441 |
100 |
345,057 |
100 |
3.52 |
0.93 |
2.59 |
Three months ended March 31, 2020 |
|
Natural gas
sales(1)(CDN$000s) |
Percentage of natural gas sales (%) |
Natural gas production(Mcf/d) |
Percentage of natural gas production(%) |
Average realized natural gas
sales price(1)(CDN$/Mcf) |
Natural gas transportation costs(2)
(CDN$/Mcf) |
Natural gas sales netback(3)(CDN$/Mcf) |
AECO |
34,352 |
48 |
175,188 |
51 |
2.17 |
0.38 |
1.79 |
Dawn |
35,818 |
50 |
159,126 |
46 |
2.47 |
1.45 |
1.02 |
Alliance(4) |
1,162 |
2 |
8,517 |
3 |
1.50 |
- |
1.50 |
Total |
71,332 |
100 |
342,831 |
100 |
2.29 |
0.87 |
1.42 |
(1) Excludes the effects of financial
instruments but includes the effects of physical delivery
contracts. (2) Reflects costs to transport natural gas from the
field receipt point to the delivery sales trading hub.(3) Natural
gas sales netback denotes the average realized natural gas sales
price less natural gas transportation costs.(4) Birchcliff has
short-term physical sales agreements with third-party marketers to
sell and deliver into the Alliance pipeline system. Alliance sales
are recorded net of transportation tolls.
Capital Activities and
Investment
During Q1 2021, Birchcliff continued with the
successful execution of its 2021 Capital Program, drilling 19 (19.0
net) wells, completing 11 (11.0 net) wells and bringing 7 (7.0 net)
wells on production. The following table sets forth the number of
wells drilled and brought on production by the Corporation in Q1
2021:
Area |
Wells drilled in Q1 2021 |
Wells brought on production in Q1
2021(1) |
Pouce Coupe |
|
|
|
Montney D1 horizontal natural gas wells |
6 |
1 |
|
Montney
D2 horizontal natural gas wells |
3 |
0 |
|
Montney
C horizontal natural gas wells |
3 |
0 |
|
Basal
Doig/Upper Montney horizontal natural gas wells |
3 |
6 |
|
Total – Pouce Coupe |
15 |
7 |
|
|
|
Gordondale |
|
|
|
Montney
D1 horizontal natural gas wells |
2 |
0 |
|
Montney
D2 horizontal natural gas wells |
1 |
0 |
|
Montney
C horizontal natural gas wells |
1 |
0 |
|
Montney
D1 horizontal oil wells |
0 |
0 |
|
Montney D2 horizontal oil wells |
0 |
0 |
|
Total – Gordondale |
4 |
0 |
TOTAL – COMBINED |
19 |
7 |
(1) Includes 6 (6.0 net) wells that were drilled
and rig released in Q4 2020.
Total capital expenditures for Q1 2021 were
$96.6 million, which included F&D capital expenditures of $95.8
million. For further information regarding Birchcliff’s operational
activities year-to-date, see “Operational Update”.
OPERATIONAL UPDATE
The 2021 Capital Program is focused on
developing Birchcliff’s low-cost natural gas and liquids-rich
production in Pouce Coupe and Gordondale, with the majority of
capital investment directed to drilling, completing and bringing on
production horizontal condensate-rich natural gas wells in Pouce
Coupe and horizontal light oil and condensate-rich natural gas
wells in Gordondale. Birchcliff has completed the majority of its
2021 Capital Program, with all but 2 wells being drilled, 21 of 33
wells being completed and 11 of 33 wells being brought on
production to date and several field infrastructure projects
successfully completed. The 2021 Capital Program is strategically
front-end loaded, allowing Birchcliff to bring new wells on
production relatively early in the year in order to optimize
producing days for capital spent.
The following tables set forth the wells that
Birchcliff has drilled and brought on production year-to-date and
the remaining and total number of wells to be drilled and brought
on production in 2021:
Wells Drilled – 2021
Area |
Wells drilled to date in
2021 |
Remaining wells to be drilled in 2021 |
Total wells to be drilled in
2021 |
Pouce Coupe |
|
|
|
|
Montney D1 horizontal natural gas wells |
7 |
0 |
7 |
|
Montney
D2 horizontal natural gas wells |
3 |
0 |
3 |
|
Montney
C horizontal natural gas wells |
3 |
0 |
3 |
|
Basal
Doig/Upper Montney horizontal natural gas wells |
6 |
0 |
6 |
|
Total – Pouce Coupe |
19 |
0 |
19 |
|
|
|
|
Gordondale |
|
|
|
|
Montney
D1 horizontal natural gas wells |
2 |
0 |
2 |
|
Montney
D2 horizontal natural gas wells |
1 |
0 |
1 |
|
Montney
C horizontal natural gas wells |
1 |
0 |
1 |
|
Montney
D1 horizontal oil wells |
1 |
1 |
2 |
|
Montney
D2 horizontal oil wells |
1 |
1 |
2 |
|
Total – Gordondale |
6 |
2 |
8 |
TOTAL – COMBINED |
25 |
2 |
27 |
Wells Brought on Production – 2021
Area |
Wells brought on production to
date in 2021(1) |
Remaining wells to be brought on production
in 2021 |
Total wells to be brought on production in
2021(1) |
Pouce Coupe |
|
|
|
|
Montney D1 horizontal natural gas wells |
1 |
6 |
7 |
|
Montney
D2 horizontal natural gas wells |
0 |
3 |
3 |
|
Montney
C horizontal natural gas wells |
0 |
3 |
3 |
|
Basal
Doig/Upper Montney horizontal natural gas wells |
6 |
6 |
12 |
|
Total – Pouce Coupe |
7 |
18 |
25 |
|
|
|
|
Gordondale |
|
|
|
|
Montney
D1 horizontal natural gas wells |
2 |
0 |
2 |
|
Montney
D2 horizontal natural gas wells |
1 |
0 |
1 |
|
Montney
C horizontal natural gas wells |
1 |
0 |
1 |
|
Montney
D1 horizontal oil wells |
0 |
2 |
2 |
|
Montney
D2 horizontal oil wells |
0 |
2 |
2 |
|
Total – Gordondale |
4 |
4 |
8 |
TOTAL – COMBINED |
11 |
22 |
33 |
(1) Includes 6 (6.0) net wells that were drilled
and rig released in Q4 2020.
Pouce Coupe Area
Significant IP30 and IP60 Results from
Birchcliff’s 7-Well Pad (04-04-78-13W6)
Birchcliff has successfully completed its 7-well
pad (04-04) in Pouce Coupe, which was drilled in late Q4 2020 and
early January 2021 and brought on production in March 2021 through
Birchcliff’s existing owned and operated infrastructure. Six wells
on the 04-04 pad were drilled in the Basal Doig/Upper Montney
interval and one well was drilled in the Montney D1 interval,
offsetting several of Birchcliff’s existing high-productivity,
low-cost natural gas wells.
The wells have now been producing for over 60
days and have produced at significantly better rates than
previously forecast. After completing approximately 20 days of
initial well testing and frac clean-up operations, the 6 Basal
Doig/Upper Montney wells have flowed with approximate peak daily
rates between 5.5 and 10.5 MMcf/d, with 40 to 70 bbls of condensate
per MMcf of natural gas and the Montney D1 well has flowed with a
peak daily rate of 14.0 MMcf/d with 5 bbls of condensate per MMcf
of natural gas. After well testing, the Corporation has been
flowing the wells at restricted rates between 3.0 and 6.5 MMcf/d to
manage drawdown and any potential sand flowback. Birchcliff expects
that several of the wells are capable of being held at stabilized
rates for an extended duration, which will allow for strong stable
production profiles and less backout of Birchcliff’s existing area
production.
During the initial 30 and 60 days of production,
the pad was flowing inline post-fracture condensate, raw natural
gas and frac water. The production rates of the wells are
stabilized and the frac water flowing back to surface continues to
diminish over time. The following table summarizes the aggregate
and average production rates for the 7 wells:
|
IP 30(1) |
IP 60(1) |
Aggregate production rate
(boe/d) |
8,728 |
7,753 |
|
Aggregate natural gas production rate (Mcf/d) |
46,824 |
41,854 |
|
Aggregate condensate production rate (bbls/d) |
923 |
777 |
Average per well production rate
(boe/d) |
1,247 |
1,108 |
|
Average
per well natural gas production rate (Mcf/d) |
6,689 |
5,979 |
|
Average per well condensate production rate (bbls/d) |
132 |
111 |
Condensate to gas ratio
(bbls/MMcf) |
20 |
19 |
(1) Represents the cumulative volumes for each
well measured at the wellhead separator for the 30 or 60 days (as
applicable) of production immediately after each well was
considered stabilized after producing fracture treatment fluid back
to surface in an amount such that flow rates of hydrocarbons became
reliable. See “Advisories – Initial Production Rates”.
8-Well Pad (14-28-77-13W6)
The results from the 04-04 pad provide
Birchcliff with significantly more potential high-rate natural gas
and condensate drilling opportunities. In light of the successful
results, Birchcliff has substituted 4 wells from a northern Pouce
Coupe pad with 4 wells on its 8-well pad (14-28), which is
offsetting the 04-04 pad. The Corporation has recently completed
the drilling of all 8 wells on the 14-28 pad (6 in the Basal
Doig/Upper Montney and 2 in the Montney D1) and the pad is now
awaiting completion operations. Modifying the 2021 Capital Program
by moving these wells within Pouce Coupe reflects Birchcliff’s
ability to build on its recent drilling success.
10-Well Pad (14-06-79-13W6)
Birchcliff has successfully drilled, completed
and is currently in preliminary flow testing operations on its
10-well pad (14-06), which was drilled in 3 intervals (3 in the
Montney C, 4 in the Montney D1 and 3 in the Montney D2). The pad
resides three miles south of the Corporation’s 2020 14-well pad
(14-19) and is targeting condensate-rich natural gas wells versus
the light oil wells discovered at 14-19 pad. Birchcliff expects to
continue to drive drilling and completion costs down through scale
and repeatability on larger pads as exhibited by its recent
execution on its 2021 Capital Program and the successful operations
at the 14-19 pad in 2020.
It is expected that the 14-06 pad and the 14-28
pad will be brought on production in the second and third quarters
of 2021, respectively. The Inlet Liquids-Handling Facility, which
was completed in Q3 2020, allows the Corporation to process and
sell the condensate from its new wells in Pouce Coupe to achieve a
premium price and handle the majority of the fracture flowback
water volumes at the Pouce Coupe Gas Plant instead of relying on
third-party infrastructure.
2020 14-Well Pad (14-19-79-11W6)
Update
In Q3 2020, the Corporation brought the
production on from its 14-well pad (14-19) located in the
northeastern area of Pouce Coupe. The 14 wells were drilled in 3
different intervals (5 in the Montney D2, 4 in the Montney D1 and 5
in the Montney C). The wells have now been producing for over 6
months and continue to produce more condensate/light oil than
initially forecast. Final average per well costs were approximately
$4.2 million per well.
The gross capital cost of the 14-19 pad was
$58.2 million dollars, which includes a large diameter pipeline
that has significant future value. As of April 30, 2021, Birchcliff
has received estimated net operating cash flow of approximately
$37.0 million dollars from the pad since it has come on-stream in
August 2020 and anticipates that the pad will pay out approximately
1.3 years after coming on-stream.
Gordondale Area
Birchcliff plans to drill and bring on
production a total of 8 (8.0 net) wells on 2 pads in Gordondale in
2021, which is expected to keep AltaGas’s deep-cut sour gas
processing facility in Gordondale (the “AltaGas
Facility”) full during the year. Development of the
Montney D1 and D2 will continue in Gordondale and Birchcliff has
also recently brought on production its first Montney C well in
Gordondale. The Corporation is targeting liquids-rich natural gas
versus light oil due to Birchcliff’s outlook for strong natural gas
prices.
4-Well Pad (05-07-79-11W6)
Subsequent to the end of the first quarter,
Birchcliff completed and brought on production its 4-well pad
(05-07) in Gordondale which utilized multi-interval cube style
development. The 05-07 pad is targeting 3 intervals (2 in the
Montney D1, 1 in the Montney D2 and 1 in the Montney C). The
extension of the Montney C interval into Gordondale is based on
successful well results offsetting in Pouce Coupe and significant
technical reservoir and geoscience work. Birchcliff has been
encouraged by the initial flow test results to date on this
pad.
4-Well Pad (06-35-77-11W6)
Birchcliff currently has one drilling rig
working at its 4-well pad (06-35) in Gordondale, which is targeting
light oil and natural gas in two intervals (2 in the Montney D1 and
2 in the Montney D2). These wells are offsetting high-rate light
oil and natural gas producing wells drilled by Birchcliff in the
southeastern portion of Gordondale in 2019 and 2020.
ENVIRONMENTAL, SOCIAL AND
GOVERNANCE
Birchcliff is committed to the responsible
development of its assets and is one of the lowest emissions
intensity producers in the industry. Continuing Birchcliff’s
industry-leading ESG performance remains a top priority in 2021.
Birchcliff intends to release its ESG report for the year ended
December 31, 2020 in Q3 2021.
Emissions Performance
Credits
The Pouce Coupe Gas Plant is a very low
emissions intensity facility and is playing a significant role in
Birchcliff continuing to be one of the lowest emissions intensity
producers in the industry. Birchcliff has been awarded Emissions
Performance Credits (“EPCs”) for the two most
recent reporting years, valued at an aggregate of approximately
$2.8 million, as a result of the many efficiency initiatives at the
Pouce Coupe Gas Plant. In Alberta EPCs are awarded pursuant to the
Technology Innovation and Emissions Reduction Regulation
(“TIER”), which replaced its predecessor
regulation on January 1, 2020. Facilities regulated under TIER,
such as the Pouce Coupe Gas Plant, must reduce emissions beyond
their established facility benchmarks in order to generate
EPCs.
The Pouce Coupe Gas Plant is highly fuel
efficient compared to many older plants in Alberta. It is equipped
with modern, high-efficiency natural gas engines with
state-of-the-art emission controls, waste heat recovery, high
efficiency process heaters, and acid gas capture and sequestration.
The Pouce Coupe Gas Plant has two acid gas sequestration wells,
which have extracted and disposed of over 56,300 tonnes of CO2 from
the raw natural gas stream in their 11 years of operation. This
acid gas scheme is a significant competitive advantage for
Birchcliff as the price of carbon increases.
Further Emissions Reduction
Initiatives
Birchcliff maintains an active fugitive emission
management program to detect and repair methane leaks, pursuant to
Alberta Energy Regulator Directive 060: Upstream Petroleum Industry
Flaring, Incinerating, and Venting (“Directive
60”). Birchcliff engages a third-party environmental firm
to conduct an annual fugitive emission survey on its behalf. This
report summarizes the emissions identified at each of the surveyed
facilities, as well as the leak detection and quantification
methodologies applied. Additionally, Birchcliff is continually
looking for opportunities to reduce its carbon footprint. The
Corporation has developed a Methane Reduction and Retrofit
Compliance Plan (“MRRCP”) pursuant to Directive 60
to identify, retrofit or remove all remaining venting equipment
from its operations. Birchcliff has a relatively small inventory of
remaining methane venting equipment, such as pneumatic devices and
compressor seals, and expects to have this initiative completed by
2023. In 2020, these venting sources combined with fugitive
emissions made up only approximately 10% of Birchcliff’s corporate
GHG emissions. With the implementation of its MRRCP, the
Corporation anticipates that these venting sources and fugitive
emissions will be reduced by 50% before 2023.
NGIF Industry Grants and NGIF Cleantech
Ventures Equity Fund
Birchcliff is investing financial resources and
time to support its commitment to further reduce its impact and the
impact of the oil and gas industry as a whole on the environment.
Birchcliff is proud to be a partner in the Natural Gas Innovation
Fund (“NGIF”) through two of its entities: NGIF
Industry Grants organization and Cleantech Ventures Equity
Fund.
Birchcliff has been a member of NGIF Industry
Grants since 2018 when it was expanded to include natural gas
producers. NGIF Industry Grants was created by the Canadian Gas
Association to support the funding of cleantech innovation in the
natural gas value chain. In total, NGIF Industry Grants has
approved grant funding to over 50 projects, committing
approximately $15 million, and leveraged federal and provincial
grant funding of over $35 million, to help early-stage clean
technology companies develop solutions to reduce emissions,
increase energy efficiency and accelerate the use of natural gas to
support environmental goals in Canada. NGIF Industry Grants
anticipates that the technologies supported by these grants will
result in an estimated 6 megatonne reduction in emissions by 2030,
as the technologies are commercialized.
On April 1, 2021, Birchcliff became a founding
partner in the NGIF Cleantech Ventures Equity Fund, a $35 million
industry-led seed fund that will leverage the experience and
expertise of the seven energy sector limited partner investors to
support early-stage clean technology companies through equity
investment. NGIF Cleantech Ventures investments will include
solutions that lead to emissions reductions and other environmental
benefits in existing natural gas production, transmission,
distribution, carbon capture utilization and storage, and end-use
applications, as well as projects that will lead to the expanded
production of emerging fuels like renewable natural gas and
hydrogen.
ABBREVIATIONS
AECO |
benchmark price for natural gas determined at the AECO ‘C’ hub in
southeast Alberta |
ATP |
Alliance Trading Pool |
bbl |
barrel |
bbls |
barrels |
bbls/d |
barrels per day |
boe |
barrel of oil equivalent |
boe/d |
barrel of oil equivalent per day |
CO2 |
carbon dioxide |
condensate |
pentanes plus (C5+) |
ESG |
environmental, social and governance |
F&D |
finding and development |
G&A |
general and administrative |
GAAP |
generally accepted accounting principles for Canadian public
companies which are currently IFRS |
GHG |
greenhouse gas |
GJ |
gigajoule |
GJ/d |
gigajoules per day |
HH |
Henry Hub |
IFRS |
International Financial Reporting Standards as issued by the
International Accounting Standards Board |
IP |
initial production |
m3 |
cubic metres |
Mcf |
thousand cubic feet |
Mcf/d |
thousand cubic feet per day |
Mcfe |
thousand cubic feet of gas equivalent |
MJ |
megajoule |
MM$ |
millions of dollars |
MMBtu |
million British thermal units |
MMBtu/d |
million British thermal units per day |
MMcf |
million cubic feet |
MMcf/d |
million cubic feet per day |
MPa |
megapascal |
MSW |
price for mixed sweet crude oil at Edmonton, Alberta |
NGLs |
natural gas liquids consisting of ethane (C2), propane (C3) and
butane (C4) and specifically excluding condensate |
NYMEX |
New York Mercantile Exchange |
OPEC+ |
Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries
(“OPEC”), with certain non-OPEC oil exporting
countries |
TCPL |
TransCanada PipeLines Limited |
WTI |
West Texas Intermediate, the reference price paid in U.S. dollars
at Cushing, Oklahoma, for crude oil of standard grade |
000s |
thousands |
$000s |
thousands of dollars |
NON-GAAP MEASURES
This press release uses the terms “adjusted
funds flow”, “adjusted funds flow per basic common share”, “free
funds flow”, “transportation and other expense”, “operating
netback”, “adjusted funds flow netback”, “total cash costs” and
“total debt”. These measures do not have standardized meanings
prescribed by GAAP and therefore may not be comparable to similar
measures presented by other companies where similar terminology is
used. Management believes that these non-GAAP measures assist
management and investors in assessing Birchcliff’s profitability,
efficiency, liquidity and overall performance.
“Adjusted funds flow” denotes cash flow from
operating activities before the effects of decommissioning
expenditures and changes in non-cash operating working capital and
“adjusted funds flow per basic common share” denotes adjusted funds
flow divided by the basic weighted average number of common shares
outstanding for the period. “Free funds flow” denotes adjusted
funds flow less F&D capital expenditures. “Transportation and
other expense” denotes transportation expense plus marketing
purchases minus marketing revenue on a per boe basis. “Operating
netback” denotes petroleum and natural gas revenue less royalty
expense, less operating expense and less transportation and other
expense. “Adjusted funds flow netback” denotes petroleum and
natural gas revenue less royalty expense, less operating expense,
less transportation and other expense, less net G&A expense,
less interest expense and less any realized losses (plus realized
gains) on financial instruments and plus any other cash income
sources. “Total cash costs” denotes royalty, operating,
transportation and other, G&A and interest expenses on a per
unit basis. “Total debt” is calculated as the amount outstanding
under the Credit Facilities plus adjusted working capital deficit
(which is calculated as current assets minus current liabilities
excluding the effects of any current portion of financial
instruments and capital securities). For additional information
regarding these non-GAAP measures, including reconciliations to the
most directly comparable GAAP measures where applicable, see
“Non-GAAP Measures” in the MD&A.
ADVISORIES
Unaudited Information
All financial and operational information
contained in this press release for the three months ended March
31, 2021 and 2020 is unaudited.
Currency
Unless otherwise indicated, all dollar amounts
are expressed in Canadian dollars and all references to “$” and
“CDN$” are to Canadian dollars and all references to “US$” are to
United States dollars.
MMBtu Pricing Conversions
$1.00 per MMBtu equals $1.00 per Mcf based on a
standard heat value of 37.4 MJ/m3 or a heat uplift
of 1.055 when converting from $/GJ.
Boe and Mcfe Conversions
Boe amounts have been calculated by using the
conversion ratio of 6 Mcf of natural gas to 1 bbl of oil and Mcfe
amounts have been calculated by using the conversion ratio of 1 bbl
of oil to 6 Mcf of natural gas. Boe and Mcfe amounts may be
misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A boe conversion
ratio of 6 Mcf: 1 bbl and an Mcfe conversion ratio of 1 bbl: 6 Mcf
is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily
applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value
equivalency at the wellhead. Given that the value ratio based on
the current price of crude oil as compared to natural gas is
significantly different from the energy equivalency of 6:1,
utilizing a conversion on a 6:1 basis may be misleading as an
indication of value.
Production
With respect to the disclosure of Birchcliff’s
production contained in this press release: (i) references to
“light oil” mean “light crude oil and medium crude oil” as such
term is defined in National Instrument 51-101 – Standards of
Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities (“NI
51-101”); (ii) unless otherwise indicated, references to
“liquids” mean “light crude oil and medium crude oil” and “natural
gas liquids” (including condensate) as such terms are defined in NI
51-101; and (iii) references to “natural gas” mean “shale gas”,
which also includes an immaterial amount of “conventional natural
gas”, as such terms are defined in NI 51-101. In addition, NI
51-101 includes condensate within the product type of natural gas
liquids. Birchcliff has disclosed condensate separately from other
natural gas liquids as the price of condensate as compared to other
natural gas liquids is currently significantly higher and
Birchcliff believes presenting the two commodities separately
provides a more accurate description of its operations and results
therefrom.
Oil and Gas Metrics
This press release contains metrics commonly
used in the oil and natural gas industry, including netbacks. These
oil and gas metrics do not have any standardized meanings or
standard methods of calculation and therefore may not be comparable
to similar measures presented by other companies where similar
terminology is used. As such, they should not be used to make
comparisons. Management uses these oil and gas metrics for its own
performance measurements and to provide investors with measures to
compare Birchcliff’s performance over time; however, such measures
are not reliable indicators of Birchcliff’s future performance,
which may not compare to Birchcliff’s performance in previous
periods, and therefore should not be unduly relied upon. For
additional information regarding netbacks, see “Non-GAAP
Measures”.
Initial Production Rates
Any references in this press release to initial
production rates or other short-term production rates are useful in
confirming the presence of hydrocarbons; however, such rates are
not determinative of the rates at which such wells will continue to
produce and decline thereafter and are not indicative of the
long-term performance or the ultimate recovery of such wells. In
addition, such rates may also include recovered “load oil” or “load
water” fluids used in well completion stimulation. While
encouraging, readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on
such rates in calculating the aggregate production for Birchcliff.
Such rates are based on field estimates and may be based on limited
data available at this time. With respect to the production rates
for the Corporation’s 7-well pad in Pouce Coupe disclosed herein,
such rates represent the cumulative volumes for each well measured
at the wellhead separator for the 30 and 60 days (as applicable) of
production immediately after each well was considered stabilized
after producing fracture treatment fluid back to surface in an
amount such that flow rates of hydrocarbons became reliable
(between 0 and 4 days), divided by 30 or 60 (as applicable), which
were then added together to determine the aggregate production
rates for the 7-well pad and then divided by 7 to determine the per
well average production rates. The production rates excluded the
hours and days when the wells did not produce. Approximate tubing
pressures for the 7 wells were stabilized between 6.1 and 14.1 MPa
for IP 30 production rates and between 3.5 to 4.4 MPa for IP 60
production rates. Approximate casing pressures for the 7 wells were
stabilized between 3.1 and 5.0 MPa for IP 30 production rates and
between 6.8 to 14.8 MPa for IP 60 production rates. To-date, no
pressure transient or well-test interpretation has been carried out
on any of the wells. The natural gas volumes represent raw natural
gas volumes as opposed to sales gas volumes.
Capital Expenditures
Unless otherwise indicated, references in this
press release to: (i) “F&D capital” denotes capital for land,
seismic, workovers, drilling and completions and well equipment and
facilities; and (ii) “total capital expenditures” denotes F&D
capital plus acquisitions, less any dispositions, plus
administrative assets.
Forward-Looking Statements
Certain statements contained in this press
release constitute forward‐looking statements and forward-looking
information (collectively referred to as “forward‐looking
statements”) within the meaning of applicable Canadian
securities laws. The forward-looking statements contained in this
press release relate to future events or Birchcliff’s future plans,
operations, strategy, performance or financial position and are
based on Birchcliff’s current expectations, estimates, projections,
beliefs and assumptions. Such forward-looking statements have been
made by Birchcliff in light of the information available to it at
the time the statements were made and reflect its experience and
perception of historical trends. All statements and information
other than historical fact may be forward‐looking statements. Such
forward‐looking statements are often, but not always, identified by
the use of words such as “seek”, “plan”, “focus”, “future”,
“outlook”, “position”, “expect”, “project”, “intend”, “believe”,
“anticipate”, “estimate”, “forecast”, “guidance”, “potential”,
“proposed”, “predict”, “budget”, “continue”, “targeting”, “may”,
“will”, “could”, “might”, “should”, “would”, “on track” and other
similar words and expressions.
By their nature, forward-looking statements
involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors
that may cause actual results or events to differ materially from
those anticipated in such forward‐looking statements. Accordingly,
readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on such
forward-looking statements. Although Birchcliff believes that the
expectations reflected in the forward-looking statements are
reasonable, there can be no assurance that such expectations will
prove to be correct and Birchcliff makes no representation that
actual results achieved will be the same in whole or in part as
those set out in the forward-looking statements.
In particular, this press release contains
forward‐looking statements relating to the following:
-
Birchcliff’s plans and other aspects of its anticipated future
financial performance, results, operations, focus, objectives,
strategies, opportunities, priorities and goals, including: that
Birchcliff’s anticipated free funds flow of $170 million to $190
million puts it in an excellent position to significantly reduce
its total debt during the second half of 2021; that due to
Birchcliff’s significant anticipated adjusted funds flow in 2021
and its commitment to capital discipline and debt reduction, it
does not anticipate requiring additional credit capacity; that
Birchcliff is committed to capital discipline, reducing its
interest costs, strengthening its balance sheet and reducing its
total debt going forward; and that Birchcliff is committed to
reducing its per unit operating expense by executing on various
field optimization and cost-saving initiatives in Pouce Coupe and
Gordondale;
-
the information set forth under the heading “Outlook and Guidance”
and elsewhere in this press release as it relates to Birchcliff’s
2021 guidance, including: that Birchcliff now expects to generate
approximately $400 million of adjusted funds flow on annual average
production of 79,000 to 81,000 boe/d; that the Corporation is now
targeting $170 million to $190 million of free funds flow in 2021,
which will be prioritized towards debt reduction, with total debt
at year end now anticipated to be $600 million to $620 million; and
estimates of annual and second half average production, annual
commodity mix, average expenses, adjusted funds flow, F&D
capital expenditures, free funds flow, total debt and natural gas
market exposure and the expected impact of changes in commodity
prices and the CDN/US exchange rate on Birchcliff’s estimate of
adjusted funds flow;
- Birchcliff’s outlook for commodity prices;
-
the information set forth under the heading “Operational Update”
and elsewhere in this press release as it relates to the 2021
Capital Program and Birchcliff’s proposed exploration and
development activities and the timing thereof, including: the focus
of, the objectives of, the timing of, the anticipated results from
and expected benefits of the 2021 Capital Program; statements
regarding the number and types of wells expected to be drilled and
brought on production and the timing thereof; the types of product
types targeted; that the results from the 04-04 pad provide
Birchcliff with significantly more potential high-rate natural gas
and condensate drilling opportunities; that several of the wells
from the 04-04 pad are capable of being held at stabilized rates
for an extended duration, which will allow for strong stable
production profiles and less backout of Birchcliff’s existing area
production; that Birchcliff expects to continue to drive drilling
and completion costs down through scale and repeatability on larger
pads; that it is expected that the 14-06 pad and the 14-28 pad will
be brought on production in the second and third quarters of 2021,
respectively; that the Inlet Liquids-Handling facility allows the
Corporation to process and sell the condensate from its new wells
in Pouce Coupe to achieve a premium price; that the 14-19 pad will
pay out approximately 1.3 years after coming on-stream; and that
the wells brought on production in Gordondale in 2021 are expected
to keep the AltaGas Facility full during the year;
-
the information set forth under the heading “Environmental, Social
and Governance”, including: that continuing Birchcliff’s
industry-leading ESG performance continues to be a top priority for
Birchcliff; that Birchcliff intends to release its ESG report for
the year ended December 31, 2020 in Q3 2021; that the acid gas
capture and sequestration at the Pouce Coupe Gas Plant is a
significant competitive advantage for Birchcliff as the price of
carbon increases; statements regarding the Corporation’s emissions
reduction initiatives and reducing its carbon footprint (including:
that Birchcliff expects to have its initiative to remove all
remaining methane venting equipment from its operations completed
by 2023; and that the Corporation anticipates that its venting
sources and fugitive emissions will be reduced by 50% before 2023);
that NGIF Industry Grants anticipates that the technologies
supported by its past grants will result in an estimated 6
megatonne reduction in emissions by 2030; and that NGIF Cleantech
Ventures investments will include solutions that lead to emissions
reductions and other environmental benefits in existing natural gas
production, transmission, distribution, carbon capture utilization
and storage, and end-use applications, as well as projects that
will lead to the expanded production of emerging fuels like
renewable natural gas and hydrogen; and
-
the performance and other characteristics of Birchcliff’s oil and
natural gas properties and expected results from its assets,
including statements regarding the potential or prospectivity of
Birchcliff’s properties.
With respect to the forward‐looking statements
contained in this press release, assumptions have been made
regarding, among other things: the degree to which the
Corporation’s results of operations and financial condition will be
disrupted by circumstances attributable to the COVID-19 pandemic
and the responses of governments and the public to the pandemic;
prevailing and future commodity prices and differentials, currency
exchange rates, interest rates, inflation rates, royalty rates and
tax rates; the state of the economy, financial markets and the
exploration, development and production business; the political
environment in which Birchcliff operates; the regulatory framework
regarding royalties, taxes, environmental, climate change and other
laws; the Corporation’s ability to comply with existing and future
environmental, climate change and other laws; future cash flow,
debt and dividend levels; future operating, transportation,
marketing, general and administrative and other expenses;
Birchcliff’s ability to access capital and obtain financing on
acceptable terms; the timing and amount of capital expenditures and
the sources of funding for capital expenditures and other
activities; the sufficiency of budgeted capital expenditures to
carry out planned operations; the successful and timely
implementation of capital projects and the timing, location and
extent of future drilling and other operations; results of
operations; Birchcliff’s ability to continue to develop its assets
and obtain the anticipated benefits therefrom; the performance of
existing and future wells; the success of new wells drilled;
reserves and resource volumes and Birchcliff’s ability to replace
and expand reserves through acquisition, development or
exploration; the impact of competition on Birchcliff; the
availability of, demand for and cost of labour, services and
materials; the ability to obtain any necessary regulatory or other
approvals in a timely manner; the satisfaction by third parties of
their obligations to Birchcliff; the ability of Birchcliff to
secure adequate processing and transportation for its products;
Birchcliff’s ability to successfully market natural gas and
liquids; the availability of hedges on terms acceptable to
Birchcliff; and Birchcliff’s natural gas market exposure. In
addition to the foregoing assumptions, Birchcliff has made the
following assumptions with respect to certain forward-looking
statements contained in this press release:
-
Birchcliff’s 2021 guidance (as revised May 12, 2021) assumes the
following commodity prices and exchange rate: an average WTI price
of US$62.00/bbl; an average WTI-MSW differential of CDN$5.70/bbl;
an average AECO 5A price of CDN$2.80/GJ; an average Dawn price of
US$2.85/MMBtu; an average NYMEX HH price of US$2.90/MMBtu; and an
exchange rate (CDN$ to US$1) of 1.24.
-
With respect to estimates of 2021 capital expenditures and
Birchcliff’s spending plans for 2021, such estimates and plans
assume that the 2021 Capital Program will be carried out as
currently contemplated. Birchcliff makes acquisitions and
dispositions in the ordinary course of business. Any acquisitions
and dispositions completed could have an impact on Birchcliff’s
capital expenditures, production, adjusted funds flow, free funds
flow, costs and total debt, which impact could be material. The
amount and allocation of capital expenditures for exploration and
development activities by area and the number and types of wells to
be drilled and brought on production is dependent upon results
achieved and is subject to review and modification by management on
an ongoing basis throughout the year. Actual spending may vary due
to a variety of factors, including commodity prices, economic
conditions, results of operations and costs of labour, services and
materials.
-
With respect to Birchcliff’s estimates of adjusted funds flow and
free funds flow for 2021, such estimates assume that: the 2021
Capital Program will be carried out as currently contemplated and
the level of capital spending for 2021 set forth herein will be
achieved; and the Corporation’s targets for production, production
commodity mix, costs and natural gas market exposure and the
commodity price and exchange rate assumptions set forth herein are
met.
-
With respect to Birchcliff’s production guidance for 2021, such
guidance assumes that: the 2021 Capital Program will be carried out
as currently contemplated; no unexpected outages occur in the
infrastructure that Birchcliff relies on to produce its wells and
that any transportation service curtailments or unplanned outages
that occur will be short in duration or otherwise insignificant;
the construction of new infrastructure meets timing and operational
expectations; existing wells continue to meet production
expectations; and future wells scheduled to come on production meet
timing, production and capital expenditure expectations.
Birchcliff’s production guidance may be affected by acquisition and
disposition activity.
-
With respect to statements regarding future wells to be drilled and
brought on production, such statements assume: the continuing
validity of the geological and other technical interpretations
performed by Birchcliff’s technical staff, which indicate that
commercially economic volumes can be recovered from Birchcliff’s
lands as a result of drilling future wells; and that commodity
prices and general economic conditions will warrant proceeding with
the drilling of such wells.
-
With respect to statements regarding the future potential and
prospectivity of properties and assets, such statements assume: the
continuing validity of the geological and other technical
interpretations performed by Birchcliff’s technical staff with
respect to such properties; and that, over the long-term, commodity
prices and general economic conditions will warrant proceeding with
the exploration and development of such properties.
Birchcliff’s actual results, performance or
achievements could differ materially from those anticipated in the
forward-looking statements as a result of both known and unknown
risks and uncertainties including, but not limited to: the risks
posed by pandemics (including COVID-19) and epidemics and their
impacts on supply and demand and commodity prices; actions taken by
OPEC and other major producers of crude oil and the impact such
actions may have on supply and demand and commodity prices; general
economic, market and business conditions which will, among other
things, impact the demand for and market prices of Birchcliff’s
products and Birchcliff’s access to capital; volatility of crude
oil and natural gas prices; fluctuations in currency exchange and
interest rates; stock market volatility; loss of market demand; an
inability to access sufficient capital from internal and external
sources on terms acceptable to the Corporation; risks associated
with Birchcliff’s Credit Facilities, including a failure to comply
with covenants under the agreement governing the Credit Facilities
and the risk that the borrowing base limit may be redetermined;
fluctuations in the costs of borrowing; operational risks and
liabilities inherent in oil and natural gas operations; the
occurrence of unexpected events such as fires, severe weather,
explosions, blow-outs, equipment failures, transportation incidents
and other similar events affecting Birchcliff or other parties
whose operations or assets directly or indirectly affect
Birchcliff; an inability to access sufficient water or other fluids
needed for operations; uncertainty that development activities in
connection with Birchcliff’s assets will be economic; an inability
to access or implement some or all of the technology necessary to
efficiently and effectively operate its assets and achieve expected
future results; uncertainties associated with estimating oil and
natural gas reserves and resources; the accuracy of estimates of
reserves, future net revenue and production levels; geological,
technical, drilling, construction and processing problems;
uncertainty of geological and technical data; horizontal drilling
and completions techniques and the failure of drilling results to
meet expectations for reserves or production; uncertainties related
to Birchcliff’s future potential drilling locations; delays or
changes in plans with respect to exploration or development
projects or capital expenditures, including delays in the
completion of gas plants and other facilities; the accuracy of cost
estimates and variances in Birchcliff’s actual costs and economic
returns from those anticipated; incorrect assessments of the value
of acquisitions and exploration and development programs; changes
to the regulatory framework in the locations where the Corporation
operates, including changes to tax laws, Crown royalty rates,
environmental laws, climate change laws, carbon tax regimes,
incentive programs and other regulations that affect the oil and
natural gas industry and other actions by government authorities;
an inability of the Corporation to comply with existing and future
environmental, climate change and other laws; the cost of
compliance with current and future environmental laws; political
uncertainty and uncertainty associated with government policy
changes; dependence on facilities, gathering lines and pipelines,
some of which the Corporation does not control; uncertainties and
risks associated with pipeline restrictions and outages to
third-party infrastructure that could cause disruptions to
production; the lack of available pipeline capacity and an
inability to secure adequate and cost-effective processing and
transportation for Birchcliff’s products; an inability to satisfy
obligations under Birchcliff’s firm marketing and transportation
arrangements; shortages in equipment and skilled personnel; the
absence or loss of key employees; competition for, among other
things, capital, acquisitions of reserves, undeveloped lands,
equipment and skilled personnel; management of Birchcliff’s growth;
environmental and climate change risks, claims and liabilities;
potential litigation; default under or breach of agreements by
counterparties and potential enforceability issues in contracts;
claims by Indigenous peoples; the reassessment by taxing or
regulatory authorities of the Corporation’s prior transactions and
filings; unforeseen title defects; third-party claims regarding the
Corporation’s right to use technology and equipment; uncertainties
associated with the outcome of litigation or other proceedings
involving Birchcliff; uncertainties associated with counterparty
credit risk; risks associated with Birchcliff’s risk management
activities and the risk that hedges on terms acceptable to
Birchcliff may not be available; risks associated with the
declaration and payment of future dividends, including the
discretion of Birchcliff’s board of directors to declare dividends
and change the Corporation’s dividend policy; the failure to obtain
any required approvals in a timely manner or at all; the failure to
complete or realize the anticipated benefits of acquisitions and
dispositions and the risk of unforeseen difficulties in integrating
acquired assets into Birchcliff’s operations; negative public
perception of the oil and natural gas industry and fossil fuels,
including transportation and hydraulic fracturing involving fossil
fuels; the Corporation’s reliance on hydraulic fracturing; market
competition, including from alternative energy sources; changing
demand for petroleum products; the availability of insurance and
the risk that certain losses may not be insured; breaches or
failure of information systems and security (including risks
associated with cyber-attacks); risks associated with the ownership
of the Corporation’s securities; the accuracy of the Corporation’s
accounting estimates and judgments; and potential requirements
under applicable accounting standards for the impairment or
reversal of estimated recoverable amounts of the Corporation’s
assets from time to time.
Birchcliff’s five year plan for 2021 to 2025
(the “Five Year Plan”) assumes an average WTI
price of US$50.00/bbl, an average WTI-MSW differential of
CDN$6.00/bbl, an average AECO 5A price of CDN$2.50/GJ, an average
Dawn price of US$2.75/MMBtu, an average NYMEX HH price of
US$2.80/MMBtu and an exchange rate (CDN$ to US$1) of 1.27. As
disclosed herein, Birchcliff has revised its guidance and commodity
price and exchange rate assumptions for 2021 which would have a
corresponding impact on the Five Year Plan and which would affect
some or all of the longer-term targets disclosed for 2022 to 2025.
The internal projections, expectations and beliefs underlying the
Five Year Plan are subject to change in light of ongoing results
and prevailing economic and industry conditions. For further
information regarding the assumptions on which the Five Year Plan
is based, please see Birchcliff’s January 20, 2021 press
release.
There is significant ongoing uncertainty
surrounding COVID-19 and the extent and duration of the impacts
that Birchcliff may experience. While the duration and full impact
of the COVID-19 pandemic is not yet known, the effect of low
commodity prices as a result of reduced demand associated with the
impact of COVID-19 has had, and may continue to have, a negative
impact on the Corporation’s business, results of operations,
financial condition and the environment in which it operates. The
Corporation’s current expectations, estimates, projections, beliefs
and assumptions underlying the Corporation’s forward-looking
statements, including those that pertain to the 2021 Capital
Program, are subject to change in light of the COVID-19 pandemic,
including potential future waves and actions taken by governments
and businesses in response thereto.
Readers are cautioned that the foregoing lists
of factors are not exhaustive. Additional information on these and
other risk factors that could affect results of operations,
financial performance or financial results are included in
Birchcliff’s most recent Annual Information Form under the heading
“Risk Factors” and in other reports filed with Canadian securities
regulatory authorities.
This press release contains information that may
constitute future-orientated financial information or financial
outlook information (collectively, “FOFI”) about
Birchcliff’s prospective financial performance, financial position
or cash flows, all of which is subject to the same assumptions,
risk factors, limitations and qualifications as set forth above.
Readers are cautioned that the assumptions used in the preparation
of such information, although considered reasonable at the time of
preparation, may prove to be imprecise or inaccurate and, as such,
undue reliance should not be placed on FOFI. Birchcliff’s actual
results, performance and achievements could differ materially from
those expressed in, or implied by, FOFI. Birchcliff has included
FOFI in order to provide readers with a more complete perspective
on Birchcliff’s future operations and management’s current
expectations relating to Birchcliff’s future performance. Readers
are cautioned that such information may not be appropriate for
other purposes. FOFI contained herein was made as of the date of
this press release. Unless required by applicable laws, Birchcliff
does not undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any
FOFI statements, whether as a result of new information, future
events or otherwise.
Management has included the above summary of
assumptions and risks related to forward-looking statements
provided in this press release in order to provide readers with a
more complete perspective on Birchcliff’s future operations and
management’s current expectations relating to Birchcliff’s future
performance. Readers are cautioned that this information may not be
appropriate for other purposes.
The forward-looking statements contained in this
press release are expressly qualified by the foregoing cautionary
statements. The forward-looking statements contained herein are
made as of the date of this press release. Unless required by
applicable laws, Birchcliff does not undertake any obligation to
publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether
as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
About Birchcliff:
Birchcliff is a Calgary, Alberta based
intermediate oil and natural gas company with operations
concentrated within its one core area, the Peace River Arch of
Alberta. Birchcliff’s common shares and cumulative redeemable
preferred shares, Series A and Series C are listed for trading on
the Toronto Stock Exchange under the symbols “BIR”, “BIR.PR.A” and
“BIR.PR.C”, respectively.
For further information, please contact: |
Birchcliff Energy Ltd.Suite 1000, 600 – 3rd Avenue
S.W. Calgary, Alberta T2P 0G5Telephone: (403) 261-6401Email:
info@birchcliffenergy.comwww.birchcliffenergy.com |
|
Jeff Tonken – President and Chief Executive
OfficerBruno Geremia – Vice-President and Chief
Financial Officer |
Birchcliff Energy (TSX:BIR)
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