The major U.S. index futures are currently
pointing to a higher open on Monday, with stocks likely to regain
ground following the steep drop seen in the previous session.
Traders may look to pick up stocks at somewhat reduced levels
following the sharp pullback seen last Friday, which came amid
concerns about a surge by inflation expectations and new tariff
threats from President Donald Trump.
The upward momentum on Wall Street comes even
though Trump has threatened to impose a 25 percent on all steel and
aluminum imports into the U.S.
The latest tariff threat comes after Trump said last Friday he
plans to announce reciprocal tariffs on many countries this week,
with the U.S. imposing tariffs on imports equal to the rates
imposed on American exports.
Overall trading activity may be somewhat subdued, however, as
traders look ahead to the release of key U.S. economic data in the
coming days.
Reports on consumer and producer inflation are likely to be in
focus, while reports on retail sales and industrial production may
also attract attention.
Traders are also likely to keep a close eye on congressional
testimony by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, looking for clues
about the outlook for interest rates.
Stocks moved sharply lower during trading on Friday, giving back
ground after trending higher over the previous few sessions. The
major averages turned negative within the first hour of trading and
saw further downside as the day progressed.
The major averages climbed off their worst levels going into the
close but remained firmly negative. The Nasdaq dove 268.59 points
or 1.3 percent to 19,523.40, the Dow tumbled 444.23 points or 1.0
percent to 44,303.40 and the S&P 500 slumped 57.58 points or
1.0 percent to 6,025.99.
With the significant pullback on the day, the major averages
also closed lower for the week. The S&P 500 dipped by 0.2
percent, while the Dow and the Nasdaq both fell by 0.5 percent.
The weakness that emerged early in the session came after the
University of Michigan released a report showing consumer sentiment
has unexpectedly deteriorated in February amid a surge by
year-ahead inflation expectations.
The University of Michigan said its consumer sentiment index
slumped to 67.8 in February after rising to 71.1 in January.
Economists had expected the index to inch up to 72.0.
With the unexpected decrease, the consumer sentiment index
dropped to its lowest level since hitting 66.4 in July 2024.
The deterioration by consumer sentiment came as year-ahead
inflation expectations spiked to 4.3 percent in February from 3.3
percent in January, reaching the highest level since November
2023.
“Many consumers appear worried that high inflation will return
within the next year,” said Surveys of Consumers Director Joanne
Hsu. “This is only the fifth time in 14 years we have seen such a
large one-month rise (one percentage point or more) in year-ahead
inflation expectations.”
Stocks saw further downside after President Donald Trump said he
plans to announce reciprocal tariffs on many countries next week,
with the U.S. imposing tariffs on imports equal to the rates
imposed on American exports.
Traders were also reacting to mixed U.S. jobs data, with a
closely watched Labor Department report showing weaker than
expected job growth in January but an unexpected decrease by the
unemployment rate.
The report said non-farm payroll employment rose by 143,000 jobs
in January compared to economist estimates for an increase of about
170,000 jobs.
Meanwhile, employment in December and November surged by
upwardly revised 307,000 jobs and 261,000 jobs, respectively,
reflecting a net upward revision of 100,000 jobs.
The Labor Department also said the unemployment rate dipped to
4.0 percent in January from 4.1 percent in December. The
unemployment rate was expected to remain unchanged.
“An unemployment rate at 4% is considered very low, giving the
Fed reason to keep fed funds unchanged in the near term,” said
Jeffrey Roach, Chief Economist for LPL Financial.
Housing stocks saw substantial weakness amid a notable increase
by treasury yields, dragging the Philadelphia Housing Sector Index
down by 2.7 percent.
Significant weakness was also visible among retail stocks, as
reflected by the 2.4 percent slump by the Dow Jones U.S. Retail
Index.
A steep drop by Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) weighed on the sector, with
the online retail giant tumbling by 4.1 percent after reporting
better than expected fourth quarter results but providing
disappointing sales guidance for the current quarter.
Biotechnology, semiconductor and software stocks also saw
considerable weakness, while airline stocks were among the few
groups to buck the downtrend.
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