Bitcoin Resets With 14% Deleveraging—Here’s What Past Events Led To
17 Março 2025 - 7:30PM
NEWSBTC
Data shows the Bitcoin futures market has seen a massive
deleveraging event recently. Here’s what this reset could mean for
BTC, based on past trends. Bitcoin Open Interest Has Gone Through A
Crash Recently As pointed out by an analyst in a CryptoQuant
Quicktake post, the BTC Open Interest has seen a retest recently.
The “Open Interest” refers to an indicator that keeps track of the
total amount of futures positions related to Bitcoin that are
currently open on all derivatives exchanges. Related Reading: Is
Bitcoin Peak In? This Data Suggests Otherwise, Analytics Firm Says
When the value of this metric rises, it means the investors are
opening up more positions on the market. Generally, the total
leverage present in the sector goes up when this happens, so this
kind of trend can lead to more volatility for the asset. On the
other hand, the indicator going down implies the futures users are
closing up positions or getting forcibly liquidated by their
platform. As leverage decreases following such a trend, the market
can act in a more stable manner. Now, here is the chart shared by
the analyst, that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Open Interest, as
well as its 90-day percentage change, over the last few years: As
displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin Open Interest shot up to
a new all-time high (ATH) of $33.6 billion back in January.
Interestingly, this peak in the indicator coincided with the ATH in
the price itself. As mentioned before, a rise in the Open Interest
can lead to volatility for the cryptocurrency. The reason behind
this lies in the fact that a mass liquidation event, popularly
known as a squeeze, can become more probable to occur when the
market is overleveraged. In such an event, a sharp swing in the
price triggers a large amount of simultaneous liquidations, which
end up acting as fuel for the move itself, thus elongating its
length. This unleashes a cascade of further liquidations. The
volatility emerging out of an increase in the Open Interest can, in
theory, take Bitcoin in either direction. During the earlier bull
rally, the Open Interest increase was accompanied by bullish
momentum. From the chart, it’s visible, however, that the indicator
reached a turning point around the time of the aforementioned peak.
As bearish momentum took over Bitcoin following the ATH, it was now
the turn of the bulls to get liquidated. The massive long squeezes
that the price legs down induced helped to further the price
decline, explaining its sharpness. Related Reading: Dogecoin Can
Still Go Parabolic If This Support Holds, Analyst Says Today, the
Open Interest is down to just $23.1 billion, with the indicator’s
90-day change sitting at a notable low of -14%. In the chart, the
quant has highlighted the previous deleveraging events where the
metric plummeted in a similar manner. “Looking at historical
trends, each past deleveraging like this has provided good
opportunities for the short to medium term,” notes the analyst. It
now remains to be seen whether this cooldown in the futures market
will be enough for Bitcoin to see a rebound or not. BTC Price At
the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at around $83,500, up 1% in
the last 24 hours. Featured image from Dall-E, CryptoQuant.com,
chart from TradingView.com
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