Longest Miner Capitulation Since 2022 Signals Potential Bitcoin Rally Ahead
03 Julho 2024 - 9:30PM
NEWSBTC
Bitcoin (BTC) has recently struggled to regain bullish momentum,
remaining in a consolidation phase just above the crucial $60,000
support. Despite reaching an all-time high three months ago, the
largest cryptocurrency witnessed a dip to as low as $59,500 on
Wednesday due to increased selling pressure from miners. BTC
Selling Spree The ongoing miner capitulation, the longest observed
since the summer of 2022 before the FTX implosion, indicates the
Bitcoin Halving supply-squeeze effect. Crypto analyst Ali
Martinez noted that Bitcoin miners have sold more than 2,300 BTC in
the past 3 days, amounting to approximately $145 million. Related
Reading: Toncoin Price Inches Closer To All-Time High – Will TON
Hit $8 This Week? This selling pressure from miners adds to the
recent BTC sales by the US and German governments, contributing to
the market’s downward pressure and keeping prices within the lower
range of the wider consolidation zone between $60,000 and $70,000
witnessed in recent months. Notably, addresses linked to the
German and US governments have sent $737 million worth of BTC to
exchanges, including Coinbase, Bitstamp, and Kraken, in various
transactions. As the selling pressure from governments and miners
subsides over time, market observers expect a potential price
recovery for BTC, following the typical pattern observed during the
post-Halving period, where new all-time highs are often achieved.
Bitcoin Price Outlook Market expert Scott Melker points out that
the market may be nearing a crucial signal, stating that if a daily
candle closes below the $60,300 level, it could lead to a bullish
divergence. This would involve the daily RSI (Relative
Strength Index) moving out of oversold territory, similar to last
August when the price was around $26,000. Melker emphasizes
the need for a close below the mentioned level, followed by a clear
upward move in the RSI without making a lower low. It would require
a significant downward move for the RSI to go lower than its level
on June 24th. Related Reading: Avalanche On The Verge: Will AVAX
Break Out And Reach $65? However, crypto analyst Andrew Kang
highlights the significance of a potential loss of the four-month
range on Bitcoin, drawing parallels with the range observed in May
2021 following a parabolic rally of BTC and altcoins. Kang
notes that over $50 billion in crypto leverage is currently at near
all-time highs, compounded by the fact that the market has been in
a prolonged consolidation phase for 18 weeks without experiencing
extreme washouts, as seen during the 2020-2021 bull market.
Moreover, Kang suggests that initial estimates of the low $50,000s
may have been too conservative, and a more significant reset to the
$40,000s could be possible. Such a pullback would
substantially impact the market and likely necessitate a few months
of choppy or downward price action before a reversal and an upward
trend could be established. At the time of writing, BTC has
recovered the $60,350 level after its brief dip below this crucial
support for further movements to the upside. The largest
cryptocurrency in the market has erased all gains in wider time
frames, and it is currently recording a 12% price decrease in the
monthly time frame. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from
TradingView.com
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