Possible approval of a Bitcoin ETF could lead to a ‘news-driven
sell-off,’ according to a report
A report from CryptoQuant suggests that the approval of a spot
Bitcoin ETF could trigger a “news-driven sell-off.” With Bitcoin
recovering above $40,000, many holders are sitting on unrealized
profits, historically a precursor to price corrections. Miners are
also profiting, increasing selling pressure. The price of Bitcoin
is expected to drop to around $32,000 in a “news-driven sell-off,”
despite the high probability of the ETF being approved by the SEC
in early 2024.
Cathie Wood repositions ARK Next Generation Internet ETF’s Bitcoin
portfolio
Cathie Wood’s ARK Next Generation Internet ETF (AMEX:ARKW) has
sold all 2.25 million shares in Grayscale Bitcoin Trust
(USOTC:GBTC) due to doubts about the trust’s conversion into an
ETF. Simultaneously, the fund acquired 4.32 million shares in the
ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (AMEX:BITO), which invests in
Bitcoin futures (COIN:BTCUSD). The strategy reflects ARK’s caution
amid regulatory uncertainty from the SEC regarding the approval of
spot Bitcoin ETFs.
Bitcoin mining stocks outperform Bitcoin’s own growth
In 2023, Bitcoin mining stocks posted an impressive performance,
outpacing Bitcoin’s 160% increase (COIN:BTCUSD), with Hive Digital
Technologies (NASDAQ:HIVE) and Marathon Digital Holdings
(NASDAQ:MARA) growing by 251% and 781%, respectively. Notably,
these stocks have high short interest, according to Fintel data and
Mortensen Bach analysis, and this short interest has contributed to
the rising stock prices. The Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners proxy
(NASDAQ:WGMI) grew by 132% in three months, compared to Bitcoin’s
53% growth. The increasing interaction between high short interest
and rising stock prices indicates a potential short squeeze
scenario, potentially driving prices even higher.
Court approves Celsius’ Chapter 11 restructuring
The US Bankruptcy Court in the Southern District of New York has
approved Celsius’ restructuring, allowing the formation of a new
Bitcoin mining company. This decision, part of the Chapter 11
bankruptcy process, involves a $225 million capitalization and the
transfer of specific mining assets, excluding some key assets.
Contractual amendments were approved, along with a detailed budget
for the settlement. The SEC retains its authority over crypto
tokens, setting a new course for Celsius and revised guidelines for
creditors.
Bitcoin options volume hits a historic record
According to The Block’s Data Panel, Bitcoin options trading
volume (COIN:BTCUSD) reached a historic high, surpassing $38
billion on major derivatives exchanges before the end-of-month,
quarter, and year expiration date. Deribit led with $26.7 billion,
followed by increases on OKX and Binance. Around $7.7 billion in
Bitcoin options are set to expire on Deribit, marking the
exchange’s largest expiration. The intense activity signals growing
interest among traders in hedging and rolling strategies.
Additionally, options volume on the CME also reached a historic
high, indicating increased interest from sophisticated market
participants.
SEI reaches an all-time high with rapid price rise
The price of the SEI cryptocurrency (COIN:SEIUSD) has made a
remarkable recovery since November, reaching a new all-time high of
$0.537. This surge was preceded by a significant increase since
December 19, marked by a series of strong daily gains. The token
experienced a slight drop after the peak, currently at $0.4782, but
it marks a 151% increase year-to-date in 2023.
CAKE rises with PancakeSwap’s supply reduction proposal
PancakeSwap’s CAKE token (COIN:CAKEUSD) saw a price increase
after the proposal to reduce the maximum token supply from 750
million to 450 million. This change aims to transition PancakeSwap
from a high-inflation model to an “Ultrasound CAKE” scenario.
Reducing the maximum supply would increase the circulating supply
to 59%, potentially increasing scarcity and token value in the
market. At the time of writing, CAKE has recorded a weekly increase
of 22.5%, with a positive 8.5% gain year-to-date in 2023.
Bitcoin SV shines in the last week of the year
Bitcoin SV (COIN:BSVUSD) stood out as one of the biggest gainers
of the week, with an impressive increase of over 70%, reaching a
yearly high of 101%. This increase was largely driven by South
Korean traders, representing 76% of the total trading volume.
Despite the recent growth, BSV is still about 80% below its
all-time high.
Vitalik Buterin proposes a change to Ethereum’s PoS model
Vitalik Buterin, the founder of Ethereum (COIN:ETHUSD), has
proposed a significant change to the Proof of Stake (PoS) model
after the Shanghai upgrade. The current system, with around 895,000
validator objects, faces technical challenges such as processing a
high number of signatures, currently 28,000, with a projected 1.79
million. Buterin proposes reducing it to 8,192 signatures per slot,
simplifying the operation, improving security, and addressing
quantum resistance. This change is crucial for balancing Ethereum’s
security, decentralization, and usability. He criticized
committee-based security on other blockchains and suggests
maintaining high penalties for attackers. Buterin explored three
approaches, including decentralized stake pools, two-layer staking,
and rotating participation, emphasizing “security through
simplicity” in response to concerns about state-level attacks.
zkSync surpasses Ethereum in monthly transactions
n the past month, zkSync, a Layer 2 scaling solution for
Ethereum, exceeded Ethereum’s mainnet (COIN:ETHUSD) in transaction
volume, processing 34.7 million transactions compared to Ethereum’s
34.2 million. This milestone, primarily driven by the introduction
of rollups—a concept similar to Bitcoin’s ordinals—in EVM networks,
including Layer 2, highlighted zkSync as the leader in transaction
activity, surpassing even Arbitrum (COIN:ARBUSD) with 31.4 million
transactions. zkSync, which operates as a Layer 2 network, bundles
multiple transactions into a single cryptographic proof, offering
faster and more cost-effective processing. Since mid-December,
registration transactions have been a key factor in the increase in
zkSync’s activity.
Blockchain Blast attracts $1.1 billion in deposits before launch
The Layer 2 blockchain Blast, developed by the NFT Blur team,
has accumulated over $1.1 billion in deposits ahead of its
scheduled activation in February. The promise of an airdrop in May
encouraged $1 billion in deposits in Staked Ether (COIN:STETHUSD)
and $103 million in Dai Stablecoin (COIN:DAIUSD). Depositors earn
approximately 5% yield and “Blast Points” for the airdrop launch.
Despite the initial success, the project faces criticism and
comparisons to pyramid schemes, especially for allowing deposits
before the platform’s activation.
Swell doubles locked value in staking to $245 million
Swell, a liquid staking protocol, has seen its total locked
value double to 108,000 Ether, approximately $245 million. This
significant increase followed the introduction of “Pearl” rewards
and the expansion of EigenLayer support to include liquid staking
tokens like swETH (COIN:SWETHUSD). Swell now positions itself as
one of the leading liquid staking protocols, attracting growing
interest within the Ethereum ecosystem.
Ripple Labs transfers 310 million XRP from the escrow wallet
In December, Ripple Labs (COIN:XRPUSD) transferred 310 million
XRP, approximately $198 million, from its escrow wallet. This
leaves about 26.34 million XRP in the wallet, worth $16.7 million.
With less than 40 billion XRP tokens in escrow, Ripple plans
gradual releases until 2027. Ripple faces challenges, including SEC
allegations, but also opportunities in instant payments and
partnerships, such as with the National Bank of Georgia.
$2.4 million in Ether moved by wallet linked to Donald Trump
A wallet associated with Donald Trump transferred over $2.4
million in Ether (COIN:ETHUSD) to Coinbase (NASDAQ:COIN), possibly
selling accumulated cryptocurrencies. These Ether were generated as
royalties from a collection of Trump NFTs on OpenSea. Arkham
Intelligence, which monitors the wallet, reported that after months
of accumulation, the wallet began sending ETH to Coinbase. Despite
Trump’s skepticism about cryptocurrencies, recent documents suggest
he profited between $500,000 and $1 million from the sales of his
NFT collection.
Artificial intelligence dominates crypto narratives in 2023
A CoinGecko survey revealed that artificial intelligence (AI)
was the dominant crypto narrative in 2023, capturing 11.3% of total
interest. Driven by the launch of chatbots like ChatGPT, this trend
increased focus on AI-related cryptocurrencies, with Akash Network
(COIN:AKTUSD) and Render (COIN:RNDUSD) showing significant price
gains. Akash Network increased by 1,055% in the last year, while
Render rose by 1,003%. Besides AI, GameFi and meme coins were also
popular. The sector is paying attention to the legal implications
of recent developments, such as the New York Times’ lawsuit
(NYSE:NYT) against OpenAI and Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT), and
innovations like LG’s robotic assistant.
Worldcoin launches identity verification services in Singapore
Worldcoin (COIN:WLDUSD) is expanding its global presence by
introducing its innovative identity verification system, Orb, in
Singapore. Additionally, Worldcoin has been expanding to other
cities worldwide, including several in Spain and Germany, marking a
significant step forward in its global identity verification
initiative.
Argentina proposes regularization of crypto-assets with tax
incentives
Argentina, under newly elected President Javier Milei, proposes
a controversial bill to legalize and tax cryptocurrencies, both
domestic and foreign. As part of a broader economic reform, the
bill encourages voluntary declaration of crypto assets with reduced
tax rates, starting at 5% until March and increasing to 15% by
November. The measure aims to regularize assets held abroad and
faces strong opposition shortly after its introduction. Argentina’s
long history of high inflation and monetary instability motivates
this initiative.
Bitzlato suspends withdrawals after asset seizure by France
Bitzlato, a Russian cryptocurrency exchange, announced the
temporary suspension of “special balance withdrawals” due to legal
issues related to the seizure of its assets by French authorities
in January. The company, which had its infrastructure and assets
seized by other international authorities as well, is facing money
laundering and other charges. Its founder pleaded guilty in the
United States, agreeing to surrender $23 million.
Levana protocol loses $1.1 million in exploitation on the Osmosis
blockchain
The Levana perpetual swap protocol on the Osmosis blockchain
suffered an exploitation that resulted in the loss of over $1.1
million from its liquidity pools. The attack lasted 13 days, from
December 13 to 26, exploiting network congestion and a bug in
Osmosis’s fee market code (COIN:OSMOUSD). This allowed attackers to
manipulate prices and drain the pools. Levana is working on a fix
and plans to compensate affected users through an airdrop and
protocol fee distribution.
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