TSX: TVE
CALGARY,
AB, May 8, 2024 /CNW/ - Tamarack Valley
Energy Ltd. ("Tamarack" or the "Company") (TSX: TVE)
is pleased to announce its unaudited financial and operating
results for the three months ended March 31,
2024. Selected financial and operating information should be
read with Tamarack's unaudited consolidated financial statements
and related management's discussion and analysis ("MD&A") for
the three months ended March 31, 2024
and 2023 and December 31, 2023, which
are available on SEDAR+ at www.sedarplus.ca and on Tamarack's
website at www.tamarackvalley.ca.
Q1 2024 Financial and Operational Highlights
- Increasing Funds Flow(1) – Delivered
Adjusted Funds Flow(1) of $181.6MM, representing a 15% YoY increase, and
Free Funds Flow(1) of $53.3MM, which was directed to base dividends,
enhanced returns and reinforcing our balance sheet strength.
- Delivering Enhanced Returns – Tamarack delivered
on its return of capital commitment to shareholders. During Q1/24
the Company purchased and cancelled 7.6MM common shares,
representing ~1.4% of the outstanding shares, for a total
repurchase of $25.6MM. Total
shareholder return for the quarter, including base dividends and
enhanced returns was $46.4MM, or
~$0.08/share.
- Increased Oil Production Weighting – Delivered
quarterly production of 62,022 boe/d(2), inline with
guidance. Tamarack's oil and liquids weighting as a percent of
total production increased to 86% in Q1/24 compared to 82% in
Q1/23.
- Realizing Higher Pricing Margins – The Company's
heavy oil price differential, including transportation
expenses(1) relative to the Hardisty Heavy benchmark
price, improved by 53% over Q1/23. The average realized price of
$69.34/boe was 13% higher than Q1/23,
owing to improved market access and lower wellhead deductions,
having >90% of production focused in the Clearwater and Charlie Lake.
- Improved Net Production Expenses – Production
expense of $9.43/boe in Q1/24
reflected a 10% improvement over Q1/23 and is expected to benefit
from further cost efficiencies through the year. This demonstrates
the benefits of new gas gathering facilities, increased volumes
delivered to Tamarack's Wembley
gas plant at Charlie Lake,
Clearwater asset area synergies at
Nipisi and Marten Hills and the impact of non-core
dispositions.
- DAP and Term Facility Repaid; Bank Facility
Updated – During the quarter the Company fully repaid the
Deferred Acquisition Payment notes ("DAP") and term facility
associated with the prior Deltastream Energy Corporation
acquisition that closed in Q4/22. Subsequent to the quarter
Tamarack extended its $875.0MM
revolving SLL Facility, of which $228.0MM is unutilized, and added an uncommitted
accordion feature providing the ability to access an incremental
$125.0MM of secured debt.
- Optimized Capital Spending – Total capital
expenditures in Q1/24 of $128.2MM
reflected the drilling of 32.9 net Clearwater heavy and 5.4 net Charlie Lake light oil wells. Spending
included $7.3MM of gas conservation
projects sanctioned with the Clearwater Infrastructure Limited
Partnership (the "CIP"). Annual capital expenditure guidance for
2024 is maintained at $390 -
$440MM.
- Significant ARO Reduction – Tamarack divested its
producing Redwater assets,
including ~400 boe/d(3) of production for a nominal cash
price, with the purchaser assuming approximately $30MM of the
Alberta Energy Regulator ("AER") deemed liability.
Q1 2024 Financial & Operating Results
|
Three months
ended
|
Three months
ended
|
March 31,
|
December 31,
|
|
2024
|
2023
|
%
change
|
2023
|
%
change
|
($ thousands,
except per share)
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total oil, natural gas
revenue
|
$
393,336
|
$
378,546
|
4
|
$
418,864
|
(6)
|
Cash flow from
operating activities
|
165,201
|
59,624
|
177
|
215,981
|
(24)
|
Per
share – basic
|
0.30
|
0.11
|
173
|
0.39
|
(23)
|
Per
share – diluted
|
0.30
|
0.11
|
173
|
0.39
|
(23)
|
Adjusted funds flow
(1)
|
181,556
|
157,271
|
15
|
194,771
|
(7)
|
Per
share – basic (1)
|
0.33
|
0.28
|
18
|
0.35
|
(6)
|
Per
share – diluted (1)
|
0.33
|
0.28
|
18
|
0.35
|
(6)
|
Free funds flow
(1)
|
53,335
|
9,109
|
486
|
67,067
|
(20)
|
Per
share – basic (1)
|
0.10
|
0.02
|
490
|
0.12
|
(20)
|
Per
share – diluted (1)
|
0.10
|
0.02
|
491
|
0.12
|
(20)
|
Net income
|
(32,744)
|
2,505
|
nm
|
57,322
|
nm
|
Per
share – basic
|
(0.06)
|
–
|
nm
|
0.10
|
nm
|
Per
share – diluted
|
(0.06)
|
–
|
nm
|
0.10
|
nm
|
Net debt
(1)
|
984,768
|
1,374,068
|
(28)
|
983,585
|
0
|
Capital
expenditures
|
128,221
|
148,162
|
(13)
|
127,704
|
0
|
Weighted average
shares outstanding (thousands)
|
|
|
|
|
|
Basic
|
552,345
|
556,548
|
(1)
|
556,699
|
(1)
|
Diluted
|
555,595
|
560,503
|
(1)
|
560,008
|
(1)
|
Average daily
production
|
|
|
|
|
|
Heavy oil
(bbls/d)
|
36,255
|
34,399
|
5
|
37,447
|
(3)
|
Light oil
(bbls/d)
|
15,270
|
17,035
|
(10)
|
14,928
|
2
|
NGL
(bbls/d)
|
1,925
|
4,122
|
(53)
|
2,769
|
(30)
|
Natural
gas (mcf/d)
|
51,431
|
74,293
|
(31)
|
58,419
|
(12)
|
Total
(boe/d)
|
62,022
|
67,938
|
(9)
|
64,881
|
(4)
|
Average sale
prices
|
|
|
|
|
|
Heavy oil,
net of blending expense(1) ($/bbl)
|
$
75.75
|
$
61.60
|
23
|
$
74.09
|
2
|
Light oil
($/bbl)
|
86.52
|
94.97
|
(9)
|
99.79
|
(13)
|
NGL
($/bbl)
|
42.54
|
45.91
|
(7)
|
42.31
|
1
|
Natural
gas ($/mcf)
|
2.93
|
3.50
|
(16)
|
2.82
|
4
|
Total
($/boe)
|
69.34
|
61.61
|
13
|
70.07
|
(1)
|
Benchmark
pricing
|
|
|
|
|
|
West Texas
Intermediate (US$/bbl)
|
76.96
|
76.13
|
1
|
78.32
|
(2)
|
Western
Canadian Select (WCS/Hardisty Heavy) (Cdn$/bbl)
|
77.77
|
69.30
|
12
|
76.96
|
1
|
WCS
differential (US$/bbl)
|
19.31
|
24.88
|
(22)
|
21.89
|
(12)
|
Edmonton
Par (Cdn$/bbl)
|
92.15
|
99.01
|
(7)
|
99.69
|
(8)
|
Edmonton
Par differential (Cdn$/bbl)
|
8.65
|
2.88
|
200
|
5.19
|
67
|
Foreign
Exchange (USD to CAD)
|
1.35
|
1.35
|
(0)
|
1.36
|
(1)
|
Operating netback
($/Boe)
|
|
|
|
|
|
Average
realized sales, net of blending expense (1)
|
69.34
|
61.61
|
13
|
70.07
|
(1)
|
Royalty
expenses
|
(13.46)
|
(11.99)
|
12
|
(13.81)
|
(3)
|
Net
production expenses (1)
|
(9.43)
|
(10.49)
|
(10)
|
(8.89)
|
6
|
Transportation expenses
|
(4.18)
|
(3.90)
|
7
|
(3.56)
|
17
|
Carbon
tax
|
(0.62)
|
–
|
nm
|
(2.53)
|
nm
|
Operating field netback
($/Boe) (1)
|
41.65
|
35.23
|
18
|
41.28
|
1
|
Realized
commodity hedging loss
|
0.37
|
(1.06)
|
(135)
|
0.80
|
(54)
|
Operating netback
($/Boe) (1)
|
$
42.02
|
$
34.17
|
23
|
$
42.08
|
(0)
|
Adjusted funds flow
($/Boe) (1)
|
$
32.17
|
$
25.72
|
25
|
$
32.63
|
(1)
|
Achieving Success: Tamarack's Transformation and Promising
Future
Brian Schmidt, President
and CEO of Tamarack stated:
"During the first quarter of 2024, Tamarack demonstrated its
unwavering commitment to execution. After a strategic shift that
began three years ago, high grading our asset quality and
reconstructing the company with best-in-class resources, we
delivered impressive results. Notably, during the quarter, Tamarack
brought on-stream two of the best Charlie
Lake oil wells ever drilled in the play. Our organic
drilling success, combined with strict capital discipline, allowed
us to deliver on our commitment to investors. During the quarter we
returned $46.4MM to investors in the
form of declared dividends and share buybacks. Looking ahead, we
will remain focused on our core assets. Our strategy includes
continuing to increase oil weighting, reduce sustaining capital
requirements, improve pricing margins, and implement projects with
multiple payouts. Anticipating strong free funds flow(1)
in 2024, the Company is positioned for a promising year. Tamarack's
transformational journey continues, and we're excited about the
future."
2024 Operations Update
Charlie Lake
During the quarter, Tamarack achieved production of 16,800
boe/d(4), from its Charlie
Lake assets which included delivering a monthly record of
18,500 boe/d(5) for March. These results include the two
outstanding recent wells, that to date are the strongest
Charlie Lake oil wells ever
drilled in the play. The wells delivered a combined IP30 rate of
3,700 boe/d(6) (84% oil & liquids) and continue to
produce at over 2,300 boe/d(7) after 60-days
on-stream.
In total, five Charlie Lake
wells were brought on-stream in Q1/24 with average IP30 rates
exceeding 1,500 boe/d(8) per well. In addition,
during Q2/24 the company will bring two additional Wembley wells online which have shown
encouraging test results. Sustained outperformance in this core
area reaffirms the company's strategy of targeting high quality
rock, capturing contiguous land positions to enable extended
lateral well length and infrastructure ownership to reliably
produce at scale.
Nipisi Production Update
Tamarack has worked diligently to recover volumes at Nipisi that
had been shut-in as a result of the April
13, 2024, Mitsue third-party plant incident. Effective
May 7, 2024, the Company has been
able to restore all but 1,050 – 1,250 boe/d(9) (~60%
natural gas) of production that had been shut-in because of the
incident. The production recovered to date is the result of the
hard work, focus and creativity of our team, and the utilization of
various temporary mitigation strategies. These strategies include
redirection of gas to an alternative third-party gas plant, gas
injection and storage. The Company continues to pursue additional
solutions to bring the remaining volumes back on-line.
According to the operator of the Mitsue facility, the
preliminary estimate to resume normal operations based on currently
available information is June 30,
2024. However, this estimate is subject to change as further
information is received and is subject to a number of variables
including availability of parts, materials, and third-party
contractors.
Tamarack estimates that Q2/24 production will be impacted by
2,300 - 2,700 boe/d(10) and annual average 2024
production could be impacted by 575 – 675 boe/d(11).
Reflecting the strong performance of our Q1/24 program and existing
base production, Tamarack's budget guidance of 61,000 – 63,000
boe/d remains unchanged, despite the unplanned downtime and impact
of the disposition, as the Company continues to track within our
original budget volumes.
Clearwater
West Marten Hills and Nipisi
Oil production from the North Clearwater assets grew to ~18,600
bopd in Q1/24, which compares to ~13,200 bopd in Q1/23 representing
a YoY increase of ~41%, reflecting the success of Tamarack's
drilling and development program.
- West Marten C Sand Success – Area C sand
production has increased to over 1,800 bopd. This includes results
from the 1W0/13-13-76-5W5 well which has produced at peak monthly
rates of >230 bopd. Based on this success, Tamarack drilled
multiple follow-ups from the 8-15-76-5W5 and 12-15-76-5W5 pads
which are expected to come on-stream during the second
quarter.
- West Marten B Sand Performance Strength –
Tamarack continues to see strong performance from its B sand
program. Three B sand wells drilled
from the 8-15-76-5W5 pad delivered peak monthly rates of
approximately 170 bopd per well and production has remained flat
since coming on-stream.
- Key Infrastructure Reducing Emissions – Raw gas
throughput from Tamarack's 10-02-077-05W5 Marten Creek Gas Plant
now exceeds over 5.5 MMcf/d. This critical infrastructure underpins
ongoing development at West Marten Hills and Tamarack expects plant
throughput to continue to grow as the play expands, delivering on
the Company's gas conservation initiatives and reducing carbon tax
exposure.
Marten Hills
Tamarack finished the drilling of an eight well pad at
4-30-75-25W4 at Marten Hills during the first quarter. This pad is
currently cleaning up with an initial production rate of over 1,100
bopd and realized a savings of 10% relative to budget.
South
Clearwater
At South Clearwater, Tamarack
continues to leverage the fan design to improve development
efficiencies realized through reduced surface locations, driving
lower capital expenditures, and increased estimated ultimate
recovery ("EUR") per well that is supported by wider interleg
spacing.
The pilot fan well at 100/12-29-063-23W4/00 has delivered
cumulative production of 65 Mbbls of oil over the first 15 months
on-stream. The shallow decline profile demonstrated by the fan
design resulted in an EUR of 178 Mbbls being booked to the pilot at
2023YE on a proved plus probable basis, representing the highest
EUR booked to date in the Perryvale area. The company drilled three
fan wells that came on production in 2024. Two of the wells had
IP30 rates of 245 bopd per well, in the Newbrook area, while the third well in
Perryvale is currently cleaning up and producing over 200 bopd. A
relatively shallow decline profile is also expected to be observed
from these wells over the coming months as Tamarack continues to
monitor performance.
Waterflood - Increasing Injection at Nipisi and Marten
Hills
Nipisi water injection is currently stable at 3,000 bbl/d as 18
injectors are now supporting 12 producing wells across the field.
The Company plans to grow injection with injector drilling at West
Nipisi in the second half of the year. At Marten Hills,
Tamarack has continued to expand its waterflood activity in the
area, including drilling its first water source well into the
Grand Rapids formation. Area
injection now exceeds 3,500 bbl/d, and the Company plans to
continue ramping water injection as additional wells are converted
throughout 2024.
In addition, the Company plans to initiate its first C sand
waterflood pilot at West Marten Hills in the second half of 2024 to
begin development of stacked waterflood potential in an area
exhibiting excellent primary production results to date.
Tamarack's most prolific producer in Marten Hills,
102/15-02-075-25W4/00, has now produced over 470 mbbl of oil to
date and has seen an increase in oil rate from 110 bopd at the
start of injection to more than 300 bopd in early May, representing
an increase of nearly 300%.
Delineation and Exploration
West Nipisi – Tamarack continues to see promising
results from two recently drilled C sand wells with peak monthly
rates exceeding 200 bopd per well. Industry continues to extend
this play to the west with ongoing activity further de-risking our
contiguous land position.
2024 Production and Capital Guidance Maintained
Tamarack is maintaining prior production and capital guidance of
61,000 - 63,000 boe/d(12) and $390 - $440MM respectively. Core asset
performance and strength of the 2024 drilling program are expected
to offset the Redwater
disposition, which included ~400 boe/d(2) of recent
production, and the temporary Clearwater outage at Nipisi.
Production expense guidance for the full year remains unchanged
as Tamarack expects to see overall cost improvements on a per unit
basis through 2024. The Company's transportation expense guidance
has been increased by $0.50/boe owing
to the reclassification of a Nipisi heavy oil transportation
contract to be reflected as gross transportation expense for
accounting purposes rather than reduction to the realized heavy oil
wellhead price. Overall, the change is neutral to operating
netbacks or funds flows(1) for the year as it functions
as an offset between revenues and transportation expenses.
With respect to the Charlie
Lake, Tamarack will continue to monitor timing of the CSV
Albright sour gas plant where the Company proactively secured firm
processing capacity in support of its ongoing development program.
Any decision to commence drilling associated with the project will
be subject to prevailing commodity prices and expected CSV
on-stream timing. The Company has the ability to swing production
from existing wells to this facility to utilize its capacity ahead
of implementing any additional drilling. An update will be provided
in conjunction with the Q2/24 results in July.
2024 Guidance Summary(13)
|
Units
|
Prior
(Feb 28,
2024)
Guidance
|
Guidance
Change
|
Updated
(May 8,
2024)
Guidance
|
Capital
Budget(14)
|
$MM
|
$390– $440
|
-
|
$390 - $440
|
Annual Average
Production(12)
|
boe/d
|
61,000 –
63,000
|
-
|
61,000 –
63,000
|
Average Oil & NGL
Weighting
|
%
|
84% – 86%
|
-
|
84% – 86%
|
|
|
|
|
|
Expenses:
|
|
|
|
|
Royalty Rate
(%)
|
%
|
20% – 22%
|
-
|
20% – 22%
|
Wellhead price
differential – Oil(15)
|
$/boe
|
$2.50 –
$3.50
|
($0.50)
|
$2.00 –
$3.00
|
Net
Production
|
$/boe
|
$8.75 –
$9.25
|
-
|
$8.75 –
$9.25
|
Transportation
|
$/boe
|
$3.25 –
$3.60
|
$0.50
|
$3.75 –
$4.10
|
Carbon
Tax(16)
|
$/boe
|
$0.50 –
$1.00
|
-
|
$0.50 –
$1.00
|
General and
Administrative (17)
|
$/boe
|
$1.35 –
$1.50
|
-
|
$1.35 –
$1.50
|
Interest
|
$/boe
|
$3.80 –
$4.20
|
-
|
$3.80 –
$4.20
|
Income
Taxes(18)
|
%
|
9% - 11%
|
-
|
9% - 11%
|
Risk Management
The Company takes a systematic approach to manage commodity
price risk and volatility to ensure sustaining capital, debt
servicing requirements and the base dividend are protected through
a prudent hedging management program. For the reminder of 2024,
approximately ~50% of net after royalty oil production is hedged
against WTI with an average floor price of ~US$68.00/bbl with structures that allow for
upside price participation at an average ceiling price of
~US$89.00/bbl. Our strategy provides
protection to the downside while maximizing upside exposure.
Additional details of the current hedges in place can be found in
the corporate presentation on the Company website
(www.tamarackvalley.ca).
Investor Day 2024
We are pleased to announce that Tamarack will be hosting an
Investor Day on Monday, June 24,
2024, from 1:00 – 4:00pm MT
(3:00 – 6:00pm ET) with members of
Tamarack's management and senior technical team presenting. Virtual
participation will be available by webcast and registration will be
accessible on Tamarack's website in advance of the event with a
link to be provided on our "Event Calendar" page, at
www.tamarackvalley.ca.
We would like to thank our employees, shareholders and other
stakeholders for their ongoing support. Tamarack's success in
executing on its strategic plan is the result of the dedication and
hard work of our employees and guidance of our Board of Directors.
We look forward to continuing to develop our high-quality assets to
create shareholder value in a sustainable and responsible way.
Quarterly Investor
Call
9:30 AM MDT (11:30
AM EDT)
Tamarack will host a
webcast at 9:30 AM MDT (11:30 AM EDT) on Wednesday, May 8, 2024 to
discuss the first
quarter financial results and an operational update. Participants
can access the live webcast via this link or
through links provided on the Company's website. A recorded archive
of the webcast will be available on the
Company's website following the live webcast.
|
About Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd.
Tamarack is an oil and gas exploration and production company
committed to creating long-term value for its shareholders through
sustainable free funds flow generation, financial stability and the
return of capital. The Company has an extensive inventory of
low-risk, oil development drilling locations focused primarily on
Charlie Lake and Clearwater plays in Alberta while also pursuing EOR upside in
these core areas. Operating as a responsible corporate citizen is a
key focus to ensure we deliver on our environmental, social and
governance (ESG) commitments and goals. For more information,
please visit the Company's website at www.tamarackvalley.ca.
Abbreviations
AECO
|
the natural gas storage
facility located at Suffield, Alberta connected to TC
Energy's Alberta System
|
ARO
|
asset retirement
obligation; may also be referred to as decommissioning
obligation
|
bbls
|
barrels
|
bbls/d
|
barrels per
day
|
boe
|
barrels of oil
equivalent
|
boe/d
|
barrels of oil
equivalent per day
|
bopd
|
barrels of oil per
day
|
CGU
|
cash generating
unit
|
DCET
|
drilling, completions,
equip and tie-in costs
|
EOR
|
enhanced oil
recovery
|
GJ
|
gigajoule
|
IFRS
|
International Financial
Reporting Standards as issued by the International
Accounting Standards Board
|
IP30
|
average production for
the first 30 days that a well is onstream
|
Mcf
|
thousand cubic
feet
|
mcf/d
|
thousand cubic feet per
day
|
MM
|
Million
|
MMcf/d
|
million cubic feet per
day
|
MSW
|
Mixed sweet blend, the
benchmark for conventionally produced light sweet
crude oil in Western Canada
|
NGL
|
Natural gas
liquids
|
OOIP
WCS
|
original oil in
place
Western Canadian
select, the benchmark for conventional and oil sands
heavy production at Hardisty in Western Canada
|
WTI
|
West Texas
Intermediate, the reference price paid in U.S. dollars at
Cushing,
Oklahoma for the crude oil standard grade
|
Reader Advisories
Notes to Press Release
1)
|
See "Specified
Financial Measures"
|
2)
|
Q1 2024 average
production from net dispositions of 62,022 boe/d comprised of 1,510
bbl/d light and medium oil, 1,310 bbl/d NGL and 21,500 mcf/d
natural gas.
|
3)
|
Production of 400 boe/d
comprised of 390 bbl/d light and medium oil and 60 mcf/d natural
gas.
|
4)
|
Production of 16,800
boe/d comprised of 9,800 bbl/d light and medium oil, 1,600 bbl/d
NGL and 32,400 mcf/d
|
5)
|
Production of 18,500
boe/d comprised of 11,300 bbl/d light and medium oil, 1,500 bbl/d
NGL and 34,500 mcf/d
|
6)
|
Production of 3,700
boe/d comprised of 3,000 bbl/d light and medium oil, 115 bbl/d NGL
and 3,700 mcf/d natural gas.
|
7)
|
Production of 2,300
boe/d comprised of 1,400 bbl/d light and medium oil, 140 bbl/d NGL
and 4,500 mcf/d natural gas
|
8)
|
Production of 1,500
boe/d comprised of 1,160 bbl/d light and medium oil, 54 bbl/d NGL
and 1,720 mcf/d natural gas
|
9)
|
Production of 1,050 -
1,250 boe/d comprised of 400 - 500 bbl/d heavy oil, 30 - 35 bbl/d
NGL and 3,700 - 4,300 mcf/d natural gas
|
10)
|
Production of 2,300 -
2,700 boe/d comprised of 1,420 - 1,660 bbl/d heavy oil, 40 - 48
bbl/d NGL and 5,050 – 5,950 mcf/d natural gas
|
11)
|
Production of 575 - 675
boe/d comprised of 355 - 415 bbl/d heavy oil, 10 - 12 bbl/d NGL and
1,250 – 1,475 mcf/d natural gas
|
12)
|
Production of 61,000 –
63,000 boe/d comprised of 12,800-13,200 bbl/d light and medium oil,
36,600-37,800 bbl/d heavy oil, 2,400-2,500 bbl/d NGL and
54,900-56,700 mcf/d natural gas
|
13)
|
Annual guidance numbers
are based on 2024 average pricing assumptions of:
|
|
2024 Budget
Pricing
|
|
Crude Oil – WTI
($US/bbl)
|
$75.00
|
|
Crude Oil – MSW
Differential ($US/bbl)
|
($4.00)
|
|
Crude Oil – WCS
Differential ($US/bbl)
|
($17.00)
|
|
Natural Gas – AECO
($CAD/GJ)
|
$2.50
|
|
Foreign Exchange –
CAD/USD
|
1.3450
|
|
|
14)
|
Capital budget includes
exploration and development capital, ESG initiatives,
facilities land and seismic but excludes ARO, capital associated
with the CIP and asset acquisitions and dispositions.
|
15)
|
Wellhead price
differential for oil shown in the guidance table.
|
16)
|
The Company's
acquisitions in 2022 and a more stringent emissions regulatory
framework increased taxable emissions in 2023 and 2024. Carbon tax
of $0.50-$1.00/boe is anticipated in 2024, a significant increase
from 2023 as the price of carbon escalates 23% to $80/tonne and the
emissions intensity benchmark tightens. Carbon tax was previously
included in net production costs but will be reported separately
going forward. Tamarack's gas conservation initiatives that
continue into 2024 are expected to substantively decrease the
carbon tax burden in 2025 and subsequent years.
|
17)
|
G&A noted excludes
the effect of cash settled stock-based compensation.
|
18)
|
Tamarack estimates a
tax rate on funds flow of 9%-11%.
|
Disclosure of Oil and Gas Information
Unit Cost Calculation. For the purpose of calculating
unit costs, natural gas volumes have been converted to a boe using
six thousand cubic feet equal to one barrel unless otherwise
stated. A boe conversion ratio of 6:1 is based upon an energy
equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner
tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead.
This conversion conforms with Canadian Securities Administrators'
National Instrument 51 101 - Standards of Disclosure for Oil and
Gas Activities ("NI 51-101"). Boe may be misleading, particularly
if used in isolation.
Product Types. References in this press release to "crude
oil" or "oil" refers to light, medium and heavy crude oil product
types as defined by NI 51-101. References to "NGL" throughout this
press release comprise pentane, butane, propane, and ethane, being
all NGL as defined by NI 51-101. References to "natural gas"
throughout this press release refers to conventional natural gas as
defined by NI 51-101.
Short-Term Production Rates. References in this press
release to peak rates, initial production rates, IP30 and other
short-term production rates are useful in confirming the presence
of hydrocarbons, however such rates are not determinative of the
rates at which such wells will commence production and decline
thereafter and are not indicative of long-term performance or of
ultimate recovery. While encouraging, readers are cautioned not to
place reliance on such rates in calculating the aggregate
production of Tamarack. The Company cautions that such results
should be considered to be preliminary.
Forward Looking Information
This press release contains certain forward-looking information
(collectively referred to herein as "forward-looking statements")
within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities laws.
Forward-looking statements are often, but not always, identified by
the use of words such as "guidance", "outlook", "anticipate",
"target", "plan", "continue", "intend", "consider", "estimate",
"expect", "may", "will", "should", "could" or similar words
suggesting future outcomes. More particularly, this press release
contains statements concerning: Tamarack's business strategy,
objectives, strength and focus; future consolidation activity,
organic growth and development and portfolio rationalization; the
Company's exploration and development plans and strategies; future
intentions with respect to debt repayment and reduction and the
Company's ROC framework, including enhanced dividends and share
buybacks; oil and natural gas production levels, adjusted funds
flow and free funds flow; anticipated operational results for 2024
including, but not limited to, estimated or anticipated production
levels (including in respect of Tamarack's 2024 production
guidance, which is maintained at the 61,000 to 63,000 boe/d range),
capital expenditures, drilling plans and infrastructure
initiatives, including on-stream timing of the new CSV Albright
sour gas plant in the Charlie Lake
and the expansion o the Wembley
gas plant and anticipated margin improvements; the Company's
capital program, guidance and budget for 2024 and the funding
thereof; expectations regarding commodity prices; the performance
characteristics of the Company's oil and natural gas properties;
decline rates and EOR, including waterflood initiatives and long
term net asset value capture; the continued successful integration
of acquired assets; the ability of the Company to achieve drilling
success consistent with management's expectations, including
leveraging the "Fan" well design; risk management activities; ARO
reduction; risk management activities, including hedging
positions and targets; Tamarack's continued capital
flexibility under its 2024 capital program and expectation that
this will not impact 2024 production guidance; Tamarack's
commitment to ESG principles and sustainability, including gas
conservation projects, emissions reductions and carbon tax savings;
and the source of funding for the Company's activities including
development costs. Future dividend payments and share buybacks, if
any, and the level thereof, are uncertain, as the Company's return
of capital framework and the funds available for such activities
from time to time is dependent upon, among other things, free funds
flow financial requirements for the Company's operations and the
execution of its growth strategy, fluctuations in working capital
and the timing and amount of capital expenditures, debt service
requirements and other factors beyond the Company's control.
Further, the ability of Tamarack to pay dividends and buyback
shares will be subject to applicable laws (including the
satisfaction of the solvency test contained in applicable corporate
legislation) and contractual restrictions contained in the
instruments governing its indebtedness, including its credit
facility. In addition, statements related to reserves are deemed to
be forward-looking information as they involve the implied
assessment, based on certain estimates and assumptions, that the
reserves can be profitably produced in the future.
The forward-looking statements contained in this document are
based on certain key expectations and assumptions made by Tamarack,
including those relating to: the business plan of Tamarack; the
timing of and success of future drilling, development and
completion activities; the geological characteristics of Tamarack's
properties; the continued successful integration of acquired assets
into Tamarack's operations; prevailing commodity prices, price
volatility, price differentials and the actual prices received for
the Company's products; the availability and performance of
drilling rigs, facilities, pipelines and other oilfield services;
the timing of past operations and activities in the planned areas
of focus; the drilling, completion and tie-in of wells being
completed as planned; the performance of new and existing wells;
the application of existing drilling and fracturing techniques;
prevailing weather and break-up conditions; royalty regimes and
exchange rates; impact of inflation on costs; the application of
regulatory and licensing requirements; the continued availability
of capital and skilled personnel; the ability to maintain or grow
the banking facilities; the accuracy of Tamarack's geological
interpretation of its drilling and land opportunities, including
the ability of seismic activity to enhance such interpretation; and
Tamarack's ability to execute its plans and strategies.
Although management considers these assumptions to be reasonable
based on information currently available, undue reliance should not
be placed on the forward-looking statements because Tamarack can
give no assurances that they may prove to be correct. By their very
nature, forward-looking statements are subject to certain risks and
uncertainties (both general and specific) that could cause actual
events or outcomes to differ materially from those anticipated or
implied by such forward-looking statements. These risks and
uncertainties include, but are not limited to: risks with respect
to unplanned third party pipeline outages and risks relating to
inclement and severe weather events and natural disasters, such as
fire, drought and flooding, including in respect of safety, asset
integrity and shutting-in production, maintaining 2024 guidance and
resumption of operations; risks with respect to unplanned
third-party pipeline outages; the risk that future dividend
payments thereunder are reduced, suspended or cancelled; unforeseen
difficulties in integrating of recently acquired assets into
Tamarack's operations; incorrect assessments of the value of
benefits to be obtained from acquisitions and exploration and
development programs; risks associated with the oil and gas
industry in general (e.g. operational risks in development,
exploration and production; and delays or changes in plans with
respect to exploration or development projects or capital
expenditures); commodity prices, including the impact of the
actions of OPEC and OPEC+ members; the uncertainty of estimates and
projections relating to production, cash generation, costs and
expenses, including increased operating and capital costs due to
inflationary pressures; health, safety, litigation and
environmental risks; access to capital; and pandemics. In addition,
ongoing military actions between Russia and Ukraine and the recent crisis in Israel and Gaza have the potential to threaten the supply
of oil and gas from those regions. The long-term impacts of the
actions between these nations remains uncertain. Due to the nature
of the oil and natural gas industry, drilling plans and operational
activities may be delayed or modified to respond to market
conditions, results of past operations, regulatory approvals or
availability of services causing results to be delayed. Please
refer to the AIF for the year ended December
31, 2023 and the MD&A for the period ended March 31, 2024, for additional risk factors
relating to Tamarack, which can be accessed either on Tamarack's
website at www.tamarackvalley.ca or under the Company's profile on
www.sedarplus.ca. The forward-looking statements contained in this
press release are made as of the date hereof and the Company does
not undertake any obligation to update publicly or to revise any of
the included forward-looking statements, except as required by
applicable law. The forward-looking statements contained herein are
expressly qualified by this cautionary statement.
This press release contains future-oriented financial
information and financial outlook information (collectively,
"FOFI") about generating sustainable long-term growth in free funds
flow, dividends and share buybacks, prospective results of
operations and production (including annual average production,
average oil & NGL weighting), oil weightings, hedging,
operating costs, 2024 capital budget, guidance and expenditures,
decline rates, 2024 carbon tax, balance sheet strength, adjusted
funds flow and free funds flow, net debt, debt repayments, total
returns and components thereof, all of which are subject to the
same assumptions, risk factors, limitations and qualifications as
set forth in the above paragraphs. FOFI contained in this document
was approved by management as of the date of this document and was
provided for the purpose of providing further information about
Tamarack's future business operations. Tamarack and its management
believe that FOFI has been prepared on a reasonable basis,
reflecting management's best estimates and judgments, and
represent, to the best of management's knowledge and opinion, the
Company's expected course of action. However, because this
information is highly subjective, it should not be relied on as
necessarily indicative of future results. Tamarack disclaims any
intention or obligation to update or revise any FOFI contained in
this document, whether as a result of new information, future
events or otherwise, unless required pursuant to applicable law.
Readers are cautioned that the FOFI contained in this document
should not be used for purposes other than for which it is
disclosed herein. Changes in forecast commodity prices, differences
in the timing of capital expenditures, and variances in average
production estimates can have a significant impact on the key
performance measures included in Tamarack's guidance. The Company's
actual results may differ materially from these estimates.
Specified Financial Measures
This press release includes various specified financial
measures, including non-IFRS financial measures, non-IFRS financial
ratios, capital management measures and supplemental financial
measures as further described herein. These measures do not have a
standardized meaning prescribed by International Financial
Reporting Standards ("IFRS") and, therefore, may not be comparable
with the calculation of similar measures by other companies.
"Adjusted funds flow (capital management measure)" is
calculated by taking cash-flow from operating activities, on a
periodic basis, deducting current income tax expense and interest
expense (excluding fees) and adding back income tax paid, interest
paid, changes in non-cash working capital, expenditures on
decommissioning obligations and transaction costs settled during
the applicable period. since Tamarack believes the timing of
collection, payment or incurrence of these items is variable.
Management believes adjusting for estimated current income taxes
and interest in the period expensed is a better indication of the
adjusted funds generated by the Company. Expenditures on
decommissioning obligations may vary from period to period
depending on capital programs and the maturity of the Company's
operating areas. Expenditures on decommissioning obligations are
managed through the capital budgeting process which considers
available adjusted funds flow. Tamarack uses adjusted funds flow as
a key measure to demonstrate the Company's ability to generate
funds to repay debt, pay dividends and fund future capital
investment. Adjusted funds flow per share is calculated using the
same weighted average basic and diluted shares that are used in
calculating income per share, which results in the measure being
considered a supplemental financial measure. Adjusted funds flow
can also be calculated on a per boe basis, which results in the
measure being considered a supplemental financial measure.
"Differential including transportation
expense" The calculation of the Company's heavy oil
differential including transportation expenses is presented in the
"Petroleum and natural gas sales" section of the Company's Q1 2024
MD&A and is determined by comparing the Company's realized
price to the published benchmark price, plus transportation
expenses. The Company and others utilize these performance measures
to assess the value of net revenue received by Tamarack for each
barrel sold relative to the published market price during that
period. These performance measures are presented on a per boe basis
as a non-GAAP financial ratio.
"Free funds flow (capital management
measure)" is calculated by taking adjusted funds flow and
subtracting capital expenditures, excluding acquisitions and
dispositions. Management believes that free funds flow provides a
useful measure to determine Tamarack's ability to improve returns
and to manage the long-term value of the business.
"Free funds flow breakeven (capital
management measure)" (previously referred to as
"free adjusted funds flow breakeven") is determined by calculating
the minimum WTI price in US/bbl required to generate free funds
flow equal to zero, sustaining current production levels and all
other variables held constant. Management believes that free funds
flow breakeven provides a useful measure to establish corporate
financial sustainability.
"Net debt (capital management
measure)" is calculated as credit facilities plus senior
unsecured notes, plus deferred acquisition payment notes, plus
working capital surplus or deficiency, plus other liability,
including the fair value of cross-currency swaps, plus government
loans, plus facilities acquisition payments, less notes receivable
and excluding the current portion of fair value of financial
instruments, decommissioning obligations, lease liabilities and the
cash award incentive plan liability.
"Net Production Expenses, Revenue, net of
blending expense, Operating Netback and Operating Field Netback
(Non-IFRS Financial Measures, and Non-IFRS Financial Ratios if
calculated on a per boe basis)" – Management uses certain
industry benchmarks, such as net production expenses, revenue, net
of blending expense, operating netback and operating field netback,
to analyze financial and operating performance. Net production
expenses are determined by deducting processing income primarily
generated by processing third party volumes at processing
facilities where the Company has an ownership interest. Under
IFRS this source of funds is required to be reported as
income. Where the Company has excess capacity at one of its
facilities, it will process third party volumes as a means to
reduce the cost of operating/owning the facility, and as such
third-party processing revenue is netted against production
expenses in the MD&A. Blending expense includes the cost of
blending diluent purchased to reduce the viscosity of our heavy oil
transported through pipelines to meet pipeline specifications. The
blending expense represents the difference between the cost of
purchasing and transporting the diluent and the realized price of
the blended product sold. In the MD&A, blending expense is
recognized as a reduction to heavy oil revenues, whereas blending
expense is reported as an expense in the financial statements.
Operating netback equals total petroleum and natural gas sales (net
of blending), including realized gains and losses on commodity and
foreign exchange derivative contracts, less royalties, net
production expenses and transportation expense. Operating field
netback equals total petroleum and natural gas sales, less
royalties, net production expenses and transportation expense.
These metrics can also be calculated on a per boe basis, which
results in them being considered a non-IFRS financial ratio.
Management considers operating netback and operating field netback
important measures to evaluate Tamarack's operational performance,
as it demonstrates field level profitability relative to current
commodity prices.
Please refer to the MD&A for additional information relating
to specified financial measures including non-IFRS financial
measures, non-IFRS financial ratios and capital management
measures. The MD&A can be accessed either on Tamarack's website
at www.tamarackvalley.ca or under the Company's profile on
www.sedarplus.ca.
SOURCE Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd.